Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

Jaksot

• When painful thoughts feel true but aren't (with Christine Padesky) 01.06.2026 1t 20min

  Read the full transcript here. • Why do our minds sometimes need experiments more than insight? What changes when therapy becomes a way of practicing life outside the therapist’s office rather than explaining life inside it? If CBT is fundamentally about learning skills, how much of good therapy depends on what happens between sessions? Why can a five-minute action matter when depression says that nothing is worth doing? What does it mean to test a thought instead of trying to replace it with something merely positive? How do moods make certain evidence visible while hiding the rest? Why does anxiety grow when we organize life around avoiding danger rather than strengthening our capacity to cope? What would change if we treated catastrophes not only as predictions to challenge, but as scenarios we could prepare to handle? How do safety behaviors keep fear alive by teaching the wrong lesson? And what might therapy become if it started not only with what is broken, but with the strengths, habits, and forms of resilience a person already has? • Links: • Christine's Book: Mind Over Mood (https://www.amazon.com/Mind-Over-Mood-Second-Changing/dp/1462520421) • Christine's YouTube Channel (https://www.youtube.com/@padesky) • Christine A. Padesky, PhD is a psychologist, author, and international lecturer. She has been recognized for her client-centered, collaborative, and strengths-based contributions to cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT). Her quest to help more people live fulfilled lives through CBT techniques led her to co-write, along with Dennis Greenberger, the best-selling self-help book, Mind Over Mood: Change How You Feel by Changing the Way You Think. • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• Could an international agreement protect us from dangerous AI? (with Malo Bourgon) 22.05.2026 1t 27min

  Read the full transcript here. • What are the world’s leading AI companies actually trying to build when they talk about superintelligence? Is the goal merely better chatbots, or systems that could outperform all humans across every cognitive task? Why would such a system be so alluring if it could accelerate medicine, science, education, abundance, and human flourishing? Why would it also create an unprecedented concentration of power for whoever controlled it? If intelligence includes not only abstract reasoning but persuasion, strategy, manipulation, planning, and technological invention, what happens when those capacities are automated at superhuman scale? How seriously should we take AI CEOs when they say the technology could go catastrophically wrong, and how should we interpret the tension between their public concern and their continued participation in the race? If we cannot reliably inspect their goals, motives, reasoning, or learned objectives, how could we know whether apparent obedience is real safety or just surface behavior? Even if alignment were solved, who should be trusted to steer a superintelligence? Could compute governance, chip tracking, training thresholds, inspections, and a US-China agreement buy time before the frontier moves further? What do nuclear weapons, nuclear power, chemical weapons, and germline engineering teach us about the possibility and limits of technological restraint? Is resignation itself part of the danger, and could a credible movement for coordination make a saner future more possible? averages? And when injustice affects both men and women differently, what framework avoids turning that into a zero-sum argument? • Links: • MIRI (https://intelligence.org/) • Malo Bourgon leads the Machine Intelligence Research Institute. Before becoming CEO, Malo served as a program management analyst and then as COO, helping implement many of MIRI’s current systems, processes, and program activities. Malo joined MIRI in 2012 shortly after completing a master’s degree in engineering at the University of Guelph. • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• Is patriarchy gone or hiding in plain sight? (with Kate Manne) 13.05.2026 1t 38min

  Read the full transcript here. • What should count as trauma, and what gets lost when the word expands to cover ordinary distress? Why do some frightening events leave lasting psychological injury while others fade into ordinary memory? Is trauma best understood as the event itself, or as the enduring failure of the mind to recover from it? What is the difference between being influenced by the past and being imprisoned by it? Can a society acknowledge real harm without teaching peIf progress is real but uneven, what metrics actually matter—outcomes, perceptions, or lived vulnerability? How do we rigorously separate descriptive claims about human tendencies from normative claims about how people should behave? What evidence would genuinely change our beliefs about gender differences, and are we even asking falsifiable questions? If most differences are small but outcomes at the extremes are large, how should policy and culture respond to tails rather than averages? And when injustice affects both men and women differently, what framework avoids turning that into a zero-sum argument? • Links: • Kate's Research (https://www.katemanne.net/papers.html) • Kate's Latest Book Unshrinking: How To Face Fatphobia (https://www.katemanne.net/unshrinking.html) • Kate is a Professor of Philosophy at the Sage School at Cornell University who specializes in moral, social, and feminist philosophy, and has written three award-winning books decisively exploring topics such as misogyny, male privelege, and fatphobia. In 2024, she was awarded the APA's Lebowitz Prize for Philosophical Achievement and Contribution for her work on the reasons to be skeptical about dehumanization as an explanation for misogynistic violence and other forms of human cruelty. • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• What's true and what's myth about trauma? (with George Bonnano) 24.04.2026 1t 21min

  Read the full transcript here. • What should count as trauma, and what gets lost when the word expands to cover ordinary distress? Why do some frightening events leave lasting psychological injury while others fade into ordinary memory? Is trauma best understood as the event itself, or as the enduring failure of the mind to recover from it? What is the difference between being influenced by the past and being imprisoned by it? Can a society acknowledge real harm without teaching people that damage is inevitable? Does the body keep the score, or is the body better understood as a scorecard for what the brain is tracking? Why are metaphors about hidden trauma so compelling even when they may obscure how memory actually works? If severe trauma is usually remembered rather than repressed, why do myths of buried memories remain so powerful? What is the difference between avoiding a painful memory and being unable to recall it? How do fragmented memories help the brain preserve threat relevant details while losing the clean story of what happened? What would change if we saw resilience not as denial of harm, but as flexible, imperfect, learnable adaptation? • Links: • George's Latest Book: [ The End of Trauma ](The End of Trauma (book): https://www.amazon.com/End-Trauma-Science-Resilience-Changing/dp/B09CZJ2X38) • George Bonanno is a Professor of Clinical Psychology at Columbia University's Teachers College and internationally recognized for his pioneering research on human resilience in the face of loss and potential trauma. He is recognized by the Web of Science as among the top one percent most cited scientists in the world, and has been honored with lifetime achievement awards from the Association for Psychological Science, the International Society for Traumatic Stress Studies, and the International Positive Psychology Association. • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• Is string theory BS or the most promising theory in physics? (with Christian Ferko) 24.04.2026 1t 38min

  Read the full transcript here. • How do we tell the difference between a theory that is incomplete and a theory that is simply wrong? What should count as success in fundamental physics when direct experiments are scarce? Can a theory be scientifically valuable long before it becomes directly testable? What does it mean for string theory to be both a candidate description of reality and a powerful mathematical toolkit? How often do people conflate the usefulness of a framework with proof that it describes the world? Can a theory be deeply generative even if it never becomes the final answer? What should we make of ideas that produce insights across mathematics, black holes, quantum fields, and condensed matter without yet pinning down our universe? Is there a meaningful difference between string theory as a family of possibilities and string theory as the true structure of nature? When a framework can describe many possible universes, is that a strength or a failure of specificity? Why has elegance been such a powerful guide in physics? When is beauty a fruitful heuristic, and when is it a dangerous seduction? Do humans mistake their own aesthetic preferences for clues about reality? Why have some of the strangest successful theories also turned out to be the most conceptually beautiful? How fair is the criticism that string theory was oversold? When promising frameworks fail to deliver quick experimental confirmation, how much hype should they be allowed to survive? Do fields become distorted when bold public narratives outrun what the evidence can support? How much do sociology, prestige, and intellectual fashion shape what physicists work on? • Links: • Christian's YouTube Channel (https://www.youtube.com/@christianferko) • Christian's work on ResearchGate (https://www.researchgate.net/scientific-contributions/Christian-Ferko-2149243325) and Google Scholar (https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=yZSlM1oAAAAJ;hl=en) • Christian Ferko studied math and physics at MIT before completing his PhD at the University of Chicago, focusing on string theory. He then performed postdoctoral research at the University of California, Davis, at the Center for Quantum Mathematics and Physics. Christian currently holds a joint appointment at Northeastern University and as a Junior Investigator at the Institute for Artificial Intelligence and Fundamental Interactions, a collaboration between MIT, Harvard, Northeastern, and Tufts. His research interests include string theory, quantum field theory, classical and quantum gravity, and the intersection between physics and AI. • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• Are we in an honesty crisis? (with Christian B. Miller) 17.04.2026 1t 14min

  Read the full transcript here. • Is dishonesty best understood as a permanent feature of human nature or as a condition that worsens when incentives and tools change? When new technologies make cheating easier and detection harder, do they merely reveal existing character or actively reshape it? How much of moral behavior depends less on values than on friction, surveillance, and the perceived odds of getting caught? Is the deepest threat of AI enabled cheating that people deceive more, or that they stop believing sincerity can be known at all? If most people are not chronic liars, why do so many people still cheat when the opportunity is clean and the cost is low? Do people mainly avoid dishonesty because they are virtuous, or because they want to preserve a workable image of themselves as virtuous? Why do so many moral failures seem to stop at the point where self justification breaks down? If people cheat only a little, is that evidence of conscience or merely evidence of strategic moderation? Why do reminders of honor, vows, and identity sometimes reduce cheating even when enforcement is absent? Does honesty depend less on abstract principle than on whether a situation activates the right self conception? How much of morality is really a contest between temptation and the stories we need to tell ourselves about who we are? If truth telling is cognitively easier than lying, why are human beings still so vulnerable to deception? Do we default to honesty because we are moral, or because truth is usually simpler, cheaper, and less mentally demanding? If we are biased toward assuming others are truthful, is that a moral achievement or a practical shortcut that civilization depends on? • Links: • Christian's New Book: The Honesty Crisis: Preserving Our Most Treasured Virtue in an Increasingly Dishonest World (https://www.amazon.com/Honesty-Crisis-Preserving-Treasured-Increasingly/dp/0197840809) • Christian's Website (https://christianbmiller.com/) • Christian B. Miller is the A.C. Reid Professor of Philosophy at Wake Forest University. He lives in Winston-Salem, North Carolina with his wife and three children. His research primarily has to do with virtue and moral character, and he is the former leader of The Character Project, one of the largest research projects in the world on these topics. • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• What impact will AI have on jobs and the economy? (with Anton Korinek) 09.04.2026 1t 19min

  Read the full transcript here. • Could AI trigger an economic break as large as the Industrial Revolution, or even larger? What changes when labor stops being the main bottleneck in production? If intelligence becomes reproducible like software, what happens to the structure of an economy? How should we think about a world where capital captures what labor once did? Does faster growth necessarily mean better lives, or only more output? How should economists model an economy when software begins to substitute for minds? Are current production functions adequate for a world of autonomous systems and robotics? Why do small shifts in annual productivity matter so much once compounding takes over? How much of AI’s impact depends on cognitive automation alone versus full physical automation? When does automation reduce labor demand, and when does it make human work more valuable? If AI does part of a job better, does that destroy the profession or increase demand for it? Under what conditions do humans remain complements rather than substitutes? Could an AI boom create a recession before it creates abundance? What happens to aggregate demand if white collar workers lose income before productivity gains diffuse widely? If the economy can produce more than ordinary people can afford, who is it really producing for? How quickly can consumption patterns shift in a world of extreme concentration of wealth? • Anton is a Professor at the University of Virginia, Department of Economics and Darden School of Business as well as the Faculty Director of the Economics of Transformative AI (EconTAI) Initiative. He was named to the 2025 TIME100 AI list of the most influential people in artificial intelligence. He is a Nonresident Senior Fellow at Brookings and the Peterson Institute, a Research Associate at the NBER, a Research Fellow at the CEPR, and serves on Anthropic's Economic Advisory Council. His research analyzes how to prepare for a world of transformative AI systems. He investigates the implications of advanced AI for economic growth, labor markets, inequality, and the future of our society. • Links: • Anton's Website (https://www.korinek.com/) • When Does Automating AI Research Produce Explosive Growth? (https://www.econtai.org/research/AutomatingAIResearch.pdf) • Economic Growth under Transformative AI (https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ezaqemh3lkv3y4df4cc1e/egtai_new.pdf?rlkey=zivxus878jaochwr7z2yq36yz;dl=0) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• The seductiveness of secular gurus (with Christopher Kavanagh) 03.04.2026 2t

  Read the full transcript here. • What makes broad, all-encompassing worldviews so attractive in periods of institutional distrust? Why do charismatic figures become especially persuasive when they present themselves as suppressed truth tellers? How much of a guru’s appeal comes from insight, and how much from theater? Why do people so often prefer a guide with certainty over an institution with caveats? What happens when specialist expertise is mistaken for authority about everything? Are we living in the best age for learning or the easiest age for self-deception? What is the difference between being informed and merely feeling informed? Why does the performance of education so often outcompete the practice of education? How much false confidence is created by consuming hours of polished commentary without doing any of the underlying work? Why are people so vulnerable to sources that make complexity feel effortless? How should we think about the gap between exposure to ideas and mastery of them? • Christopher Kavanagh is an Associate Professor of Psychology at Rikkyo University and a Researcher at the Centre for Studies of Social Cohesion at Oxford University. His research focuses mainly on the psychological and social effects of religious belief and collective rituals and he has a long standing interest in skepticism, pseudoscience, and conspiracy theory communities. He co-hosts Decoding The Gurus (https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/decoding-the-gurus/id1531266667), a podcast dedicated to examining the techniques of modern online Gurus. • Links: • Christopher's podcast: Decoding The Gurus (https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/decoding-the-gurus/id1531266667) • Christopher's Faculty Page at Rikkyo University (https://univdb.rikkyo.ac.jp/view?l=en;u=100001947) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• What beats intuition when it comes to doing good? (with Marcus Davis) 27.03.2026 1t 16min

  Read the full transcript here. • If you enjoy our podcast, we have some exciting news – we’ve just launched a new membership called Clearer Thinking Plus. • Members get this podcast completely ad-free, as well as two professional coaching sessions every month, access to our advanced cognitive assessment, and seven other exclusive perks. • Clearer Thinking Plus is one of the most affordable ways to get access to a high-quality coach - whether you want to improve your habits, find more effective ways to work towards your goals, or get assistance making difficult decisions. It is also a more affordable and convenient way to get all the perks we offer. • If you're not interested in coaching, you can still get ad-free access to this podcast and the other perks with our explorer plan. • Access www.clearerthinking.org/plus (https://www.clearerthinking.org/plus) to become a member today. We hope to see you there! • Can radically different forms of good really be compared? What makes two charitable outcomes commensurable? When does cost effectiveness become a moral argument rather than just an economic one? Is helping the global poor often cheaper for reasons that are ethically relevant? How should we weigh temporary enrichment against preventing severe suffering? At what point does refusing comparison become morally evasive? Are some value systems too implausible to treat as equally serious? How much should location matter when the same intervention works in multiple places? Does the ability to compare causes require a single theory of value? What do we lose by pretending all forms of good are incomparable? • Marcus A. Davis is the co-founder and CEO of Rethink Priorities, a think-and-do tank that uses rigorous empirical research to help philanthropists, policymakers, and cause-focused organizations direct resources where they'll do the most good. Marcus writes about effective charity, EA culture, and arguments around doing good at his Substack, Charity for All (https://amarcusdavis.substack.com/about), and you can also follow him on Bluesky: amarcusdavis.bsky.social (https://bsky.app/profile/amarcusdavis.bsky.social). • Links: • Rethink Priorities Website (https://rethinkpriorities.org/) • Marcus' Substack: Charity for All (https://amarcusdavis.substack.com/about) • Marcus' Bluesky Profile (https://bsky.app/profile/amarcusdavis.bsky.social) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• Can averages explain a human life? (with Steven C. Hayes) 19.03.2026 1t 21min

  Read the full transcript here. • If you enjoy our podcast, we have some exciting news – we’ve just launched a new membership called Clearer Thinking Plus. • Members get this podcast completely ad-free, as well as two professional coaching sessions every month, access to our advanced cognitive assessment, and seven other exclusive perks. • Clearer Thinking Plus is one of the most affordable ways to get access to a high-quality coach - whether you want to improve your habits, find more effective ways to work towards your goals, or get assistance making difficult decisions. It is also a more affordable and convenient way to get all the perks we offer. • If you're not interested in coaching, you can still get ad-free access to this podcast and the other perks with our explorer plan. • Access www.clearerthinking.org/plus (https://www.clearerthinking.org/plus) to become a member today. We hope to see you there! • How much of psychology is built on a statistical illusion? What happens when we mistake population averages for truths about individual lives? Can a person ever really be understood through traits measured at a few isolated moments? Why do simplified categories feel so authoritative even when they fail to capture lived experience? What does it mean for a science of mind to ignore time, context, and development? How much of what we call personality is just a byproduct of how we choose to measure people? If most of what matters is situational, what kind of science would we need instead? Why are average-based explanations so intuitively appealing even when they may mislead us? What gets lost when human beings are treated as snapshots rather than processes? Could clearer thinking begin by questioning the categories we rely on most? • Dr. Steven C. Hayes is an Emeritus Professor of Psychology at the University of Nevada, Reno and President of the Institute for Better Health, a 45-year old charitable organization dedicated to better mental and behavioral health. • Links: • Steven's website (www.stevenchayes.com) • Hayes et al.: Evolving an idionomic approach to processes of change: Towards a unified personalized science of human improvement (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0005796722001267) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• Should science stop worshiping statistical significance? (with Andrew Gelman) 05.03.2026 1t 19min

  Read the full transcript here. • If you enjoy our podcast, we have some exciting news – we’ve just launched a new membership called Clearer Thinking Plus. • Members get this podcast completely ad-free, as well as two professional coaching sessions every month, access to our advanced cognitive assessment, and seven other exclusive perks. • Clearer Thinking Plus is one of the most affordable ways to get access to a high-quality coach - whether you want to improve your habits, find more effective ways to work towards your goals, or get assistance making difficult decisions. It is also a more affordable and convenient way to get all the perks we offer. • If you're not interested in coaching, you can still get ad-free access to this podcast and the other perks with our explorer plan. • Access www.clearerthinking.org/plus (https://www.clearerthinking.org/plus) to become a member today. We hope to see you there! • What makes a piece of research “public property,” and what ethical obligations does that create for critics and authors alike? When a result feels wrong but you can’t locate the “smoking gun,” how should skepticism be calibrated without sliding into cynicism? How can a field avoid mistaking the absence of obvious errors for evidence that a claim is sound? What incentives cause entire literatures to form around fragile findings, and why do they persist for so long? Why do some researchers experience replication attempts as hostility, while others experience them as a gift? What norms would make constructive public criticism more common and less personally costly? How should we weigh a paper’s contribution when its analysis is flawed but its question is valuable? When is it rational to trust “the literature,” and when is the literature itself likely to be trapped in self-reinforcing error? What would it take for scientific communities to treat uncertainty as an honest output rather than a professional liability? Can a culture of open critique exist without amplifying bad-faith attacks or anti-science narratives? • Andrew Gelman, Ph.D., is Higgins Professor of Statistics, Professor of Political Science, and director of the Applied Statistics Center at Columbia University. • Links: • Andrew's Substack (https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• What happens when your co-workers are AIs? (with Evan Ratliff) 27.02.2026 1t 22min

  Read the full transcript here. • If you enjoy our podcast, we have some exciting news – we’ve just launched a new membership called Clearer Thinking Plus. • Members get this podcast completely ad-free, as well as two professional coaching sessions every month, access to our advanced cognitive assessment, and seven other exclusive perks. • Clearer Thinking Plus is one of the most affordable ways to get access to a high-quality coach - whether you want to improve your habits, find more effective ways to work towards your goals, or get assistance making difficult decisions. It is also a more affordable and convenient way to get all the perks we offer. • If you're not interested in coaching, you can still get ad-free access to this podcast and the other perks with our explorer plan. • Access www.clearerthinking.org/plus (https://www.clearerthinking.org/plus) to become a member today. We hope to see you there! • What changes when anyone can clone your voice from a minute of audio? If voice ID can be spoofed, what replaces it for everyday security? Why are phone scams evolving faster than our intuition for trust? What new “attack surfaces” appear when every service talks to you digitally? How much paranoia is rational before security becomes a tax on living? Could AI that talks to scammers become a tool for studying persuasion tactics at scale? What’s the most reliable habit for verifying calls, texts, and links? Are we entering a world where identity is probabilistic rather than certain? What do “AI employees” reveal about where agents shine and fail? Why do autonomous agents need triggers and stop conditions to behave? If an agent’s “memory” is a growing log, what kinds of false selves can it accidentally create? How do edge cases derail agents in ways humans handle effortlessly? Why is “be helpful” a dangerous default for external-facing bots? If someone can fake familiarity, how easily can they rewrite an agent’s memory? When you can’t see the system prompt, what are you really evaluating? Should we say please to machines, and what habits does that build in us? If we can’t tell performance from experience, how should we treat AI under uncertainty? • Evan Ratliff is a longtime journalist, writer and host of Shell Game (https://www.shellgame.co/podcast), the podcast and newsletter about things that are not what they seem. • Links: • Evan's Podcast: Shell Game (https://www.shellgame.co/podcast) • Evan's X Profile (https://x.com/ev_rat) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• Long COVID: what are the scientific facts? (with Carmen Scheibenbogen) 21.02.2026 1t 24min

  Read the full transcript here. • If you enjoy our podcast, we have some exciting news – we’ve just launched a new membership called Clearer Thinking Plus. • Members get this podcast completely ad-free, as well as two professional coaching sessions every month, access to our advanced cognitive assessment, and seven other exclusive perks. • Clearer Thinking Plus is one of the most affordable ways to get access to a high-quality coach - whether you want to improve your habits, find more effective ways to work towards your goals, or get assistance making difficult decisions. It is also a more affordable and convenient way to get all the perks we offer. • If you're not interested in coaching, you can still get ad-free access to this podcast and the other perks with our explorer plan. • Access www.clearerthinking.org/plus (https://www.clearerthinking.org/plus) to become a member today. We hope to see you there! • Is Long COVID one illness or many? What turns a short infection into years of symptoms? When does “post viral” become a new chronic disease? Is viral persistence driving symptoms in some people? Could EBV reactivation be the hidden trigger? How might immune overreaction turn into autoimmunity? What do autoantibodies actually do to the body? Why do fatigue and exertion intolerance cluster together? Can we define subtypes with biomarkers, not guesswork? How much of long COVID is misdiagnosis versus missed mechanisms? What does pacing really mean in daily life? What would a mechanism first trial design look like? Are there early warning signs for who will stay sick? Is long COVID becoming a stable percentage of society? What would it take to build care systems that learn fast? • Carmen Scheibenbogen is a German immunologist who is the acting director of the Institute for Medical Immunology of the Charité university hospital in Berlin. She specialises in hematology (blood and blood diseases), oncology and immunology. She leads the Outpatient Clinic for Immunodeficiency and the Fatigue Centre at the Charité hospital. She is one of the few doctors specialised in myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS) in Germany, and also researches long COVID. • To explore a different perspective on these issues, we have an excellent episode with Suzanne O'Sullivan, "What is psychosomatic illness?" (https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/?ep=288) • Links: • Resources on ME/CFS and Long COVID (https://cfc.charite.de/en/for_patients/literature_and_recommendations_for_patients) • Guidelines for Long COVID Patients (Ger) (https://www.bmg-longcovid.de/zeitstrahl/patientenleitlinie-long-post-covid-syndrom-ueberarbeitet) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• Our 300th episode! - How to have better intellectual conversations (with Uri Bram) 11.02.2026 1t 23min

  Read the full transcript here. • The Clearer Thinking Podcast listener survey is here! • If you've ever listened to the Clearer Thinking podcast before, we'd love it if you'd take our listener survey (https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/r2ee7um/run) so we can learn about your experience and improve the podcast based on your feedback. • Give feedback to help us improve the Clearer Thinking podcast! (https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/r2ee7um/run) • What makes a conversation feel like shared discovery? HWhen does repeating polished ideas kill discovery? What practices force live thinking, not rehearsed speech? How do you check that both people are scouting? How do you align vibe and tempo without dulling the experience? How do you compress a garden of thoughts into words? What kinds of responses prove they really listened? When is a point of order interruption essential? Why do groups oscillate instead of moving forward? How do you pick one promising path among many? What role should a moderator actually play? Why does the lowest relevance threshold dominate airtime? How do pause and interruption norms decide who speaks? Can groups make progress without turning into debates? What explicit rules make book clubs worth attending? When should you opt out rather than endure? • We're thrilled to have friend of the podcast and frequent factotum, Uri Bram, join Spencer for this very special celebration of our 300th episode of The Clearer Thinking Podcast. Uri is CEO and Editor-at-Large at The Browser. He has written about science and business for Nautilus, Motherboard, Quartz and more and is regularly featured on i24 News as an economics analyst. Prior to that, Uri led Communications at GiveWell, a research and grantmaking organization focusing on global health. • Links: • The Scout Mindset by Julia Galef (https://www.amazon.com/Scout-Mindset-People-Things-Clearly) • Clearer Thinking Nuanced Thinking Module (https://programs.clearerthinking.org/nuanced_thinking_techniques.html) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• How to use your career to help the world (with Devon Fritz) 05.02.2026 1t 2min

  Read the full transcript here. • The Clearer Thinking Podcast listener survey is here! • If you've ever listened to the Clearer Thinking podcast before, we'd love it if you'd take our listener survey (https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/r2ee7um/run) so we can learn about your experience and improve the podcast based on your feedback. • Give feedback to help us improve the Clearer Thinking podcast! (https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/r2ee7um/run) • If you vanished from your job tomorrow, what would change? When is a high paying job more impact than direct service? How do you estimate your counterfactual contribution without fooling yourself? What signals tell you a problem is neglected rather than merely unpopular? Are you optimizing for visible outcomes instead of real outcomes? Which incentives in charities and NGOs quietly distort priorities? Could a simple weighted factor model outperform your gut on big choices? What would make you switch paths even if you feel committed? How do you balance personal fit with moral urgency? • Devon Fritz is co-founder of High Impact Professionals and has spent eight years across various roles coaching professionals on maximizing their career impact and advising on strategic philanthropic giving. He most recently served as Chief Operating Officer at Ambitious Impact, leading programs that help philanthropists improve the impact of their grantmaking. Previously, as Managing Director and CTO at Founders Pledge, Devon helped grow the organization's pledge value to over $2 billion. He is a Giving What We Can 10% pledge member and holds degrees in computer science, information technology, and computational linguistics. He serves on multiple nonprofit boards and is author of "How Do You Know?", an illustrated children's book. He lives in Berlin with his partner and two children. • Links: • Devon's New Book: The High-Impact Professionals Playbook (https://www.highimpactprofessionals.org/book) • High Impact Professionals (https://www.highimpactprofessionals.org/) • Clearer Thinking Imposter Syndrome Test (https://programs.clearerthinking.org/imposter_syndrome.html) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• Are personality types a statistical mirage? (with Colin DeYoung) 28.01.2026 1t 25min

  Read the full transcript here. • The Clearer Thinking Podcast listener survey is here! • If you've ever listened to the Clearer Thinking podcast before, we'd love it if you'd take our listener survey (https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/r2ee7um/run) so we can learn about your experience and improve the podcast based on your feedback. • Give feedback to help us improve the Clearer Thinking podcast! (https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/r2ee7um/run) • What does personality capture beyond momentary behavior, and how do traits differ from life specific adaptations? How stable are traits across the lifespan when we separate rank order from mean level change? Can psychotherapy shift core traits like neuroticism or mainly improve functioning at the same level? How much of behavior is the person, the situation, or their interaction, and how do traits shape the environments we end up in? What trade offs come with being high or low on extroversion, conscientiousness, agreeableness, openness, and neuroticism? Why do people high in neuroticism both perceive more stress and land in more stressful situations? Which life events reliably nudge traits and why do the same events push different people in opposite directions? When should we replace categorical diagnoses with dimensional spectra that align with the Big Five and guide unified treatments? • Colin G. DeYoung is a professor of psychology at the University of Minnesota. DeYoung's research in personality psychology has examined the theoretical structure of personality and the biological basis of personality. He currently directs the DeYoung Personality Lab at University of Minnesota. • Links: • Our platform with more than 1 million correlations (https://personalitymap.io/) • Colin's Personality Lab (https://deyoung.psych.umn.edu/) • The Big Five Aspect Scale (https://emilywilloughby.com/research/bfas) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• Ambitious goals for reducing animal suffering (with Jeff Sebo) 21.01.2026 1t 27min

  Read the full transcript here. • The Clearer Thinking Podcast listener survey is here! • If you've ever listened to the Clearer Thinking podcast before, we'd love it if you'd take our listener survey (https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/r2ee7um/run) so we can learn about your experience and improve the podcast based on your feedback. • Give feedback to help us improve the Clearer Thinking podcast! (https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/r2ee7um/run) • What would a global ban on industrial animal agriculture by 2050 actually achieve across welfare public health and climate? Can a phased transition built on price taste and convenience overcome identity, culture, and religion in shaping diets? Which mix of informational, financial, and regulatory policies shifts behavior without backlash? Where is the line between small humane farms that persist and large systems that must end? How do we align consumer values with daily choices when cognitive dissonance makes the topic uncomfortable? When does a little guilt motivate change and when does it harden resistance? What evidence would show that plant-based and cultivated options have reached parity that tips the market? How do we protect farmers and workers while shrinking harmful production at scale? What are the realistic tipping points for social norms around meat in different communities? If the expected suffering avoided each year dwarfs human history how should that reshape priorities? • Jeff Sebo is the Director of the Center for Environmental and Animal Protection, Director of the Center for Mind, Ethics, and Policy, and Co-Director of the Wild Animal Welfare Program at New York University. He is also a Faculty Fellow at the Guarini Center on Environmental, Energy ; Land Use Law at the NYU School of Law and an Advisor at the Animals in Context series at NYU Press. His research focuses on moral philosophy, legal philosophy, and philosophy of mind; animal minds, ethics, and policy; AI minds, ethics, and policy; and global health and climate ethics and policy. His books The Moral Circle and Saving Animals, Saving Ourselves are out now. • Links: • WILD Lab (https://sites.google.com/nyu.edu/wildanimalwelfare/home) • Eleos AI (https://eleosai.org/) • Jeff's Website (https://jeffsebo.net/) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• Live at EA Global - The future of U.S. foreign aid (with Dean Karlan) 07.01.2026 1t 26min

  Read the full transcript here. • What is the core public interest case for foreign aid beyond soft power? How should we define safety and prosperity? Why do many voters believe aid is a quarter of the budget when it is a tiny fraction and how does that shape support? How did a political decision to halt awards ripple through real programs and what safeguards failed? What legal and institutional checks should prevent a single administration from impounding funds that Congress appropriated? When government pauses, how can private funders triage the most life saving pieces without letting systems collapse? If an agency is rebuilt, which programs should be protected first and which processes should be redesigned from day one? How do we embed evidence and cost effectiveness at the start of strategy rather than as an afterthought in evaluation? What would it look like to center partner governments in the process so that learning becomes part of their own delivery? How can we avoid a fixation on what is easy to measure while still demanding clear estimates and accountability? What does it mean to meet donors where they are while steering them toward the highest impact use of funds? • Dean Karlan is the Frederic Esser Nemmers Distinguished Professor of Economics and Finance at Northwestern University, and the Founder and former President of Innovations for Poverty Action, a non-profit organization dedicated to discovering and promoting solutions to global poverty problems. Karlan was the Chief Economist at the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) from 2022 until resigning in 2025. Prior to 2022, he was on the Executive Committee of the Board of Directors of the M.I.T. Jameel Poverty Action Lab. In 2015, he co-founded ImpactMatters, a nonprofit dedicated to estimating and rating impact of nonprofit organizations in order to help donors choose good charities and to promote more transparency in the nonprofit sector. His research focuses on microeconomic issues of poverty, typically employing experimental methodologies and behavioral economics insights to examine what works, what does not, and why to address social problems • This episode was recorded live at EA Global: NYC 2025. Many thanks to the EA Global event organizers and staff for recording this conversation. • Links: • EA Global Event Page (https://www.effectivealtruism.org/ea-global/events/ea-global-new-york-city-2025) • Dean's Website (https://deankarlan.com/) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• Improving your skill of emotional regulation (with Shireen Rizvi) 31.12.2025 1t 8min

  Read the full transcript here. • How can we distinguish “real CBT” from supportive talk - does it include homework, clear goals, or a manualized plan? When therapy “doesn’t work,” is it the modality, the match, or weak training? Are common factors enough once symptoms disrupt daily life? Why does fragmented care push patients to choose meds or therapy by luck of first contact? When are meds a useful boost versus a detour from solving life problems? What’s distinct about DBT—skills, validation, and balancing change with acceptance? How does radical acceptance cut suffering without excusing harm? Which skills travel across diagnoses? How do we prevent therapist burnout and drift from the model? If we want durable gains, should we favor therapies that teach skills we keep after treatment ends? • Shireen Rizvi is a licensed clinical psychologist, board certified in Dialectical Behavior Therapy (DBT) and Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (CBT). She obtained her BA from Wesleyan University and her MS and PhD from the University of Washington. • Links: • Shireen's Videos (https://www.shireenrizvi.com/videos) • Shireen's Books (https://www.shireenrizvi.com/books) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)
• When voting fails (with Nicholas Gruen) 24.12.2025 1t 35min

  Read the full transcript here. • Which decisions should be made by election and which by random sampling? Where is competition healthy for choosing leaders, and where must rule-setting be unitary and impartial? What would credible umpires look like - judges, statisticians, pay reviewers - and how do we insulate them from parties? Can citizen juries and standing sampled councils surface red lines, negotiate overlap, and rebuild losers’ consent? Why does professional party culture normalize behavior individuals would reject, and can structured deliberation beat competitive groupthink? How do we measure success for rule-setters - accuracy, legitimacy, or a cooler temperature? When do promotions-as-power contests crowd out service, and could elections without candidates find better leaders? How much polarization is real cleavage versus performance layered over broad agreement, and how do institutions interrupt cosplay turning into violence? What minimum independence and accountability keep sampled bodies honest without drifting into technocracy? Where should problem-solving favor practical wisdom over pure truth-finding - embedding local knowledge alongside trials, models, and metrics? • Nicholas Gruen is an economist and entrepreneur and a commentator on democracy. He chaired the Government 2.0 Taskforce which helped set the Australian Government’s policy to navigate the threats and opportunities of open data and social media. Global Government Forum (https://www.globalgovernmentforum.com/government-transformed-podcast-sharing-the-inside-story-of-how-to-make-public-service-change-happen/) will shortly begin a (5 part podcast)[https://www.globalgovernmentforum.com/government-transformed-podcast-sharing-the-inside-story-of-how-to-make-public-service-change-happen/] on the Government 2.0 Taskforce fifteen years on. He is Patron of the Australian Digital Alliance, comprising Australia’s libraries, universities, and digital infrastructure providers such as Google and Yahoo. • Links: • Nicholas' YouTube Channel (https://www.youtube.com/@NicholasGruen) • Nicholas' Substack (https://nicholasgruen.substack.com/) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host + Director • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Producer + Technical Lead • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Igor Scaldini (https://www.linkedin.com/in/igorscaldini/) — Marketing Consultant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/)