IBF On Demand

Епизоди

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  Forecasting Airbnb: Where Demand, Supply, and Uncertainty Collide 15.09.2026 35мин

  What if you could forecast demand but couldn’t build, order, or control the supply needed to meet it? A matter of fact you don’t even own your supply and have to forecast inventory as well. I sit down with Airbnb data scientist Harrison Katz, PhD, a designer of Bayesian workflows for structured forecasting, to explore the challenge of forecasting when supply depends entirely on others. We discuss uncertainty on both sides of the equation, where demand and supply planning become blurred, and h...
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  It Is Impossible to be Unbiased 26.08.2026 32мин

  We spend a lot of time worrying about AI hallucinations, but how often do humans invent patterns, explanations, and certainty that are not really there? In this episode, we explore the full gamut of human bias, from confirmation and anchoring to optimism and narrative bias. We also examine why planners can genuinely believe they see seasonality in just ten data points and what we can do to recognize and reduce bias in forecasting and decision-making. IBF On Demand sponsored by Arkieva,...
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  Why AI Projects Fail [How to Build One That Matters] 12.08.2026 31мин

  You are told to go do AI without good direction. We have been there and we know the struggle. I sit down with Ashley Oien, Senior Director of Demand Planning at Rise Baking Company, to unpack lessons from a real AI transformation journey including an AI project that started with the technology and ultimately revealed that the real business problems were somewhere else. We discuss how to identify the right AI proof of concept, start with a meaningful business problem, define success before imp...
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  Making Supply Chain Great Again: and something about AI… 08.07.2026 33мин

  The conversation around AI in supply chain planning has focused on one thing: forecast accuracy. But it doesn’t really work and what if we've been measuring the wrong outcome? In this episode I am joined by Yuqing Qu ("Joyce"), Data Scientist who leads machine learning and advanced analytics initiatives supporting supply chain optimization and enterprise decision intelligence. Together, we explore why the next evolution of AI in S&OP is moving beyond isolated forecasting models toward co...
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  Trust Me! Your S&OP/IBP and Business Process is Broken 09.06.2026 20мин

  The biggest hurdle for most S&OP and business process is not AI integration, perfecting a process, or agreeing on a number, it is trust. In this episode of IBF On Demand, Eric Wilson explores one of the most overlooked drivers of business performance: trust. Why do some organizations collaborate effectively while others struggle despite having the same tools, data, and processes? Why do some teams embrace change while others resist it? Why do some forecasts become plans while others...
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  Is AI Going to Take My Job: Absolutely Yes 27.05.2026 29мин

  This may be the most important episode I’ve done on AI yet. This is my AI manifesto you need to watch! Everyone keeps saying AI is replacing jobs. Absolutely they are already, but not for the reasons most companies are telling you. This isn’t another hype-filled conversation about how your jobs are not going away but just changing or talking points written by AI itself. This is a candid discussion on where I believe our field is actually heading and what you need to know about this AI revolut...
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  Your Global S&OP Is Broken, and I am Going to Tell You Why 29.04.2026 33мин

  Most companies think their S&OP or IBP struggles come down to process maturity, tools, or data. They’re wrong. In this episode, I sat down with Alina Davydova, Senior Manager of SIOP in Europe, to uncover the real reason global planning processes break down: cultural complexity. From how different regions make decisions… to how they collaborate… to even how they present and interpret data these hidden differences are quietly driving misalignment across global organizations. If you’ve ever...
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  Exactly How Many Companies are Using AI in Planning? 14.04.2026 35мин

  Everyone is talking about AI in forecasting and planning but how many companies are actually using it? In this episode, I answer your question and break down the real number (spoiler alert it is far less than you think). More importantly, I “delve” (because that would be the word AI would tell me to use) into what the other 97% of companies are actually using to plan, forecast, and run their business. I give insights into all the models available and how and when to use each of them. Suppor...
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  Are You Hurting Your Forecast – Forecast Value Added (FVA%) 26.02.2026 28мин

  FVA% is back, but it never really went away. In this episode I sit down with Jon Nichols, Associate Director of Business Planning, to unpack one of my favorite metrics in demand planning (next to MAPE): Forecast Value Added. This is the third time I’ve tackled FVA on this podcast, and new insights emerge every time. This conversation does not disappoint!! If you wonder whether you are adding value or just noise to your planning process and still aren't using FVA then this episode is an absolu...
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  Demand Planning AI is All Powerful and Good [The Rebuttal] 02.02.2026 26мин

  IBF On Demand sponsored by Arkieva, your one-plan S&OP software. Learn more about Arkieva's innovative approach to forecasting here httpbit.lybusiness-forecasting This is my response to my previous episode A Demand Planning Manifesto for the AI Era. If that episode was the warning, this one is the way forward. Yes, AI is being misused, but it’s also incredibly powerful when applied the right way. In this episode, I move from rant to roadmap, sharing practical tips, best practices, a...
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  Demand Planning Manifesto for the AI Era: [Prompt Engineering Gone Wrong] 21.01.2026 22мин

  IBF On Demand sponsored by Arkieva, your one-plan S&OP software. Learn more about Arkieva's innovative approach to forecasting here httpbit.lybusiness-forecasting In this bold episode, I deliver a powerful warning that every planner, forecaster, and supply chain professional needs to hear. This isn’t anti-AI. But there are things we are doing wrong and the ugly side of AI misuse every day. We’ve glamorized LLMs, prompt engineering, and automated insights, yet many are unknowingly tr...
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  How to Forecast in a World of Price Elasticity and Chaos 20.10.2025 29мин

  Prices are rising. Consumers are reacting. And demand planners? We're somewhere in the middle, stuck trying to model behavior that doesn't follow the rules anymore. In this episode, I sit down with Stephen McClurkin, Senior Demand Manager at T-Mobile, to unpack the reality of price elasticity in today's volatile market. From the ripple effects of policies and politics to the unpredictable outcomes of pricing moves, we explore how to Forecast smarter in the face of uncertainty. Whether you're ...
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  Demand Planning 101: What Every Planner Needs to Know 29.09.2025 25мин

  No fluff. Just real talk from the field, made simple. Whether you're new to the world of planning or a seasoned pro looking for a refresher, this episode breaks down the fundamentals of demand planning in a way that’s practical, approachable, and actually useful. I cover the essentials who owns the forecast, what makes a good one, which KPIs matter most, and how to choose the right methods. This is your crash course and survival guide, designed to give you the clarity and confidence to plan b...
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  Stop Using AI Notetakers: 15 Bots, and a Broken S&OP Process 27.08.2025 18мин

  This may be my most important, and urgent, episode yet. I recently audited an executive S&OP meeting where something alarming happened: 9 people in the room… and 15 AI bots taking notes, summarizing, and listening in. We’ve crossed a line, and we don’t even realize it. In this episode, I sound the alarm on how companies are accidentally sabotaging their planning process by deploying AI in the wrong way and maybe what we should be doing instead. This is a wake-up call for every planner, ex...
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  STOP CHASING HEADLINES AND TWEETS: Planning Through the Chaos: Tariffs and Price Hikes 11.08.2025 20мин

  Everyone’s talking about tariffs, and price hikes are already hitting. In this episode, I break down what’s really happening behind the headlines and constantly changing policies from the oval office and how it impacts demand planning, forecasting, and inventory strategy. We’ll unpack the ripple effects of guaranteed price increases, what the data are actually telling us, and why chasing the news cycle can break your planning process. Most importantly, I’ll share practical steps you can take ...
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  The Question That Changes Everything: What You Need in Your S&OP/IBP 22.07.2025 23мин

  I dive into the often-overlooked secret to a successful S&OP process: asking the right questions. It's not about dashboards or software, it’s about fostering curiosity, healthy conflict, and conversation that surfaces blind spots and misalignment. I’ll share the four essential questions every planning team should be asking and explain why the goal of your S&OP meeting isn’t agreement, it’s clarity. If you’re not challenging assumptions, you’re not moving forward. This episode is your ...
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  From Viral to Viable: How DUDE Wipes Masters TikTok Demand Chaos 10.07.2025 29мин

  What happens when your supply chain meets viral fame? I sat down with Tara Tarazi, VP of Supply Chain at DUDE Wipes, to uncover the real-world planning challenges behind TikTok Shop and other in-app e-commerce platforms. From flash demand spikes to unpredictable affiliate influence, Tara reveals how DUDE Wipes is building a resilient, agile, and disciplined S&OP strategy in one of the most chaotic and fast-moving digital markets today. Whether you're in CPG, retail, or just trying to make...
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  Why Process Is the Real Super Power: Great Discussion with Yoshika Hirata 27.06.2025 33мин

  In this episode, I sit down with Yoshika Hirata, Senior Director of Integrated Business Planning at Xponential Fitness, to explore a powerful yet often overlooked truth great people alone can’t fix bad processes. We unpack how strong, structured processes not only enable success but actually attract and retain top talent, while broken ones push them away. Yoshika shares how she uses OGSM (Objectives, Goals, Strategies, and Measures) to align supply chain planning, and why she believes S&O...
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  AI Is Dumb and Mean – But Here's What It Can Do for Planning [ft. My Pappi’s Mule 🫏] 16.06.2025 31мин

  IBF On Demand sponsored by Arkieva, your one-plan S&OP software. Learn more about Arkieva's innovative approach to forecasting here: http://bit.ly/business-forecasting This one picks up right where the last episode left off—with real talk on AI in planning and forecasting, minus the hype. I break down the buzzwords people are throwing around (agentic AI, synthetic data, etc.) in plain English—and share what these things actually mean for demand planners, supply chain pros, and S&OP le...
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  [AI Buzzwords Explained] What You Need To Know - Interview with Microsoft superstar Jess Lee 28.05.2025 34мин

  Everyone's talking about AI—but what does it really mean for demand and supply planners? In this must-watch episode, I sit down with Jess Lee, an amazing data scientist from Microsoft, to break down the most common AI buzzwords in a way anyone can understand. We dive into the real-world applications already being used in forecasting and planning—and what you need to know to stay ahead. From generative models to predictive analytics, Jess helps separate the hype from the reality. If you're in ...