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Winners & losers of AI slowdown 15.09.2026 10мин

The AI trade is entering a new phase. Until now, investors worried about valuations, circular financing, soaring capex and whether massive spending on chips and data centres would eventually generate adequate returns. Now, the debate has shifted to the speed of AI development itself. That change is already creating unexpected winners and losers, as investors reconsider who benefits if the race for ever-larger frontier models slows. The consequences could also spill into the broader economy, where AI-related investment has become an important source of growth. Add surging energy prices, persistent inflation, geopolitical uncertainty and expensive borrowing, and the timing is hardly ideal. All this comes as the Fed gathers for a highly uncertain policy meeting, with markets heavily betting on a 25bp hike despite receiving no such promise from Kevin Warsh’s Fed. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

What happens if AI growth slows? 14.09.2026 10мин

Oil prices are pushing higher as Middle East tensions intensify, while growing concerns about the pace of AI development are putting the technology trade under pressure. A potential AI slowdown also raises a bigger financial question: who pays for the massive data-centre leases, debt and power commitments accumulated during the AI boom? Meanwhile, central banks add another layer of uncertainty. The Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan are expected to raise rates this week, increasing borrowing costs just as concerns about AI-led growth emerge. Technology-heavy markets, including the Kospi, TAIEX and Nasdaq, could remain particularly vulnerable, while higher oil prices weigh on the broader market. With bonds under pressure and even traditional safe havens like gold and the Swiss franc struggling, investors may increasingly look toward energy, miners and hard commodities for relative protection. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Oil, yields spike, sentiment weak 11.09.2026 10мин

Oil prices are soaring, inflation pressures are building and bond yields are flying. Brent crude hit $110 per barrel as Middle East tensions intensified, while US producer inflation accelerated to 5.4%, adding pressure on the Federal Reserve ahead of next week’s policy decision. Across the Atlantic, the ECB delivered a widely expected 25bp rate hike as Christine Lagarde warned that energy prices are increasing upside risks to inflation. Meanwhile, Donald Trump floated the idea of $5’000 cheques for American adults – a proposal that could potentially cost more than $1 trillion – just as concerns over US debt and fiscal discipline intensify. Treasury buybacks failed to calm the bond market, with the US 10-year yield flirting with 5%. One bright spot came from Oracle, where strong cloud growth and better-than-expected cash flow offered some relief to leveraged fears, but Nasdaq is trailing behind peers this morning, and the rest is not looking brilliant, either... Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Bitcoin slowing down due to quantum fears? | Crypto Talk 10.09.2026 7мин

Is this another step before a leg up or an actual quantum scare? 00:00 Intro 00:27 Disclaimer 00:31 Preview 00:41 Bitcoin 03:43 Ethereum 05:40 Solana 07:07 Subscribe & Good bye #crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote _____ 👉 Discover our brand and philosophy: https://www.swissquote.com/en/group _____ 👉 Deepen your trading and investing knowledge with Swissquote Inspire: explore our articles, analyses, webinars and exclusive content: https://www.swissquote.com/private/inspire _____ 👉 Discover Swissquote’s culture and join a company that values innovation, diversity and team spirit: https://www.swissquote.com/en/careers

Who is The House? 10.09.2026 10мин

Rising oil prices continue to fuel inflation fears, pushing global bond yields higher and putting pressure on equities. Even the US Treasury’s announcement to triple the size of today’s 10- to 20-year bond buyback has failed to calm the long end of the yield curve. Scott Bessent says he is “the house now”, but markets are clearly not playing along. And there is a delicious historical irony. Back in 1992, Bessent was on the other side of the table, working with George Soros as markets forced Britain out of the ERM on Black Wednesday. The lesson then? Fighting fundamentals can get very expensive. Meanwhile, the ECB is preparing another 25bp rate hike as Europe faces a renewed energy-driven inflation shock. Higher rates, higher oil prices and higher yields are testing policymakers and investors alike. So, who really is the house now, and what’s at stake? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Brent near $100pb weighs on sentiment 10.09.2026 10мин

Brent crude is approaching the psychological $100pb mark as geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions keep energy markets on edge. Falling global oil reserves, disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz and a potential recovery in Chinese crude demand could add further upside pressure to prices. Higher oil and gas prices are also reviving inflation concerns, pushing bond yields higher and complicating the outlook for central banks. Meanwhile, technology stocks continue to resist the broader risk-off mood, supported by fresh AI developments and major new partnerships. But the AI story has another side: massive capital spending, rising borrowing requirements, leveraged balance sheets and uncertain returns. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Yen carry unwind risks are back! 08.09.2026 11мин

Markets kicked off the week on a mixed note. Asian tech stocks followed Wall Street higher on renewed excitement around OpenAI and the race toward AGI, while European equities struggled under the weight of rising energy prices, weak German industrial production and expectations of an ECB rate hike. The major focus however was the sharp rise in the Japanese yen and the rising risk of a carry unwind. Years of cheap Japanese funding encouraged investors to borrow in yen and pile into higher-yielding assets, pushing classic carry pairs such as AUD/JPY to extreme levels. But today, with the Bank of Japan potentially turning more hawkish, those trades could become increasingly vulnerable. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Strong US Jobs, rising oil weigh on sentiment; tech spared… for now 07.09.2026 10мин

Strong US jobs data, rising oil prices and higher Treasury yields are increasing pressure on global markets — but tech stocks don’t seem to care. The latest US employment report strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise rates in September, while escalating Middle East tensions keep crude oil prices elevated and inflation risks alive. Yet AI enthusiasm continues to support tech valuations. OpenAI’s latest model launch boosted sentiment across the sector, with the rally spreading to Asian chipmakers and technology stocks. Meanwhile, bond markets remain under pressure as the US Treasury prepares bigger buybacks and some of the world’s largest institutional investors reconsider their sovereign bond allocations. This week brings another series of important tests: US inflation data, a potential 25bp ECB rate hike, and earnings from Oracle and Adobe that could reveal whether the AI boom is translating into stronger revenues and profits beyond the chipmakers. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

If inflation won’t cool, jobs must 04.09.2026 9мин

Markets are looking for relief as rising oil prices, sticky inflation and mounting debt keep global bond yields under pressure. Attention now turns to the US jobs report. A softer-than-expected print — ideally accompanied by softer wage growth — could give Fed doves more room, pull yields and the dollar lower, and support equity valuations. But strong jobs data could reinforce inflation fears and keep borrowing costs elevated. Meanwhile, hawkish policy expectations are building across major central banks, from the Fed to the BoJ, while elevated energy prices are creating very different winners and losers across global markets. Energy-heavy indices may provide some diversification, while rate-sensitive technology stocks face growing pressure from higher financing costs. There is no magic resolution. Markets need softer yields — and ideally softer inflation. If inflation won’t cooperate, weaker jobs could do the trick, even if that’s the cure nobody wants. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Venezuelan oil to the rescue? 03.09.2026 10мин

Oil remains the key driver across global markets, but could Venezuela help cool the pressure? The country is preparing to significantly boost production, thanks to US producers invstment. Yet not all oil is created equal. Venezuela’s crude is generally heavier and sourer than many Middle Eastern grades, making it harder and more expensive to transport and refine. So while additional Venezuelan barrels could weigh on global oil prices, they cannot simply replace disrupted Gulf supply. Meanwhile, elevated energy prices continue to fuel inflation concerns and hawkish central bank expectations. The ECB, BoJ, RBA, BoE and Fed are all facing pressure to keep monetary policy tight. On a ‘brighter note’, softer US jobs data could offer markets some relief — but for bad economic news to become good news for stocks, oil prices may first need to stabilise. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

BTC needs a breather | Crypto Talk 02.09.2026 6мин

BTC just needs a short breather before the next leg up? 00:00 Intro 00:25 Disclaimer 00:29 Preview 00:40 Bitcoin 04:36 Ethereum 05:08 Solana 05:44 Subscribe & Good bye #crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote _____ 👉 Discover our brand and philosophy: https://www.swissquote.com/en/group _____ 👉 Deepen your trading and investing knowledge with Swissquote Inspire: explore our articles, analyses, webinars and exclusive content: https://www.swissquote.com/private/inspire _____ 👉 Discover Swissquote’s culture and join a company that values innovation, diversity and team spirit: https://www.swissquote.com/en/careers

The world turns on cheap China: Shein feels it 02.09.2026 10мин

Rising oil prices are once again fueling global inflation fears and pushing bond yields sharply higher, challenging policymakers and investors alike. Global trade tensions are also deepening, and China found itself increasingly isolated at the latest G20 meeting, as concerns over its export-led growth model, industrial subsidies and excess capacity gained broader international support. In fact, Shein’s unimpressive Hong Kong debut is part of the same story. The changing global trade landscape is putting pressure on the business models of Shein, PDD and Alibaba, while potentially leaving developed economies to deal with deeper cost of living crisis. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Can equity bulls resist rising yields? 01.09.2026 10мин

September kicks off on a bearish note as rising oil prices revive inflation concerns, push global bond yields higher and weigh on equity valuations. But markets enter the month with an important cushion: exceptionally strong Q2 earnings on both sides of the Atlantic. The key question is whether strong earnings can continue to offset rising borrowing costs. European equities still offer a relatively comfortable earnings-yield premium over sovereign bonds, but the picture is tighter in the US, where the S&P 500 earnings yield is now below the US 30-year Treasury yield. Meanwhile, investors are watching inflation data, increasingly uncomfortable central banks, the Fed’s next policy move and the US Treasury’s bigger bond buybacks. September could therefore become an important test for global equity valuations – and a good reason to think about regional and cross-asset diversification. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Fed hawks are back! 31.08.2026 10мин

Markets are kicking off the week under pressure as renewed Middle East tensions push oil prices higher, while hawkish central bank expectations add another layer of uncertainty. Kevin Warsh’s much-awaited Jackson Hole speech boosted expectations of a September Fed rate hike, sending the US dollar and short-term yields higher and weighing on equity appetite. In Europe, accelerating inflation and renewed pressure on energy prices are strengthening expectations that the ECB will continue tightening policy. Attention now turns to this week’s US jobs data for clues on whether the labour market remains resilient enough to support the Fed hawks. Meanwhile, earnings from Broadcom and Dell will offer another glimpse into booming AI infrastructure demand – and the increasingly important question of how Big Tech will finance its massive spending plans. Higher oil, higher yields, tighter policy and rising borrowing costs: the ingredients for more market volatility are falling into place. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Bullrun is officially back | Crypto Talk 28.08.2026 7мин

After a tremendous week we can officially say: The bullrun might just be back! 00:00 Intro 00:27 Disclaimer 00:31 Preview 00:42 Bitcoin 04:14 Ethereum 05:01 Solana 05:25 Circle 06:30 Expectations & Good bye #crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote _____ 👉 Discover our brand and philosophy: https://www.swissquote.com/en/group _____ 👉 Deepen your trading and investing knowledge with Swissquote Inspire: explore our articles, analyses, webinars and exclusive content: https://www.swissquote.com/private/inspire _____ 👉 Discover Swissquote’s culture and join a company that values innovation, diversity and team spirit: https://www.swissquote.com/en/careers

Jackson Hole: what’s at stake? 28.08.2026 10мин

All eyes are on Jackson Hole, where Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh faces one of the trickiest balancing acts of his young tenure. Inflation remains stubborn, energy prices are rising again and central banks around the world are turning increasingly hawkish. But in the US, the picture is complicated by the Treasury’s push to tame longer-term yields through bigger bond buybacks. A hawkish Warsh could send short-term yields and the US dollar higher, while potentially anchoring inflation expectations and limiting pressure on the long end. A more cautious or ambiguous message could weaken the dollar, revive selling in longer-dated Treasuries and raise fresh questions about Fed credibility. Meanwhile, US equity returns look far less spectacular for international investors once currency depreciation and inflation are taken into account! Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Nvidia earnings lift sentiment amid lingering macro risks 27.08.2026 10мин

Nvidia has done it again. Despite sky-high expectations and even higher whisper numbers, the AI giant delivered stronger-than-expected Q2 results, bullish guidance and a powerful message: demand remains enormous, and growth could be even stronger without supply constraints. With Big Tech AI spending approaching extraordinary levels, Nvidia’s dominant share of the GPU market and exceptional margins continue to support the earnings story – and make its valuation look surprisingly reasonable given its growth. But risks haven’t disappeared. Rising memory-chip prices, growing Big Tech leverage and higher global yields could limit the upside. Beyond Nvidia, sticky inflation across the US, Europe and Asia is reviving expectations of further monetary tightening. Attention now turns to Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. Can he restore Fed credibility, protect its independence and keep the US dollar supported? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Focus on US PCE, Nvidia earnings 26.08.2026 9мин

Markets finally got a little breathing room. Crude oil prices dropped, weak US consumer confidence helped cool hawkish Federal Reserve expectations, Treasury yields eased and equities welcomed the relief. Geopolitics also offered a glimmer of hope, as US diplomatic personnel return to the Gulf and Iran/Oman talks focus on an ‘interim reopening of the Strait of Hormuz’. But the real tests are still ahead. Today’s US PCE inflation report will show whether sticky price pressures are giving the Fed any room to soften its stance. Then all eyes turn to Nvidia after the bell. Expectations are sky-high, meaning strong numbers alone may not be enough: guidance, AI spending momentum and demand for Nvidia’s latest chips will matter just as much. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Nice setup for gold,hard commodities 25.08.2026 10мин

Global markets are navigating a complicated mix of geopolitical tensions, rising fiscal risks and renewed volatility in technology stocks. Fresh US sanctions on Iran – and the threat of secondary sanctions – could further strain relations with China, while Washington is considering using Treasury cash to expand bond buybacks and ease pressure on long-term borrowing costs. That may support bonds and equity valuations in the short run, but could also complicate the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight. Meanwhile, investors are increasingly turning toward hard assets. Gold is pushing higher as a hedge against fiscal, inflation and geopolitical risks, while copper remains supported by tight physical markets, strong demand from electrification and AI infrastructure, and backwardation. All eyes now turn to US PCE inflation and Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech for clues on how the Fed will respond to this increasingly complex policy backdrop. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.

Week Ahead: Nvidia earnings, Jackson Hole 24.08.2026 9мин

Fragile market sentiment sets the stage for a crucial week, with Nvidia earnings and Jackson Hole firmly in focus. AI financing concerns are growing as Big Tech spending accelerates, free cash flow comes under pressure and investors become increasingly sensitive to the cost of funding the AI boom. Even stellar Nvidia results may therefore struggle to impress. Meanwhile, the macroeconomic backdrop remains challenging. Elevated energy prices, stubborn inflation and rapidly growing US debt are keeping pressure on long-term yields. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is trying to contain borrowing costs, while Fed Chair Kevin Warsh favours allowing markets to play a greater role in pricing risk. Who ultimately controls the long end of the US yield curve — the Treasury, the Fed, or the bond market itself? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.