Newsquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

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  US Market Open: NQ outperforms into CPI after strong SMCI, CRWV results 12.08.2026 2Min.

  Pakistan's Foreign Ministry said it continues to activate direct and indirect diplomatic channels between the US and Iran and that they are working to bring both sides to the negotiating table in Islamabad.US equity futures gain, with outperformance in NQ futures following stellar SMCI and CRWV earnings.DXY muted; low-yielding funders modestly weaker as JPY shorts are relocated.Fixed income benchmarks slightly firmer on light volume ahead...
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  EU Market Open: Europe set for flat open despite still-elevated energy benchmarks; US CPI ahead 12.08.2026 2Min.

  Iran’s Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council said the Strait of Hormuz would not open until the US accepts Iran's conditions.Crude futures edged higher amid the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty; spot gold reclaimed USD 4,400/oz to the upside.APAC stocks traded mixed amid geopolitical uncertainty, earnings releases and as participants await US CPI data; Europe is set for a flat open.DXY traded little changed as markets await...
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  US Market Open: ES/NQ primed for flat open despite energy strength; Fixed income bearish, FX quiet 11.08.2026 2Min.

  There was a maritime incident reported in Bab al-Mandab, with Fars reporting that a Saudi ship was reportedly targeted by the Yemeni army.Separately, the UKMTO has received a report of an incident involving a tanker and military forces in the Gulf of Oman.RBA maintained rates as expected and kept a hawkish tone, but trimmed its CPI forecasts; AUD saw mild pressure.US equity futures are muted while European bourses fall on higher energy...
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  EU Market Open: Europe set for quiet open despite firmer energy prices; AUD lags after less-hawkish RBA 11.08.2026 2Min.

  US President Trump said, regarding potential escalation with Iran, that it is certainly possible and still has the ability to escalate.US President Trump, responding to Iran's requests for compensation during the conflict, said he was demanding compensation from Iran.RBA maintained rates as expected and kept a hawkish tone, but trimmed its CPI forecasts; AUD saw mild pressure. APAC stocks traded mixed following a lacklustre lead from...
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  US Market Open: NQ outperforms after strong TSMC earnings; USD flat while JPY lags 10.08.2026 2Min.

  US President Trump told Axios that they are only semi-negotiating with Iran but said it will work out and that it always works out.Iran’s Supreme National Security Council issued six demands to the US, including total force withdrawal, end to proxy warfare.Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesperson said Iran is currently focused on the Strait of Hormuz rather than resuming negotiations with the US, while adding that talks with Oman are constructive and...
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  EU Market Open: Europe primed for quiet open ahead of light calendar 10.08.2026 2Min.

  US President Trump told Axios that they are only semi-negotiating with Iran but said it will work out and that it always works out.Iran’s Supreme National Security Council issued six demands to the US, including total force withdrawal, end to proxy warfare.Saudi Arabia put out a fire at its Jazan plant early on Sunday, while Yemen’s Houthis claimed responsibility for the attack on the refinery.APAC stocks were somewhat mixed, but with...
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  US Market Open: Quiet action ahead of NFP; DXY and USTs flat, stocks firmer 07.08.2026 2Min.

  US President Trump thinks the war with Iran will end pretty soon and said the Strait of Hormuz is sort of open right now.US equity futures mixed, with NQ futures outperforming following strong MCHP earnings.DXY muted; EUR unreactive following German trade data.USTs flat ahead of the US jobs report, NFP expected at 85K.Energy benchmarks rangebound as markets await official details on the Hormuz...
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  EU Market Open: Europe primed for flat open following indecisive APAC lead into NFP 07.08.2026 2Min.

  US President Trump thinks the war with Iran will end pretty soon and said the Strait of Hormuz is sort of open right now; Trump conducted a phone call with the Saudi Crown Prince.Oman and Iran reached an agreement over the Strait of Hormuz, according to MS Now citing two Middle East diplomats, although the diplomats declined to describe the details of the temporary agreement or what issues remain unresolved.A strategic plan for managing the Strait of Hormuz would...
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  US Market Open: Oil and USD a touch firmer, awaiting potential US-Iran/Oman-Iran agreements 06.08.2026 2Min.

  Iran and Oman have agreed on the broad framework for Strait of Hormuz reopening talks, Al Arabiya sources report. An announcement could come in days but the agreement still needs the approval of Iran's National Security Council.US VP Vance said negotiations with Iran will take some time and that talks with Iran were 'messy', but will land in a 'good' place for the US.US equity futures are mixed, with NQ underperforming as SanDisk falls as revenue guidance missed...
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  EU Market Open: Europe primed for a flat open with Crude seeing two-way action 06.08.2026 2Min.

  US VP Vance said negotiations with Iran will take some time and that talks with Iran were 'messy', but will land in a 'good' place for the US.Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister said an understanding with Oman does not mean opening the Strait of Hormuz.Yemeni Houthis announced they targeted a Saudi oil vessel in the Gulf of Aden.Crude futures saw two-way trade and attempted to nurse some of the recent losses, in which Brent crude briefly...
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  US Market Open: Stocks lacklustre despite Energy bounce; AMD -8%, SPCX -11% after earnings 05.08.2026 3Min.

  US President Trump said they are moving along very nicely regarding Iran, and we will know in 48 hours about Iran.Axios reported that the proposed deal would route inbound Gulf traffic through Iranian waters and outbound traffic through Omani waters for 60 days, with no fees and the central lane cleared of mines within 30 days ahead of a permanent arrangement.Yemen's Houthis said they attacked a vessel in the Red Sea, attacked a Saudi oil tanker off the Yanbu and...
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  EU Market Open: Stocks primed strong open following similar APAC lead and Brent below $80 05.08.2026 2Min.

  US President Trump said they are moving along very nicely regarding Iran, and we will know in 48 hours about Iran.US is nearing a Hormuz deal and is aiming for an announcement on Wednesday, according to Axios.Axios reported that the proposed deal would route inbound Gulf traffic through Iranian waters and outbound traffic through Omani waters for 60 days, with no fees and the central lane cleared of mines within 30 days ahead of a permanent...
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  US Market Open: Crude rises as a US base in Kuwait and multiple vessels in the Gulf gets struck 04.08.2026 2Min.

  A US base in Kuwait was reportedly struck; UKMTO received a report of an incident 20 nautical miles northeast of Oman's Al Khasab. Additionally, a dry bulk carrier was reportedly hit by a projectile near the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian President said Tehran would defend its borders but does not seek to expand the war, according to state media.10yr JGB futures saw two-way trade, in which it briefly fell over 60 ticks on a weak 10yr JGB auction, before trimming...
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  EU Market Open: Europe primed for strong open after stateside rally on Monday 04.08.2026 2Min.

  US President Trump said the Iran conflict was working out very well and that Iran talks are going on now, and that they are talking about having the Strait open by Tuesday.US officials said there were no ‘new’ or novel negotiations planned, only the ongoing talks between the US and Iranian teams through mediators, according to CBS News citing sources.A US base in Kuwait was reportedly struck; UKMTO received a report of an incident 20 nautical miles northeast of...
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  US Market Open: Stocks primed for a firmer open as oil eases; JPY extends gains on intervention threats 03.08.2026 2Min.

  US President Trump announced over the weekend that he cancelled strikes on Iran at the request of Tehran and other Middle East countries, subject to making a rapid deal (Brent -4.7%).Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson said negotiations with Oman are progressing, with the two sides holding constructive talks on a new framework and exchanging maps over the past seven to eight days for review.Japan's Finance Ministry said it conducted coordinated yen-buying...
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  EU Market Open: Stocks set for a firmer open as Brent sinks ~6% on Iran de-escalation; JPY extends gains on intervention threats 03.08.2026 2Min.

  US President Trump announced over the weekend that he cancelled strikes on Iran at the request of Tehran and other Middle East countries, subject to making a rapid deal; crude futures slumped 6% at the open.Japan's Finance Ministry said it conducted coordinated yen-buying intervention with the US on Friday and won't hesitate to conduct further forex intervention with the US; USD/JPY continued to decline and briefly dipped beneath the 156.00 handle.US...
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  US Market Open: NQ helped by positive AMZN earnings; Crude bounces after reported US-Israel plans of a land blockade 31.07.2026 2Min.

  The US and Israel are considering a land blockade of Iran to increase economic pressure, senior Israeli sources told The Telegraph. The plan could involve urging neighbouring countries and regional partners to restrict border crossings and trade.Iran's IRGC said two offending tankers were hit and stopped, and four offending tankers quickly changed course. Additionally, the IRGC said the Strait of Hormuz is closed, and any transit and movement will be possible only with the coordination of...
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  EU Market Open: Mostly firmer trade in APAC stocks, whilst sources suggested Japan intervened in FX on Thursday 31.07.2026 5Min.

  US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the yen has substantially overshot equilibrium and the US views excess yen volatility as unhealthy, while he added that the yen is very undervalued and that Japan may have intervened in currency markets on Thursday.Nikkei sources said Japan's government and BoJ intervened in the FX market yesterday by buying yen and selling dollars, while desks conducted rate checks.BoJ kept rates unchanged at 1.00%, as expected, through an 8-1...
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  US Market Open: US equity futures firm after mixed META and MSFT reports, GBP looks to BoE, JPY boosted 30.07.2026 2Min.

  Pakistani Foreign Ministry Spokesperson said discussions between Tehran and Washington are ongoing regarding the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and de-escalation, Al Jazeera reported.Al Arabiya added that tangible results have not yet yielded results (Brent -0.1%)US equity futures are firmer across the board despite contrasting Meta (-8.8% pre-market) and Microsoft (+8.8% pre-market) earnings.DXY rebounds following the FOMC-induced...
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  EU Market Open: Stocks mostly firmer after Fed hold and MSFT beat; BoE set to keep rates unchanged 30.07.2026 2Min.

  Fed maintained rates, though with 3 dissenters who favoured a 25bps hike. Chair Warsh said that if inflation remains elevated, rates could be part of fixing that.DXY came under pressure as the Fed failed to match hawkish expectations, though Warsh's press conference triggered pronounced UST curve steepening.US CENTCOM announced its forces successfully completed a heavy wave of strikes against Iran; Jordan intercepted five missiles launched by...