Street Signals

Episodios

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  Cross-Market Signals for the Summer 23.07.2026 17m

  As markets enter vacation mode, this week's podcast presents our annual summer overview of the proprietary indicators available from State Street Markets and how they map to the most relevant themes driving assets and currencies. The sustainability of the tech trade in equities, the near-term path of inflation and the direction of travel for the Federal Reserve and how they feed into a rate, curve and FX view - it's all here. Host Tim Graf, Head of Macro Strategy for EMEA, talks through how unique barometers of investor sentiment, real-time fundamental data and media tones can help navigate the coming weeks.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  Marvin Barth: US Productivity, From Greenspan to Warsh 16.07.2026 50m

  The passing of Alan Greenspan last month and confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chairman in May bookend two booms is US productivity: the mass networking of computing power during the Greenspan Fed of the 1990s and the explosion of inferential applications of computing power today. These cycles influence central bank policy in ways often underappreciated until their aftermath. Marvin Barth of Thematic Markets joins the podcast this week, to look back at the lessons learned from past capex cycles and productivity booms, to apply this experience to the current moment in AI and to assess the initial steps towards institutional reform taken in the early weeks of Kevin Warsh's term.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  Sir Ben Wallace: Defense, Deterrence and Lessons of Modern Warfare 09.07.2026 47m

  The need for robust and enhanced defense spending in an increasingly fragmented world is a policy objective agreed upon across the political divide. Few are better positioned to comment on the obstacles and opportunities of the process than Sir Ben Wallace, a former Captain in the British Army, a member of Parliament for 20 years and Secretary of State for Defense of the United Kingdom between 2019 and 2023. In his post-government life as an investor, he offers a singular perspective on the gaps in manpower and equipment faced by most Western powers and how we can begin to address them.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  Mick Mulvaney: Policy, Polarization and Political Legacy 01.07.2026 38m

  With so many unanswered questions about the direction of US domestic politics and the role the United States now plays in the world, few can bring the experience and depth of knowledge of the political process as this weeks guest, Mick Mulvaney. Mick is a former elected member of the US House of Representatives for South Carolina, serving four terms before joining the first Trump administration in 2017 as Director of the Office of Management and Budget, ultimately serving as acting White House Chief of Staff until his departure in 2021. In a wide-ranging discussion, we cover the current policy dynamics shaping discourse in Washington, the geopolitical considerations driving the policies of the 2nd Trump Administration and the legacy left by Trump when his term finishes in 2027.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  Alastair Campbell: Leadership, Media and the Populist Moment 24.06.2026 37m

  Few people are better positioned to comment on current trends in media and politics than Alastair Campbell. After a long career in journalism and politics, serving as UK Prime Minister Tony Blair's Press Secretary and Downing Street Director of Communications and Strategy, Alastair now co-hosts The Rest Is Politics, the most popular politics podcast in the UK. This wide-ranging discussion covers the changing nature of the media, what it takes for a leader to drive policy, the state of populism and the challenges for the Labour Party in the current political moment.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  Street Signals Turns 3! 17.06.2026 43m

  As the podcast starts its fourth year, we take a look back this week: to its origins, how the content and message have changed over the years, what guests stood out as formative to building the audience and the lessons learned about macro and markets along the way. In a twist, the microphone gets turned around as well, with our host, Tim Graf, taking a turn as a guest. Ramu Thiagarajan, Head of Thought Leadership for State Street takes over this special birthday edition of Street Signals!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  A New Chapter for US and China? 28.05.2026 34m

  This week we explore the evolving US-China relationship and the drivers of the stellar equity market performance in Asia this year, joined by Dwyfor Evans, Head of Macro Strategy for Asia at State Street Markets. The recent summit meeting of US President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping marked a thawing of relations but considerable questions remain around how the two countries will navigate geopolitical and trade tensions. These important discussions frame a regional market backdrop remarkable for its current strength, raising questions of sustainability of the concentrated returns year-to-date.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  The RINO In the Room: Concentration Risks in Equities 21.05.2026 30m

  As impressive the recent bounce in stocks has been, it is a Rally In Name Only. Large cap tech companies dominate returns, while almost everything else - whether at a country or a sector level - continues to struggle. With inflation spiking and interest rate markets starting to show signs of dislocation, it is worth asking if the concentration of returns carries with it the seeds of its own undoing. Marija Veitmane, Head of Equity Strategy at State Street Markets, joins us to discuss the sustainability of stock market strength and whether fixed income stress will have any lasting impact on returns.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  Are We In A New Inflation Regime? 14.05.2026 32m

  To kick off State Street’s series of global research events, we are joined by research partner Alberto Cavallo, co-founder of PriceStats and Professor of Business Administration at Harvard Business School. In this wide-ranging discussion of inflationary dynamics, we assess the last ten years of recurring price shocks and how much inflationary regimes and the price sensitivities of retailers and consumers have changed. The current impact of another energy price shock and lingering effects of last year’s tariffs briefly feature as a sneak preview of Alberto’s eagerly anticipated current thinking. For a fuller presentation of those themes, please contact your State Street representative to register for one of our upcoming events in Asia, the Americas and Europe.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  Strait Talk: Oil, Macro and the Political Economy 07.05.2026 31m

  Wednesday’s hopeful news of a possible end to hostilities in Iran and opening of the Strait of Hormuz comes just as the macro impact of events is starting to be felt and seen in economic data. A resolution does not change the realities of high near-term inflation and the varying policy responses to it. Geopolitical disruptions are still going to resonate for some time. This week, we speak to Noel Dixon, Senior Macro Strategist at State Street Markets, on all these topics, and to position in FX markets accordingly.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  US Stocks: Stick or Twist? 23.04.2026 42m

  Short-term market conditions remain subject to the headlines. Long-term questions of US equity market performance and whether investors require a rethink of their asset allocation preferences are the same and as valid today as they were before the eruption of Middle East hostilities. This week, Dan Gerard, senior multi-asset strategist for State Street Markets, talks to us about a new piece on the US stock market and whether concentration and valuation risks are as acute today as they were earlier in the year.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  Iran: Has the Market Moved On? 16.04.2026 36m

  In a decade full of seismic geopolitical events, the conflict in Iran had the potential to rank amongst the most impactful. Yet financial markets never priced it as more than a fleeting instance of volatility. And now, the most severe dislocations are almost fully closed with the onset of talks to deescalate tensions. Question marks remain over energy supplies and the macroeconomic impacts of higher equilibrium oil and gas prices. This week, Peter Vincent, head of FX trading for EMEA at State Street Markets, joins us to discuss the landscape for FX, rate and equity markets now that the dust has settled.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  Crude Awakening: Rate Markets In An Energy Crisis 02.04.2026 33m

  Many of the consequences of the latest disruption to global energy supply have yet to surface. While oil has been the immediate focus, volatility across global interest rate curves is emerging as an equally consequential second-order effect. Markets are rapidly reassessing the scale and timing of inflation and growth shocks – and how central banks are likely to respond. Whether this period of upheaval deepens worries already evident in credit markets is a further concern. This week, Marvin Loh, senior strategist at State Street Markets, joins the podcast to share his outlook for rates, credit and the impacts on the global economy through the coming months.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  Iran Macro Risks: A Fragile Equilibrium 19.03.2026 32m

  As the conflict in the Middle East enters a third week, markets remain uneasy but resilient. Lessons absorbed during past geopolitical shocks have so far kept this a slow-burn test of positioning and risk tolerance, rather than a volatility event with a specific breaking point. This week, we speak with Lee Ferridge, Head of Macro Strategy for the Americas for State Street Markets as to whether this equilibrium can hold. He notes the most relevant variables of investor positioning and activity and their current messages, if markets are correctly pricing the policy response and why the US dollar has reasserted its safe-haven status.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  Strait Signals: Assessing the Iran War Risk Premium 12.03.2026 41m

  A wider Middle East war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, seen for years as extreme ‘what-if’ risks, are now realities. The ranges of macroeconomic and geopolitical outcomes are as vast as they are unknowable, but reasonable future scenarios are starting to take shape. This week, we speak to Elliot Hentov, Chief Macro Policy Strategist at State Street Investment Management, about the evolving conflict in Iran and the market implications for a prolonged disruption in one of the world’s key energy chokepoints.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  The Great Rotation: Stocks Under the Surface 05.03.2026 35m

  While geopolitical uncertainty dominates headlines, this week’s episode digs deeper into themes driving markets before the weekend’s events — particularly the sharp rotation in equities in 2026 and the reassessment of crowded AI‑linked trades and their fundamental drivers. Cayla Seder, senior multi-asset strategist at State Street Markets, speaks to the shifting market perceptions around AI, the scale of hyperscaler investment, the growing role of debt financing in the tech sector and how technology's potential to transform the economic outlook is likely to play out.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  Trading the Policy Whiplash 26.02.2026 33m

  Market volatility continues to climb in February, with a landmark Supreme Court ruling on US tariffs last week upending US trade policy in an afternoon. Questions now circle as to whether last years trade-induced USD weakness that was expected to continue into 2026 is now at risk of reversal. Meanwhile, the yen's tumble under Takaichi-nomics has resumed, equities and gold remain choppy and many long-dormant correlation relationships are starting to reassert themselves. Managing risk remains a constant challenge, as Dan Mazza, head of FX Forwards trading in the Americas at State Street Markets, highlights in this week's episode.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  The Year of the Fire Horse: China in Focus 19.02.2026 28m

  In celebration of Lunar New Year, we take a deep dive into China’s political economy. Despite trade tensions, a weak consumer and a halting post‑COVID recovery, a powerful export boom kept China on track last year—and could do so again in 2026. Fresh off a two-week fact-finding trip across the country, Ning Sun, senior EM strategist at State Street Markets, joins us to unpack what she saw on the ground and the challenges facing the world’s biggest exporter.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  AI, Labor Disruptions and the Future of the Fed 12.02.2026 32m

  The changing of the guard at the top of the Federal Reserve comes at a crucial time for policymakers and markets. It is far from certain whether the promise of artificial intelligence heralds an era of stronger trend growth, or if the displacement in labor markets that might result will prove more damaging. Kevin Warsh’s term as Chairman will surely be defined as much by this question as his stated desire to reorient Fed policies and its mission. To discuss all of this, we are thrilled to welcome back Simona Mocuta, Chief Economist of State Street Investment Management.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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  The Roots of Risk 29.01.2026 38m

  Everybody loves an origin story, this week’s podcast has two. Featuring clips from our first episode, before the podcast even had a name, with our first guest, Fred Goodwin, a.k.a. Mr. Risk, we talk about the formative years of both the medium and the messenger. As his retirement nears, we look back over Fred’s long career as a trader, salesperson and strategist, and the many lessons learned along the way, especially on how to think about markets at their extremes. In detailing how his contrarian outlook was formed, we bring a strong sense of history to bear in thoughts on the current trends in gold, the US dollar, the Japanese yen and global equities.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.