Finance TL;DR Daily

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  The Fed Hikes, the 10-Year Breaks 5%: A Global Bond Rout Hits Home 15.09.2026 6мин

  Finance TL;DR Daily covers the Fed's expected first rate hike under Chairman Kevin Warsh, the 10-year Treasury yield breaking above 5% for the first time since 2007, and a global bond selloff tied to surging oil prices and Middle East tensions. In this episode: • Federal Reserve expected to raise benchmark rate this week, marking first hike under Chairman Warsh — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/15/what-higher-for-longer-interest-rates-mean-for-your-investments.html • 10-year Treasury yield tops 5%, a critical threshold for markets and economy — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/15/treasury-yields-stocks-investors.html • Global bond yields surge to fresh highs, raising stakes for big borrowers — https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/stocks-wobble-no-sign-panic-yields-surge-2026-09-15/
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  Fed Set to Hike Under Warsh as 10-Year Yield Flirts With 5% 14.09.2026 4мин

  The Fed looks set to raise rates for the first time since 2023 at Kevin Warsh's first meeting as chair, with economists now pricing in another hike by March; meanwhile the 10-year Treasury yield briefly touched 5% as bond markets brace for a higher-for-longer rate world. In this episode: • Fed's table is set for a rate hike, a first under Warsh — https://www.reuters.com/business/feds-table-is-set-rate-hike-first-under-warsh-2026-09-14/ • Fed rate hike on Wednesday now likely, say economists, and at least one more to follow — https://www.reuters.com/business/fed-rate-hike-wednesday-now-likely-say-economists-least-one-more-follow-2026-09-14/ • 10-year Treasury yield hits 5% before reversing as traders await Fed meeting — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/14/10-year-us-treasury-is-closing-in-on-5percent.html
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  Hot CPI Seals the Fed Hike, Yields Spike, Oracle's AI Bet Pays Off 11.09.2026 6мин

  August CPI comes in hotter than expected, pushing odds of a Fed rate hike next week to nearly 90% and putting Chairman Kevin Warsh's credibility on the line. Treasury yields jump to multi-year highs on the news, while Oracle shares pop on 30% revenue growth and a $664 billion AI cloud backlog. In this episode: • Hotter-than-expected August CPI cements near-certainty of Fed rate hike next week — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/august-consumer-inflation-cements-fed-rate-hike-odds-what-wall-street-is-saying.html • Fed Chairman Warsh under intense pressure to hike rates to defend credibility — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/kevin-warsh-fed-cpi-inflation-rate-hike-analysis.html • Treasury yields surge to multi-year highs as sticky inflation data rattles bond market — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/us-treasurys-bonds-yields.html • Oracle shares jump on 30% revenue growth driven by AI cloud demand — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/oracle-stock-q1-earnings-ai-cloud.html
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  Trump Presses the Fed as Oil Tops $100 Before the Big Rate Call 09.09.2026 7мин

  The White House ramps up pressure on the Fed days before its rate decision, Brent crude surges past $100 on Middle East tensions, two make-or-break inflation reports land this week, and Treasury triples its bond buyback to calm shaky markets. In this episode: • Trump administration ramps up public pressure on Fed to cut rates ahead of pivotal meeting — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/05/trump-warsh-fed-september-rate-hike.html • Oil surges back above $100, fueling fresh inflation fears ahead of Fed decision — https://www.marketwatch.com/story/brent-crude-reaches-100-as-war-in-iran-intensifies-b73832e2?mod=mw_rss_topstories • Fed rate hike hinges on two key inflation reports due in the next two days — https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-rate-hike-hinges-on-two-key-inflation-reports-in-the-next-two-days-09d63bd9?mod=mw_rss_topstories • Treasury announces $6 billion debt buyback, triple the normal level — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/09/treasury-department-to-buy-back-6-billion-in-longer-term-debt-triple-the-normal-level.html
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  Oil Spikes Toward $100 as Saudi Attacks and Trade War Rattle Markets 08.09.2026 8мин

  Brent crude surges near $100 after Houthi attacks on Saudi energy facilities, sending the Dow down 600 points and reigniting inflation fears. Plus, Canada's $27.6 billion retaliatory tariffs take effect, UK borrowing costs hit a 28-year high, and GE Aerospace reportedly moves on a $12 billion acquisition of CPP. In this episode: • Brent crude oil hits $98 after Iran's Houthi allies attack multiple Saudi energy facilities — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/08/oil-prices-today-brent-wti-hormuz-iran-war.html • Canada's retaliatory tariffs worth CA$27.6 billion take effect as trade rift with U.S. deepens — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/08/canada-retaliatory-tariffs.html • Stock Market Today: Dow Dives 600 Points, Oil Pops — https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-us-iran-attacks-oil-prices-jump-brent-crude/?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo • UK borrows at highest interest rate since 1998, showing pressure on public finances — https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxPT3VpUHFNT2xIeWVHSTFCVEVrbV9ROWp1b1UxMUVWOTFPNV9zdEJ0c3dxR2VaYTlldEZhMXhEMnhKZmZuWjlMTFhKSUNkOWdmR3UzdkVUUnRscHRPUzIwY0UwYmNHY2k0VkJNR2NfdzR2MTNwTVV0bmM0ejd2Rkd1ZUl0S0VCMktXamRBOG10NU1nTWRyeWxJNkhqdkx2UmFqYThaLWZiWFcyQnpLU3pqSnV3?oc=5 • GE Aerospace To Buy Key Industry Castings Supplier CPP For Nearly $12 Billion — https://www.investors.com/news/ge-aerospace-acquisition-precision-products-castings-capacity-deal-ge-stock/?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo
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  Trump Threatens Trade Halt to Force Fed Rate Cut After Blowout Jobs Report 04.09.2026 5мин

  August payrolls smashed forecasts at 162,000 jobs, pushing Treasury yields higher and rate-hike odds above 60% — then President Trump threatened to cut off trade with deficit countries unless the Fed cuts rates instead, rattling markets over central bank independence. In this episode: • Trump threatens to halt trade with deficit nations unless Fed cuts rates after strong jobs data — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/04/trump-fed-rates-jobs-trade.html • U.S. payrolls surge past forecasts, sending rate hike bets and yields higher — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/04/jobs-report-august-2026.html
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  Waller's 'Give Disinflation a Chance' Sparks Rally as Nvidia Buys Hugging Face for $13B 03.09.2026 7мин

  Fed Governor Waller signals a possible September pause, sending stocks up and yields down; Nvidia agrees to buy Hugging Face for $12.9 billion; Broadcom's blowout AI numbers still weren't enough for the Street; and oil climbs on Middle East tensions without derailing the bond rally. In this episode: • Fed Governor Waller signals potential pause on rate hikes, boosting stocks and easing Treasury yields — https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/live/stock-market-today-thursday-september-3-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-futures-081525933.html • Nvidia to acquire AI platform Hugging Face for $13 billion — https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/live/stock-market-today-thursday-september-3-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-futures-081525933.html • Broadcom stock falls despite earnings beat, as AI revenue forecast fails to meet lofty expectations — https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/live/stock-market-today-thursday-september-3-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-futures-081525933.html • Oil prices climb as Middle East tensions escalate, but yields still fall — https://www.local10.com/business/2026/09/03/us-stocks-open-higher-while-oil-prices-continue-to-climb/
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  10-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Since 2023 as Global Bond Rout Deepens 02.09.2026 9мин

  A worldwide bond sell-off pushes U.S., UK, German and Japanese yields to multi-year highs on inflation fears and oil prices, while Fed's John Williams and a weak ADP jobs report muddy the picture ahead of the Fed's September meeting. Plus, the Bank of Canada holds rates steady despite an escalating tariff fight with the U.S. In this episode: • U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hits highest level since November 2023 — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/02/bond-yields-treasurys-inflation.html • Global bond rout deepens as inflation fears and rate hike bets mount — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/02/global-bond-yields-inflation-rates.html • Fed's Williams says yield surge due to strong economy, but leaves door open to a rate hike — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/02/new-york-feds-williams-says-yield-surge-due-to-strong-economic-prospects.html • ADP reports weaker-than-expected private job growth in August — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/02/private-payrolls-rose-by-38000-in-august-fewer-than-expected-adp-reports.html • Bank of Canada holds interest rate steady amid trade war clouds — https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/bank-canada-holds-interest-rate-225-trade-war-clouds-outlook-2026-09-02/
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  Mortgage Rates Spike, 10-Year Yield Nears 5%, and OpenAI's $7B Cash-Out 31.08.2026 6мин

  Mortgage rates hit their highest since June 2025 as Middle East tanker attacks send oil and Treasury yields higher, the 10-year yield's breakout toward 5% raises fresh alarm about federal borrowing costs, and OpenAI completes a $7 billion secondary share sale ahead of a targeted 2027 IPO. In this episode: • Mortgage rates surge to the highest since June 2025 as new Middle East attacks push oil prices up — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/31/mortgage-rates-surge-middle-east-attacks-oil.html • The 10-year Treasury yield is breaking out and 5% could be just the beginning. Here’s why that matters. — https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-10-year-treasury-yield-is-breaking-out-and-5-could-be-just-the-beginning-heres-why-that-matters-3906b83e?mod=mw_rss_topstories • Sam Altman's OpenAI Just Completed a $7 Billion Share Sale as It Eyes a Trillion-Dollar IPO — https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/sam-altmans-openai-just-completed-175000614.html
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  Sticky Inflation, a Jittery Fed, and Meta's $16.7 Billion Settlement 26.08.2026 6мин

  Core PCE inflation holds at 3.3% just days before Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond buyback move adds pressure on the Fed, and Meta settles teen social media addiction lawsuits with 29 states for $16.7 billion. In this episode: • Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows core prices rose 3.3% annually in July — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/26/feds-preferred-inflation-gauge-shows-core-prices-rose-3point3percent-annually-in-july.html • Dollar and bond markets 'on edge' ahead of Jackson Hole as Bessent's market intervention piles pressure on Warsh — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/26/jackson-hole-warsh-bessent-bonds-treasury-dollar.html • Meta settles social media addiction case with California, other states for $16.7 billion — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/26/meta-social-media-trial-settlement.html
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  Sanctions Shrug, Debasement Trade Roars: Gold, Bitcoin, and a Tense Wait for Nvidia 25.08.2026 7мин

  New U.S. sanctions on Iran barely move markets while China's role stays murky, Treasury eyes its $1 trillion cash account to fund bond buybacks, gold and Bitcoin surge on the 'debasement trade,' and tech stocks slide ahead of Nvidia earnings and Alibaba's discounted share sale. In this episode: • U.S. expands sanctions on Iran, but markets shrug as China's role remains unclear — https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/shares-oil-dip-us-sanctions-iran-loom-6336701 • Treasury yields fall on report Bessent may use General Account to fund bond buybacks — https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/shares-oil-dip-us-sanctions-iran-loom-6336701 • Gold and Bitcoin surge as 'debasement trade' returns on Treasury debt moves — https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/commodities/articles/gold-bitcoin-surge-treasury-bond-154835198.html • Tech stocks slump ahead of Nvidia earnings, Alibaba's share sale weighs on sentiment — https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/shares-oil-dip-us-sanctions-iran-loom-6336701
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  Bessent's Bond Buyback Backfires as Inflation Fears Rattle Markets Before Jackson Hole 24.08.2026 7мин

  Treasury Secretary Bessent's oversized bond buyback plan spooked inflation expectations instead of calming them, raising the stakes for Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole debut. Plus, U.S.-Canada trade talks collapse as 50% tariffs and retaliation kick in. In this episode: • Bessent's bond buyback plan backfires, sparking inflation fears and pressuring the Fed — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/21/bessents-bond-gambit-aimed-at-calming-markets-is-instead-stirring-inflation-worries-.html • U.S. imposes 50% tariffs on Canadian goods after trade talks collapse — https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/us-canadian-trade-teams-meet-again-tariffs-deadline-looms-2026-08-21/ • Bond market anxiety raises stakes for Warsh's debut Jackson Hole speech — https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxQcnNlclhfMG4yZE9OTExTUEQ4Zi1sUml5RFdoUVZiU2tXd3EtaTJSc0E4YlRBQUp4T1hvSzdmVHRBeFhobTMxV1hodmhsRl80Zm4zSldlTzBWTGJMeTNEd0RnekpmLV9RaVprUWp4SlBCQXJheXc1ZUt4NEx2T3pON0NQQTVlQTlldVA0SWRWdmN6OWVwc25jUlRBeGFTUFIzaC1YNlRQSzFrREtrQ3FXWQ?oc=5 • Bessent could tap $1 trillion Treasury General Account to fund bond buybacks — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/24/bessent-1-trillion-treasury-general-account-bond-buybacks.html
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  Japan's Inflation Spike, US Housing Starts Sink, and Nvidia's Make-or-Break Week 21.08.2026 7мин

  Japan's inflation hits a 2026 high and puts the Bank of Japan on track for a September rate hike, while U.S. housing starts post their steepest drop in years. Plus, why Nvidia's earnings next Wednesday could decide the market's direction, and the U.S.-Canada trade deal coming down to the wire. In this episode: • Japan headline inflation rate hits highest this year as energy prices bite — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/21/japan-inflation-iran-war-energy.html • Economic Watch: U.S. housing starts plummet in July amid elevated rates — https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMifEFVX3lxTE1reDBwWGRmT0wxZjFZVTFZZXhNS2ZSbTV5aVJCZkdYYzEteXNFM0J3MldhUWNCb3h3VUxTa1RyT1NoRkQ0bmlMZ1FfWVFBNmxCQk43ck9mbHpqdDU1NDl2YlJxUDdLdVR2WlVobkF3N2dCQXRidG9CNHJaS00?oc=5 • Nvidia earnings could rescue a stalled-out stock market — if the AI chip maker breaks this trend — https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nvidia-earnings-could-rescue-a-stalling-stock-market-if-the-ai-chip-maker-breaks-this-trend-9b6504bc?mod=mw_rss_topstories • U.S., Canada near final trade deal as Trump tariff deadline looms — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/21/trump-canada-tariffs-trade-deal-deadline.html
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  Fed Minutes Flag Hike Risk as U.S. Debt Tops $40 Trillion 20.08.2026 6мин

  The July Fed minutes show officials open to hiking rates if inflation stays hot, even as Trump renews his push for cuts and the national debt crosses $40 trillion. Plus, why Walmart shares fell despite raised guidance. In this episode: • Fed minutes show officials ready to hike rates if inflation remains elevated — [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/19/fed-minutes-july-2026-officials-saw-need-for-rate-hike-if-inflation-doesnt-cool.html) • Trump renews pressure on Fed for rate cuts, calls current costs 'ridiculous' — [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/19/trump-bemoans-fed-interest-rate-policy-says-us-should-be-paying-much-less.html) • U.S. debt hits $40 trillion as Treasury struggles to contain surging bond yields — [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/19/us-government-debt-passes-40-trillion-mark-for-the-first-time.html) • Walmart stock drops on sales miss despite raising full-year outlook — [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/20/walmart-wmt-q2-2027-earnings.html)
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  UAE Cuts Off Iran, Treasury Steps In, and Moderna's Cancer Vaccine Shocker 19.08.2026 8мин

  The UAE severs trade with Iran after a missile strike, sending oil and safe-haven flows into motion, while the U.S. Treasury doubles debt buybacks to calm a jittery bond market. Plus: Moderna and Merck's melanoma vaccine data sends the stock soaring, Google eyes a $12.2 billion stake in Marvell's custom chips, and India's central bank signals hikes are coming. In this episode: • UAE severs trade with Iran after reported missile strike — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/19/us-iran-war-trump-hormuz.html • Treasury doubles debt buybacks as Bessent moves to steady bond market — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/19/treasury-announces-upscaled-buyback-operation-for-longer-term-debt-sending-yields-lower.html • Moderna, Merck cancer vaccine shows promise in late-stage trial; Moderna stock soars 90% — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/19/moderna-merck-cancer-vaccine-shows-initial-late-stage-melanoma-data.html • Marvell gives Google option to buy $12.2 billion stake in custom chip deal — https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/articles/marvell-grants-google-12-2-123812695.html • India rate panel signals impending hikes, eyes inflation path to gauge timing — https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/india-rate-panel-signals-impending-122914248.html
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  Fed Odds Flip as Jobs Miss and Cooling Inflation Push Stocks to Record Highs 18.08.2026 7мин

  A surprise jobs miss and cooler wholesale inflation have traders betting the Fed holds rates in September, sending stocks to record highs even as 30-year Treasury yields sat at 19-year highs earlier in the week. Plus, Russia's state development bank fires its chief economist after he warned Moscow is losing the economic war of attrition. In this episode: • Fed may hold rates steady as cooling inflation and weak jobs data reduce hike odds — https://finance-commerce.com/2026/08/fed-interest-rates-inflation-jobs-outlook/ • U.S. stocks rally to record highs as inflation cools and oil prices drop — https://apnews.com/article/stock-markets-ai-semiconductors-fed-energy-3a23f22469cd0e0062f711096906525c • Russia fires top economist after he warned the country is losing an economic 'war of attrition' — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/18/ukraine-war-russia-economy-klepach.html • 30-year Treasury yield tops 5.33%, a new 19-year high on inflation and spending concerns — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/18/treasury-yields-.html
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  September Fed Hike Bets Collapse as Jobs Data Crumbles 17.08.2026 8мин

  Fed rate hike odds for September plunge to roughly 30% after a shock jobs loss, sending the dollar to a two-month low ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes — plus why futures still price in a year-end hike, and fresh signs China's economy is losing steam. In this episode: • September Fed Rate Hike Odds Plunge as Inflation and Jobs Data Cool — https://www.top1markets.com/news/september-fed-rate-hike-odds • Fed Minutes to Offer Outdated but Insightful Look at Internal Debate — https://www.top1markets.com/news/september-fed-rate-hike-odds • Markets Still Price in Year-End Fed Hike Despite Recent Data Softness — https://finance-commerce.com/2026/08/fed-interest-rates-inflation-jobs-outlook/ • Dollar Slips to Multi-Month Low as Rate Hike Bets Fade — https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/currencies/articles/yen-edges-traders-push-back-004148952.html • China's Economy Slows Further in July as Retail Sales, Investment Weaken — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/17/china-economy-sales-investment-july-.html
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  Cooler CPI, Weaker Retail Sales, and a Chip Bellwether Stumbles 14.08.2026 7мин

  Soft inflation data has traders leaning toward a Fed hold in September, even as a surprise drop in July retail sales adds to the cooling-economy narrative. Plus, Applied Materials shares slide on weak guidance despite beating earnings, and global equity funds notch a 12th straight week of inflows. In this episode: • Cooler inflation data may force Warsh's divided Fed to hold the line on rates — https://reuters.com/business/cooler-inflation-data-may-force-warshs-divided-fed-hold-line-rates-2026-08-14 • US retail sales post first decline in nine months in July — https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/us-retail-sales-unexpectedly-fall-123738457.html • Applied Materials shares fall on guidance and margin concerns — https://www.marketwatch.com/story/applied-materials-shares-are-down-on-elevated-expectations-heres-why-analysts-say-its-time-to-buy-bd34dd54?mod=mw_rss_topstories • Global equity funds extend inflow streak as earnings optimism and reduced rate-hike bets lift sentiment — https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiggFBVV95cUxQaHdwdGdTdWxKVTJleUJfTEpnS0dNcEMzMENrX1RMRWx2Y1FvaTd5NzFrMW8tNXlvVDdEaVhmd0Q3dHBVSlZYNE5OZm8wcHBkSVduMWRLNHM1R1YtRWNDdkJGWWtTMkVOTWZZc1RZdzRIRlJVeW9HaTM1ejVsQ3NwcnFn?oc=5
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  Wholesale Prices Stall, But a Fed President Wants Rates Higher Anyway 13.08.2026 7мин

  A surprisingly flat Producer Price Index report boosts hopes for a September rate cut, but Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack's dissent shows the inflation fight isn't settled. Plus, Databricks hits a $190 billion valuation, and the U.S. budget deficit posts its biggest July shortfall since 2021. In this episode: • Wholesale prices were flat in July, below expectations for 0.2% increase — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/13/wholesale-prices-were-flat-in-july-below-expectations-for-0point2percent-increase.html • Fed should raise rates to restrain growth and inflation, Hammack says — https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxNVHBQbGpaRk5FcmRfWTlhRmNHeFJiWlpOY2pyY25qdzFka19seGhUU29vMWlvVkxzdW1oMUtYVjN0bU1WNzBsRzZxOS1BLWdRRXVPdDdBdGdPVFRSU2dMZWtXbHZQcmZHTFdhQVU1RXNBYVVyZUdoTjE1RmluSXRxUUpkQXFqUkRXR0RHZ3Fxakh4dEJYY0FUM2toSTNyMFlCc3VpTHlCVTZUbGMtZGZFN0hkVG8?oc=5 • Databricks wraps $5 billion funding round at $190 billion valuation — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/13/databricks-funding-round-190-billion-valuation.html • U.S. budget deficit surged in July to highest level since March 2021 — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/12/us-budget-deficit-surged-in-july-to-highest-level-since-march-2021.html
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  Inflation Cools to 3.4%, Wall Street Rips to Records on AI Earnings 12.08.2026 7мин

  July CPI cools to 3.4% and eases pressure on the Fed, sending the S&P 500 to fresh record highs on blowout AI earnings from Palantir, CoreWeave and Nebius, while mortgage rates finally stop climbing. In this episode: • U.S. inflation cools to 3.4% in July, easing pressure on the Federal Reserve — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/12/cpi-inflation-report-july-2026.html • Wall Street rallies to record highs as AI earnings boost tech and rate-hike bets fade — https://www.reuters.com/markets/us-wall-st-gains-ai-earnings-lift-tech-inflation-data-supports-rate-hold-bets-2026-08-12/ • AI infrastructure stocks surge as CoreWeave and Nebius report upbeat earnings — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/12/coreweave-q2-earnings-ai-demand.html • Mortgage rates stabilize as cooling inflation eases financial conditions — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/12/mortgage-rates-finally-stop-rising-causing-demand-to-trickle-back-.html