Stansberry Investor Hour

Stansberry Investor Hour

Stansberry Research
Държава Съединени щати
Език EN
Епизоди 391
Последен 18.08.2026

Dan Ferris and Stansberry Research analysts discuss financial markets, politics, business, and social issues. Each week features interviews with guest investment experts, authors, and top thinkers like Jim Rogers, Kevin O'Leary, and Glenn Beck. The podcast is produced by Stansberry Research, LLC.

Епизоди

  • Harvey Sawikin: He Bought This AI Stock at $8 – Now It's $240 18.08.2026 59мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Harvey Sawikin to the show. Harvey is the co-founder and principal of Firebird Management, a fund that focuses on investing in emerging markets, primarily in Eastern Europe.   Harvey kicks things off by stating that emerging market investors don't pay enough attention to politics compared with macroeconomics. He says that you can glean insight into how a country could develop if you understand its politics, especially in cases where there's new leadership. But it's still important to understand the macroeconomics, as those have been red flags for otherwise promising markets. And he shares why folks would want to invest in emerging markets despite strong growth in American companies. (0:00)   Next, Harvey explains how emerging markets view the dollar. If a country exports commodities, it might not care about the strength of the dollar. Additionally, some exporting countries might prefer to have a slightly weaker currency to look more appealing compared with U.S. companies, so traders use the local currency to invest in these markets. Harvey then gives his background with investing in AI companies (with one that went from $8 a share to $240 a share) and his thoughts on the technology. (22:38)   Finally, Harvey informs listeners that it's OK to be cautious during the AI frenzy. No one knows where the peak of the hype will be, but it might be beneficial to avoid throwing all your money at AI (especially AI companies where you can't even tell what their product is). Harvey believes that patience is the key to successfully navigating the markets, and when everyone is bullish, it's even more crucial. But at the end of the day, it's up to the individual investor – not someone pushing a stock or fund – to determine when they want to get into a position. (40:01)
  • Brent Johnson: You Don't Need a Dollar Collapse for Gold to Explode 11.08.2026 50мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Brent Johnson back to the show. Brent is the CEO of Puerto Rico-based Santiago Capital and creator of the famous "dollar milkshake theory." He has more than 13,000 subscribers on the Santiago Capital Substack.   Brent kicks things off by expressing his optimism for the U.S. and believes that, despite the supply-chain issues the country is facing, it will make the changes needed to come out of the crisis. That's not to say that there won't be pain along the way, but Brent says it will be better than most people expect. Additionally, he says that criticisms of the U.S. and the dollar are valid, but relative to other countries, they're in a much better position than their peers. And he tells listeners that you can still buy gold without being bearish on the dollar. (0:00)   Next, Brent says that there's no need to be worried about gold overtaking the dollar as a reserve asset in central banks. A key contributor to that has been gold going up while Treasurys have gone down. But Brent's research shows that on a global scale, government bonds have been falling across the board. (The exception is China, due to companies not wanting to buy Chinese stocks or real estate and getting tax breaks from buying Chinese bonds). Brent then explains how the dollar will become broken the stronger it becomes, which would create more pressure on countries that have debt in dollars and could lead to a currency crisis and a great credit reset. And he shows how the U.S. could weaponize the dollar against companies that are indebted to it. (15:08)   Finally, Brent criticizes the mentality that it doesn't matter which fiat currency you're holding, because they're all going to crash. He says that folks who work, own businesses, or have exposure to the geopolitical landscape should care about fiat levels. A sharp rise in one currency compared with another has been a key component in every global financial crisis over the past 50 years. And Brent states that the order of the currency declines matters. Folks who retreat from the market out of fear could be missing out on all the opportunities that happen before a major crash occurs. (34:04)
  • Rick Rule: Why Oil Companies Are Cannibalizing Themselves 04.08.2026 53мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Rick Rule back to the show. Rick is the president and CEO of Rule Investment Media, which boasts more than 28,000 subscribers on Substack. With nearly 50 years of experience managing investments, primarily in the natural resources sector, Rick is an authority in the field.   Rick kicks things off by providing his long-term view on oil and gas as commodities, as well as his view on oil and gas stocks. He says that while the price of oil could temporarily decline if the conflict in the Middle East reaches a permanent resolution, current prices could be a glimpse of what's in store within the next four years. And according to Rick, many oil and gas companies are "cannibalizing" themselves by directing money away from reinvesting in their businesses and into dividends and share buybacks, which will impact production in the long term. (0:00)   Next, Rick shares his disdain for how government spending and interference have impacted both taxpayers and investors. He personally wrote an e-mail to President Donald Trump to inform him about one of the largest copper deposits in the world just sitting around. It sits on U.S. soil, but we have done nothing to begin production due to regulations. Rick then shares advice for listeners who want to invest during the oil shortage. (22:00)   Finally, Rick explains why "stingy" dividends are beneficial to investors. He goes further and reveals why capital-intensive companies should reinvest in their projects and illustrates why one Brazilian company is set up to disappoint investors who bought shares due to absurdly high dividends. Rick then states that institutional investors have been wrong about oil and gas. Many activists have predicted that fossil fuels will no longer be desired and will soon die out. On the contrary, with the growing need for energy, demand will continue to endure. (37:20)
  • Matt Franz: The 50%-Off Software Stock AI Can't Destroy 28.07.2026 51мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Matt Franz back to the show. Matt is the founder of Eagle Point Capital, an advisory firm focused on long-term investing. Eagle Point Capital has more than 5,000 subscribers on Substack.   Matt kicks things off by sharing the kinds of companies that he likes to search for. He says that these are "simple, predictable, and profitable" businesses that he can look at over a period of five-plus years and know where they're heading. But even though Matt's firm likes to have a long holding period for its stock picks, the team is constantly assessing and investigating what's occurring with the companies to ensure that they're still worthwhile buys. Matt then begins discussing a vertical market software ("VMS") company he likes. Despite the stock starting to decline following the "SaaSpocalypse" and more recent concerns of AI harming the business, Matt says there's no reason to be afraid. (0:00)   Next, Matt explains why decentralization is one of the biggest strengths for the company. It has about 1,500 business units that operate independently. Management looks at what works and what doesn't and shares the data throughout the rest of the business. But the individual units are still free to evaluate the practices and decide if they're beneficial for that particular unit and can implement them as needed. This allows the company as a whole to constantly innovate and improve itself. Matt then discusses the process this company goes through to make acquisitions. It's able to find bargain deals on smaller, overlooked businesses that can have a dominant role in their respective fields. And with the success that it has had with this strategy, it's leaning more into this method. (20:33)   Finally, Matt presents another company he's fond of. Its focus is mainly on coal royalties, though it also owns soda-ash assets as well. It had suffered from years of debt after investing in multiple businesses before making coal its primary business. Today, it's nearly debt-free, and while coal prices are low today, with the many mines that it owns, if the prices start soaring, the value of those mines (and the company) will also go up. And Matt leaves listeners with advice on deciding to stay long in positions in the face of potential downturns. (35:58)
  • Craig Tindale: The Next Crisis Will Be Physical, Not Financial 21.07.2026 56мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Craig Tindale to the show. Craig is a private investor with a keen perspective on economic and geopolitical analysis. He has more than 5,000 subscribers on Substack.   Craig kicks things off by discussing "hard bifurcation," a term he uses to refer to the U.S. importing its products instead of manufacturing them, creating dependencies on other countries. For instance, China has control over the precious metals the U.S. needs for defense. Craig looks at history to show why nations didn't trade crucial resources with rival nations... and how nations that did faced shortages during war. And he addresses how China could restrict our access to rare earth metals to slow down U.S. AI chip development. (0:00)   Next, Craig notes several gases the U.S. produces that serve as counters to China's choke points. The only thing that could impact them would be a breakdown in the supply chain. Craig says that the U.S. would need at least five years to build the overall industrial factories and infrastructure needed to match what China has. And while not economically viable, if a rare earth shortage did hit the U.S., we could recycle e-waste to produce the materials we need. Craig discusses the byproducts that come from mining production and how they impact other industries. (19:14)   Finally, Craig expresses his frustration at how policy and regulation have created more risk factors for shortages. He says that companies move their efforts to other countries where such restrictions are looser or nonexistent. And while most folks won't notice those changes, they'd feel the knock-on effects if anything were to impact operations wherever that manufacturing was happening. And Craig warns folks to become more resilient and self-sufficient to protect themselves against uncertainty. (35:49)
  • Marko Papic: Why the AI Boom Could Make Inflation Worse 14.07.2026 59мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Marko Papic back to the show. Marko is the chief strategist and head of GeoMacro at BCA Research, a global investment research firm.   Marko kicks things off by discussing the "second derivative of AI capex," which signals the beginning of the end of the AI boom. Due to tension in the Middle East potentially starting to ease up, the market is nearing the peak of the "Wall of Worry," and as a result, investors could lose a component that helps fuel the current rally. Additionally, Marko says that AI is inflationary. It takes labor, copper, and electricity to construct and run a data center, and with oil prices not likely to return to the levels they were at before the conflict at the Strait of Hormuz, that will just compound the inflation. Marko details what you can expect from the "endgame" of the Hormuz blockade. (0:00)   Next, Marko delves into oil prices and demand. He says that the conflict is starting to give several impressions to other countries after this passes. The first is that the U.S. creates demand when it has a desire to obtain resources and seeks them out. Countries will then start hoarding them as a means of securing them. The second impression the conflict shows is that our allies might not be able to rely on us in a prolonged conflict. Marko says that the raid in Venezuela earlier this year and the Strait of Hormuz situation were both supposed to be short-term incidents. The U.S. did not intend for the blockade to last as long as it has. So in the event of a drawn-out conflict, our allies might have second thoughts about asking for aid. However, even if we are shut out, Marko says America is integrated into the global infrastructure. (18:24)   Finally, Marko sums up the three main reasons why an "inflationary brew" is developing for data centers. The first is that Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh might not be as dovish as hoped prior to entering the role. And it doesn't seem like President Donald Trump will do much to deter him from raising interest rates. That will make building data centers more expensive. The second is that the major AI IPOs are creating a massive supply with little liquidity. With many individual investors primarily having exposure to the S&P 500 Index, they'll be gaining exposure with their 401(k)s but won't be actively buying or selling them, resulting in stagnancy. And lastly, AI capex is slowing down since it's not feasible to build as many data centers as these companies desire. (36:06)
  • Peter Zeihan: The Next Global Crisis Could Hit Investors Hard 07.07.2026 56мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Peter Zeihan to the show. Peter specializes in geopolitics and brings a critical perspective on how foreign affairs impact the U.S. market.   Peter kicks things off by discussing why the market hasn't reacted or improved in response to the peace talks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. He says the reason is threefold. First, the White House acted with very little planning, only using Israeli intel and data. What was supposed to last no more than 96 hours was drawn out into a monthslong conflict. Second, Peter says that President Donald Trump fired numerous ambassadors and policy experts with the intention of not refilling those seats. This has made negotiating more difficult. And third, turning the oilfields back on will take months at best. Peter then says that due to comments made by the Trump administration, Europeans have a growing mistrust of America and are seeing it as a potential enemy. (0:00)   Next, Peter delves into Ukraine and its usage of drones in the war. Drones have and are continuing to become so advanced that Peter considers them part of what he calls the "second revolution of military technology." They're now capable of making decisions on what to target once they arrive at a destination area and cannot be jammed once they've made a decision. And the first-generation ground drones in development could be a game changer for Ukraine. Following this, Peter gives an update on a video he made titled "Don't Be Fooled. China Is Collapsing." He says the Chinese population numbers are not as high as stated, partially due to millions of citizens in the census having possibly been fabricated. Unlike the U.S. and other Western countries, China only has several "touchpoints" that determine that a citizen exists, and these have had falsified numbers in the past. While the official numbers might provide a false sense of security, the population decline will have a massive impact on the country. (17:20)   Finally, Peter shares his thoughts on a major transition period. He says that this will be a time of short-term pain, but in the long run, the countries that could weather the storm and emerge first would be the big winners in the new era. The United States was one potential winner, but with hostile work environments with other countries (in addition to globalization universally deteriorating) and an aging power grid, it's facing strong headwinds. Peter says the country will need to double its efforts in manufacturing at home if it wants to have a chance of surviving without other countries, especially if trade slows down or is even severed. (35:16)
  • Gold Is Down 20%. So Why Is the Smart Money Still Buying? 30.06.2026 54мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Andy Schectman to the show. Andy is the founder and CEO of Miles Franklin Precious Metals, a company dedicated to transparency, ethics, and long-term wealth preservation.   Andy kicks things off by explaining why gold prices breaking down isn't as bad as many people believe. He says that while the paper price of gold is going down, the physical asset has been going strong. In fact, since the start of President Donald Trump's second term, billions of physical gold bars in contracts have been delivered to CME Group's Commodity Exchange ("COMEX"). Silver also had strong deliveries to COMEX, with December 2025 seeing a record 65 million ounces in contracts delivered. Andy also says that one reason why gold exchange-traded funds ("ETFs") have experienced increased outflows is because large firms are redeeming their shares in exchange for gold to fulfill delivery contracts. And some of these contracts are for foreign countries that have lost trust in the central banks. (0:00)   Next, Andy shares his thoughts on bitcoin (BTC) and gold. Contrary to the stances supporters of either asset have, he doesn't believe investors need to be in only one of them and opposed to the other. He believes it's best if you invest in both. Andy personally invested in 1 BTC early on so he could have some exposure to the development of bitcoin. Andy then talks about the country's debt problem. With the U.S. in debt by more than $39 trillion, our country needs a way to pay it off. Andy says we have no way of selling products to other countries in the hopes of being paid in dollars, and other countries have established their own methods of trade without relying on the U.S. dollar. And with a trifecta of worse education rates, a lack of at-home manufacturing, and AI replacing certain jobs, the future outlook is grim. (19:14)   Finally, Andy says that Trump does have a plan to address this problem. The key is to bring manufacturing back home and sell that to the world. The U.S. cannot afford to be reliant on other countries. Also, the U.S. needs to aggressively buy gold. That would go straight into the Treasurys and help pay off our debt. While in the short-to-mid term this will be painful for Americans as certain services might need to be withheld, in the long term, Andy says it would be worth it. He ends the interview by warning investors to not save their money in dollars due to its dwindling value but to put their money into hard assets instead. (39:46)
  • America Is Running Out of Diesel and No One Is Paying Attention 23.06.2026 35мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Stansberry Research's Director of Research Matt Weinschenk back to the show in a special crossover episode with Top Stocks. In this collaborative episode, the two discuss diesel, and Matt shakes things up by asking Dan most of the questions.   Matt and Dan kick things off by discussing the current state of diesel. The reserve diesel supply is now low enough that it's being measured in days instead of the usual months. The most recent report says that America only has 20 days' worth in reserve. This doesn't bode well for AI data centers since they cannot afford to have long downtimes, and at least 90% of their backup generators run on diesel. Another issue is that the fuel has a limited shelf life. If it's being stored, it can only last for so long, and if it's sitting in a generator, it has to be used or switched out so the generator isn't filled with gunk. And Dan says that even if global issues suddenly got better, diesel's current predicament wouldn't be resolved for a while. (0:00)   Next, the two explain how difficult it is to get a permit to build a new diesel refinery in the U.S., along with the pressure of building one near residential areas. Diesel costs around $100 per barrel and between $5.45 and $5.50 per gallon on average. Folks will adopt a "not in my backyard" mentality even if the price of diesel is higher. And even if the stakes are high enough, Matt says that no one is going to step up and compete with established oil and gas companies to build a new refinery. (10:46)   Finally, Matt and Dan detail all the industries and segments that rely on diesel. And with data centers having high demand, in the event of a power outage, they'll pay to have top priority for the available supply. But despite the worry around the potential diesel shortages, there are ways that you can profit from it. Dan shares the names of several companies that he believes will continue to perform well and return value to shareholders. These are companies that he has recommended to his subscribers in the past during "buy the dip" scenarios, and he still recommends them. And Dan teases a new group of "Magnificent Seven" stocks that will serve the "hard asset" needs of AI. (20:16)
  • The Stock Market May Not Recover for a Generation 16.06.2026 1ч 12мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Dave Collum back to the show. He's the Betty R. Miller Professor of Chemistry at Cornell University. He's outspoken about many topics and issues ranging from finance to politics and everything in between. And he brings this same no-holds-barred attitude to today's podcast.   Dave kicks things off by discussing the "everything bubble," or as he prefers to call it, the "complacency bubble." According to him, previous market bubbles had logic behind their euphoria, but he says the current one does not follow logic because the companies' earnings are not as good as they appear. He then says that based on a report he received, passive investing could be reversing. The problem with this is that folks could build a passive portfolio and sell individual stocks if a company gave reason for fear. With index funds, investors are holding all the stocks and will sell the stocks they might like while trying to remove a stock they dislike. And Dave warns that the wave of trillion-dollar IPOs could be the breaking point due to passive investors not being able to support them. (0:00)   Next, Dave explains how the market is overvalued and says that while many folks won't mind a correction, they should be concerned. As an example, he says that the average Boomer-generation investor has $300,000 in their retirement savings account. And if the market collapses, that will halve their income flow. Dave shifts the focus to interest rates. Folks aren't quite certain what to make of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and whether he'll raise or lower rates. Dave believes that he could be a "Paul Volcker 2.0" who makes America "take its medicine" and start things over despite the short-term pain. But regardless of how things are handled, if the market bubble bursts, it will cause a "multidecade secular bear market." (21:57)   Finally, Dave shares what kinds of stocks he owns. He says that he bought gold after selling off platinum. While he initially had a rocky period with the precious metal, it has served him well over the past few years. Energy has also been doing decently in recent times. Dave also says that he has given up on sentiment indicators because he was dissatisfied with them. But he says that engaging in reading outside of your comfort zone and the markets is a great way to get insight into multiple areas and learn about developments in the world. (47:21)
  • Don't Buy SpaceX. Buy These Space Monopolies Instead. 08.06.2026 54мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Dave Lashmet back to the show. Dave is the editor of Stansberry Venture Technology, an advisory that takes a "venture capitalist" look at the market. Dave scours the market looking for little-known small-cap companies that are potentially producing the next wonder drug or technology.   Dave kicks things off by discussing the SpaceX IPO. He calls the company a "Tower of Babel," saying the best use case for Starlink is to replace cell phone towers. However, Starlink's satellites can only provide service for up to 1,000 people. In rural areas, this is fine, but larger cities and the surrounding areas would have higher demand. Additionally, Dave says that there's a 10-year gap between Earth-based and space-based communications. Unlike cell phone towers, satellites have to go through additional processes to ensure that they will function properly while they're in orbit. But in the midst of the IPO, Dave says that Alphabet subsidiary Google will be a major winner. (0:00)   Next, Dave shares how the SpaceX IPO will result in many folks investing in 401(k)s to be holding shares of the company unintentionally and how that happens. And they'll have an unreasonable percentage of their portfolio owning a stock that isn't gushing cash. Dave then talks about how cameras will be the future of space. Sony's research and development division created a "four-color camera" that operates on the red, green, blue, and shortwave infrared spectrums. Infrared doesn't currently work in any functional capacity for everyday users, but for the companies that build telescopes, the next breakthrough was evident. And this technology can help with "seeing" better than other cameras. (19:52)   Finally, Dave breaks down "near space," the region of the atmosphere between the stratosphere and space. It's tricky to station anything there due to the high amount of air resistance and insufficient amount of air that could support the lift needed for wings, so there's little interest in going there. But one company Dave is looking at is developing the "basking shark" capable of enduring in near space. And if the U.S. government wants its "golden dome," it needs to go to this company. And Dave marvels at how space is able to improve many things on Earth that wouldn't be possible otherwise. (39:45)
  • Value Investing Is Dead. Here's What Replaces It. 02.06.2026 54мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Matthew Tuttle to the show. Matthew is the CEO of Tuttle Capital Management, a firm that focuses on breaking away from conventional Wall Street wisdom by using its own ETFs that target new investment opportunities.   Matthew kicks things off by discussing the "death of value investing" and what he believes is contributing to it. First, with the advent of the Internet, information was more accessible to ordinary people, so a lot of the edge from learning crucial details was lost. Second, folks lost interest in value investing. When COVID-19 struck, a lot of new investors spent their stimulus checks on meme stocks instead of solid companies. But while Matthew thinks it's dead, he says the new value stocks are in heavy assets, low obsolescence ("HALO") investing. These are stocks with physical assets, so it's unlikely that even AI could disrupt them. (0:00)   Next, Matthew shares his disdain for exchange-traded funds ("ETFs"). He believes the majority of them "stink" and that if investors want to invest in a theme, they should completely invest in that theme. The problem, he says, is that Magnificent Seven companies are added to an ETF with the businesses having little relation to the theme, and you're probably holding them in several places. Additionally, there are "way too many ETFs, way too many indexes, [and] way too many... investment ideas" that folks are buying into. But one of the bigger problems is that ETFs are being advertised to individual investors using "marketable" people rather than proven and tested portfolio managers. (13:03)   Finally, Matthew shares the framework behind his hedging and asymmetry strategy. With hedging, you want to limit your tailing risk. However, Matthew says that bonds are not a proper hedge, and points out how "Liberation Day" and the Iran conflict saw bonds sell in tandem with stocks. With asymmetry, the idea is to limit your losses instead of your gains. Matthew says that all the top investors he has spoken with had their own methods that made them lots of money when their ideas were correct, but they only lost a little bit of money when they were wrong. It's important that you also set up your strategy work the same way. And Matthew says that going down the supply chain of breakthrough companies helps you find the best investing opportunities. (33:40)
  • The 50% AI Software Crash: Why Wall Street Is Dead Wrong 26.05.2026 54мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Bryan Beach back to the show. Bryan is the editor of Stansberry Venture Value and a senior analyst on Stansberry's Investment Advisory.   Bryan kicks things off by discussing the idea of passive investing and how it has changed the way the market is valuated. He says that folks are relentlessly buying the biggest stocks every time they invest in their retirement funds, and they don't even know it. This "irrational indifference" could result in such a high level of volatility that it leads to mass liquidation of stocks. Bryan then talks about Software as a Service ("SaaS") and why artificial intelligence ("AI") isn't going to kill the companies that focus on it. (0:00)   Next, Bryan does a deep dive into Salesforce (CRM) and its business model. Investors thought that AI was going to undermine the company and similar businesses because it offers better efficiency and can be cheaper. However, its software is so embedded in its customers' operations that they don't want to leave it, even if they aren't in love with it. Bryan says that "sticky" companies with models like that are ones you want to look at. (20:14)   Finally, Bryan shares the market sectors he's most interested in right now. He says investors should keep an eye on the conflict in the Middle East. This has created multiple energy investment opportunities in North America, especially in Canada. But in general, it pays to frequently brush up on what's going on in the world to see what new opportunities could arise. And contrary to what you might think, investing isn't an "either/or" matter. If you're focused on long-term investing, you can take advantage of volatility and make options trades. (33:37)
  • The Hidden Flaw in Wall Street's Trillion-Dollar Maths 19.05.2026 54мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes James Weatherall to the show. Unlike most of our guests, James does not come from a finance background. However, he has found interesting ways in which physics can change investing. You can check out his book The Physics of Wall Street here.   James kicks things off by sharing his background in physics and philosophy. He's interested in mathematics and how it can be applied to the markets. He's a firm believer in using mathematical models to assist in investing but says that it's important to examine your models and check your assumptions that result from them. If one model is good for a particular use case, trying to use it in a different area or within a larger scope than it was originally intended can yield different results than expected. James discusses the models that Louis Bachelier and Edward Thorp (whom he writes about in his book The Physics of Wall Street) created that would have a major impact on investing. (0:00)   Next, James mentions extreme events similar to Black Monday and their probability of occurring. He notes that in the long term, investors with 401(k)s would be able to survive and even recover after major crashes. However, anyone who overleverages a trade or invests heavily in the short term is at a greater risk of having their portfolios be wiped out. James also mentions the Kelly criterion, a strategy developed by mathematician John Kelly. In short, this method involves having an understanding of what could happen with stocks better than the markets and using that to your advantage to make the optimized trades possible. And when asked if he would change anything about his ideas in The Physics of Wall Street, he remains adamant that his argument still holds up. (19:01)   Finally, James mentions passive trading and volatility and how, over time, the addition of new passive investors will gradually increase market volatility. He adds that there's a scalability problem in the markets. In one example, he says that private markets "worked great 20 years ago" but only "worked OK" 10 years ago. Private markets are slowly becoming less able to sustain the growth they have. And James wraps things up by sharing his personal use cases of AI and his fears with the technology. (34:44)
  • George Noble: Why the Tesla and AI Bubble Will 'End Badly' 12.05.2026 45мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes George Noble to the show. George is the managing partner of Noble Capital Advisors. He's also the author of The Noble Update on Substack, which has more than 13,000 subscribers.   George kicks things off by expressing his skepticism about Tesla. He says that despite the company branching out into different areas, the majority of its revenue comes from car sales and should therefore be treated as a car company. He also believes that investors are improperly valuating the stock, ignoring the fundamentals in favor of "charts" and "the narrative." And his sentiment extends further out into SpaceX. Due to the Nasdaq Composite Index altering the rules for listing stocks, George thinks that the company's upcoming IPO is not going as well as people might think if it couldn't meet the previous requirements for entry. (0:00)   Next, George discusses semiconductor capital expenditures. He says that folks are too caught up in the current boom and aren't looking at whether a company has a price to earnings that warrants buying a company's stock. Then he shifts the conversation briefly to bonds, saying that the market is so focused on energy due to tension surrounding the Strait of Hormuz that it hasn't noticed that bond rates have gone up, which normally go down during war. And his concern with that is what happens when we face a deflation bust. Additionally, investors aren't even aware of how hyperscalers have been hurting their portfolios, thinking that they hold a diversified collection of stocks. (13:26)   Finally, George shares how U.S. bonds are losing their worth due to the weakening dollar and warns that folks should "run, not walk" from their bonds. While bond coupons are enticing, the value of the money you receive is not worth it in the long term. George believes that the value of the dollar is currently pegged to U.S. expenses and payments, and just like when it was removed from the gold standard, he says that we need to cut it loose to end the continuing downward spiral. And he leaves listeners with a word of encouragement – and caution for newer investors. (27:41)
  • Everyone Trades Too Much... And It's Costing Them Everything 05.05.2026 45мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Jonathan Rose to the show. Jonathan is the editor of Masters in Trading at our corporate affiliate InvestorPlace. He has a presentation where he's showing how he's tracking 20 stocks that have strong, unusual market bets right now. You can view this presentation here.   Jonathan kicks things off by sharing how his livestream show operates and how his Discord community has become a resource for newcomers. He then gives his trading background by explaining how he made 1,000 trades a day for the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and how that launched his career. He also mentions what's new on the market floor due to technology changing the way we invest. Jonathan next states what he looks for in his trades. He says the best traders should be able to explain why they're making a particular trade. For him, valuation is one of the things he looks for. And he likes to search for groups of five stocks that can rise together even if one is lagging. (0:00)   Next, Jonathan discusses owning multiple ideas and having "relative trading" between stocks. He also believes that stocks aren't "expensive" or "inexpensive" in isolation – rather, they can be high or low, correlating to similar stocks. One of the things that Jonathan does when looking for new trades is following "unusual options activity" set by the biggest traders. It suggests that they know something about companies that most folks don't, and paying attention tends to pay off. And Jonathan cautions against making too many trades. (13:26)   Finally, Jonathan advises treating trading like any other business and earn the right to buy more shares or place bigger trades. If you track your portfolio's performance and see that it's strong, it's fine to add risk. But if your portfolio is pulling back, you should be controlling your risk instead. Jonathan then shares four tickers and will explain why he's looking at them in his upcoming presentation. And he wants investors to understand that everything in the financial world is a derivative of something else and that you should find a way to express your opinion in whichever area you choose to invest in. (29:00)
  • What Big Money Is Doing While Everyone Else Is Guessing 28.04.2026 56мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Pete Carmasino back to the show. Pete is the chief market strategist at our corporate affiliate Chaikin Analytics. He's also editor of the Chaikin PowerTactics and Chaikin Power Portfolio newsletters.   Pete kicks things off by discussing the current trends he's seeing. He says that you can't focus on just one area because there are many moving parts that shape the market, including other investors. The goal, he states, is to react to the movements, not predict where things are headed. Predictions can be wrong, and folks who don't react wind up missing out on new opportunities. Pete then shares his investing process. He understands that sectors rotate, and when he sees a shift from one sector to another, he follows the signal on where to start moving money. He also looks at fundamentals and technicals to determine whether the stocks he's looking at are good buys at the moment. And he shares his thoughts on the Strait of Hormuz tension and how things might play out. (0:00)   Next, Pete shares his thoughts on the energy crisis. He says the root cause is less of a supply issue and more of a distribution problem. He believes that properly equipping refineries will encourage miners to produce more oil. According to him, if the supply can increase while conflict tensions decrease, we can have an equilibrium where consumers are comfortable with gas prices and miners are content to continue drilling. Then, he talks about the producers that he finds most promising in several different sectors. (17:05)   Finally, Pete explains how his portfolio works. Using a "top-down analysis," he looks at themes throughout the year to find the best names in the strongest market sectors. He then shifts to the market corrections we've seen since the sell-off from last year's "Liberation Day." But he notes that the big names in the Magnificent Seven didn't recover with the rest of the broader market last November. And that implies that the baton could be getting passed from tech to energy. So he adjusted his portfolio to prepare for a sector rotation. He then wraps things up by stressing the importance of handling risk management in your portfolio. (35:48)
  • The Diesel Crisis That Could Send Gas to $10 Overnight 21.04.2026 54мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Tracy Shuchart to the show. Tracy is the founder, CEO, and chief market strategist of Hilltower Research Advisors. She's also the author of the Renegade Resources newsletter on Substack, which has more than 8,000 subscribers.   Tracy kicks things off by discussing the issues surrounding diesel. She says that the world was previously in a "diesel crunch" in 2025, which only started to ease up in early 2026. With 14% of global refined products passing through the Strait of Hormuz, tension with Iran has started to set things back again. Tracy also states that there's a diesel refinery issue. The U.S. has been slow to build new refineries and is importing diesel from Europe, which is experiencing its own refinery problems. Tracy then gives her 10-year outlook on diesel for the U.S., with part of the solution being that the country looks to South America. (0:00)   Next, Tracy shares her reasoning for discussing municipal bonds in her recent writings. She sees a lot of risk in buying energy bonds right now and cautions investors to know what they're buying if they decide to buy any of them. She then mentions how commodities have more applications than most folks realize and are connected with other resources. For example, a sulfuric acid shortage in Africa is impacting copper mines. Tracy then shifts the discussion to China's willingness to produce energy by utilizing any resources necessary, including coal, and she believes that Southeast Asian countries could also start leaning more toward coal as well. She thinks that while nuclear energy is starting to be seen as a viable energy solution, it will take time to establish power plants and overcome remaining pushback. (16:20)   Finally, Tracy explains the problems with relying on solar power as a primary source, especially since our grids aren't built to accommodate it. And while there are discussions about adding batteries, she says it's not efficient enough or economically viable for widespread use. Tracy then shares several companies that she's looking at that she believes will be well positioned once the Iran conflict settles. And she concludes things by sharing her bullish outlook on gold. (36:02)
  • The Five Best Turnaround Stocks in 2026 to Buy Now 14.04.2026 56мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes Alex Morris back to the show. Alex is the founder of TSOH (The Science of Hitting) Investment Research and an author. TSOH, which boasts more than 24,000 subscribers, aims to generate attractive long-term returns while providing complete transparency on the research process, portfolio decision-making, and returns.   Alex kicks things off by reflecting on the potential changes in Berkshire Hathaway due to the passing of Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett's retirement. He believes the company is in a good position to continue the momentum that was built up when Buffett was at the helm and acknowledges that the issues the company currently faces were present during Buffett's final days. Alex then begins sharing the names of companies that have fallen but he believes will be able to improve their positions. Though he's wary about picking beaten stocks that might be going nowhere. (0:00)   Next, Alex gives his outlook on the next set of stocks he's considering. The first was impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. But Alex believes that it's taking the right steps to combat inflation without causing its customers to turn away. The second stock is in a niche field. It's currently facing headwinds from a stagnant housing market, but Alex is confident that once conditions improve, the company is set to boom. The third is building up its business by providing higher-quality, premium beverages compared with the competition, which can produce loyal customers who won't want to settle for anything else. And the fourth also provides premium products, only directed at the egg industry. (24:54)   Finally, Alex discusses his final stock pick. This is a company that has faced controversy surrounding user safety, but Alex says the company has improved and continues to improve its safety protocols and is righting the ship. In the long run, he sees the company being comparable with YouTube due to the way its creators make experiences that can't be rivaled by any similar platform. And he concludes by stressing the importance of creating goals in your life. (44:13)
  • These Energy Stocks Are Still Cheap... Not for Long 07.04.2026 46мин
    In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan welcomes value investor Tobias Carlisle back to the show. Tobias is the founder and portfolio manager of Acquirers Funds, a deep-value investment firm. He's also the host of a podcast and the author of numerous books, including The Acquirer's Multiple.   Tobias kicks things off by discussing the performance of his energy fund and the energy sector. He likes to compare gold with oil to see how their pricing has moved in relation to each other over the past year. He thinks oil companies are still cheap and believes that we haven't seen "peak oil" prices yet. He also gives the tickers of two energy companies that he's confident are good places to put your money to take advantage of the energy crisis. (0:00)   Next, Tobias shares two other energy stocks that he's fond of. While these companies aren't as stable as the previous two due to their locations, they possess quality shale sites that make them compelling considerations. Tobias then shifts his attention to two other companies focused on the fertilizer and copper industries. With the first company, he emphasizes that folks need to eat and that the company will aid in food production and remain strong, especially since "nitrogen-based fertilizer feeds half the world." And with the second company, he believes that we're currently in the middle of a cycle for copper demand. (14:52)   Finally, Tobias gives his thoughts on the housing sector. While many investors might avoid it because housing sales are lower than they were at the bottom of the great financial crisis (due to high home prices), he believes that buying now and holding on will pay off when it springs back to life. He also makes the case that in most markets you want to be a contrarian because you can buy good companies at low price-to-earnings multiples. And he cautions investors not to think about companies as blank tickers but as functioning, moving entities that have work put into them that can break them out of stagnancy. (28:34)

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