Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Epizodai

• Overvaluation Meets Macro Risk: Why This Massive Asset Manager is Getting Bearish | Jim Masturzo | Research Affiliates 31.05.2026 1val 18min

  Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack Farley sits down with Jim Masturzo, Chief Investment Officer at Research Affiliates, to discuss the changing macroeconomic landscape and the underlying flaws of the traditional 60/40 portfolio. Masturzo explains that the recent positive correlation between stocks and bonds requires investors to find true diversifiers, though he still sees tactical opportunities in trading range-bound bond yields. The conversation explores the AI-driven market narrative, with Masturzo highlighting that the U.S. market is significantly overvalued at a CAPE ratio of 40 and examining the resulting ripple effects on software stock valuations. Finally, he details his bullish conviction trade on commodities amidst severe geopolitical supply chain risks and introduces his firm's new fundamentally weighted RAFI Growth Index. Follow Research Affiliates on X: https://x.com/RA_Insights Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Market Overvaluation Setup 00:53 Meet Jim Masturzo 01:23 60 40 Under Pressure 02:50 Finding True Diversifiers 06:24 Why Yields Stay Bounded 11:29 Government Backstops And YCC 14:09 Fed Balance Sheet Fears 17:28 Sponsor Break HFGM 19:44 Range Intact Tactical View 25:26 Private Credit Shift Risks 28:36 Stocks Rally And AI Narrative 33:31 CAPE Valuations Explained 36:19 Earnings Growth Skepticism 39:00 AI Adoption Reality Check 45:53 AI Investing Limits 49:26 Why Earnings Forecasts Fail 54:18 SaaSpocalypse and Risk Framework 01:02:37 Valuation Multiples and GAAP Focus 01:06:44 Conviction Trades Commodities and Bonds 01:14:38 Research Affiliates and RAFI Indices 01:16:21 Fundamental Growth Index Explained
• How This Real Estate Investor is Betting on an AI Boom (It’s Not Data Centers) | Tom Shapiro 26.05.2026 1val

  Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://fundrise.com/mm In this episode of Other People's Money, GTIS Partners founder and CIO Tom Shapiro breaks down how massive macroeconomic shifts, including AI and inflation, are reshaping the global real estate landscape. He explains why his firm is heavily betting on a San Francisco recovery driven by the booming AI sector, and how they are scooping up properties at steep discounts to replacement costs. Shapiro also details the severe oversupply challenges currently stalling popular Sun Belt cities, alongside the firm's strategic push into industrial logistics to capitalize on domestic reshoring trends. Finally, he shares decades of expertise on navigating the complex Brazilian real estate market, offering a masterclass on global investment strategies in a high-interest-rate environment. Learn more about GTIS Partners: https://www.gtispartners.com/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:30 Macro Shocks and Inflation 02:30 AI Disruption Risks 04:27 Tracking Jobs and Households 06:09 Immigration and Rate Politics 08:03 Build to Rent Bill Fallout 11:57 Affordability and Mortgage Rates 14:41 Fundrise Income Fund 16:36 Regional Winners and Losers 17:12 Sun Belt Oversupply Pain 19:57 San Francisco Comeback Thesis 24:35 AI Occupancy and Investment Plays 28:28 Picking Buildings Block by Block 30:02 Picking the Right Building 30:21 Safety and City Recovery 33:39 AI Jobs and Office Demand 35:17 Froth and Real Revenues 37:39 Data Centers NIMBY Debate 39:54 Reshoring and Warehouse Boom 44:09 Real Estate Capital Markets 49:07 Why Brazil Worked 52:46 Brazil Rates and Currency 55:15 Politics and China Pull 58:44 US Outlook and Wrap Up
• Things Are Going to Get Even Crazier: The Macro Regime Shift | Andreas Steno Larsen 25.05.2026 1val 8min

  Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm Andreas Steno Larsen, macro researcher from Real Vision, joins Max Wiethe on Other People’s Money to discuss the shifting macro regime where inflation has returned and is pushing US Treasury yields over 5%. They discuss the market’s expectation for interest rate hikes and how the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh will react to this environment. They also discuss the other dominant force in markets right now, the AI buildout. Steno Larsen argues that things are going to get crazier before the cycle turns later this year, but in the meantime the shortages in the AI supply chain are creating unappreciated winners in the technology sector. Follow Andreas Steno Larsen on X: https://x.com/AndreasSteno Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:50 Inflation and the Big Macro Shift 01:43 Transitory Inflation Debate 04:19 Bond Trade Timing 06:13 Steep Curve Playbook 09:41 Why Steepening Helps 12:24 Strong Dollar EM Risk 14:35 HFGM Unlimited Funds 16:51 India Data Versus Rupee 18:24 Energy Supply Countdown 21:23 LatAm Underperformance 23:27 AI Inflation Link 26:52 Korea Semis Surge 28:26 Momentum with Earnings 30:39 Quantum Hype Warning 32:24 Semis Cycle Peak Question 34:47 Late Cycle Winners Flip 39:01 IPO Supply and Rotation 43:35 Valuation Metrics Reframed 46:11 Hidden Scarcity Trade 49:21 Goods Inflation Returns 51:15 AI Jobs and Robotics 54:07 White Collar Disruption Map 59:53 LLMs and Bad Facts 01:04:47 Momentum vs. Value Edge 01:06:15 Rapid Fire Outlook and Wrap
• What Doomer Narratives Miss About Private Credit | John Cocke of Corbin Capital 24.05.2026 1val 12min

  John Cocke, Deputy Chief Investment Officer at Corbin Capital, joins Jack to discuss the world of private credit. With so much discussion over the asset class, John provides some much-needed context. While there are some areas of concern, John rejects the doomer narratives commonly seen on social media and sees opportunity on the horizon. Jack and John also discuss data center financing and the important, yet often missed, details of the private credit space. Recorded on May 15th, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow John Cocke on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/john-cocke-8319295/   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez   Check Out Jack & Max on the MTS Livestream: https://x.com/MTSlive
• A Basel III Deep Dive | What to Know About How It Will Transform Banking Globally 17.05.2026 1val 16min

  Chen Xu, counsel at Debevoise & Plimpton, joins Jack to discuss the Basel III framework and endgame. The Basel III framework is extremely important to the future of banking and credit. Few people are as qualified to explain this complex agreement more than Chen Xu. Chen explains what Basel III is and how it will affect many different areas of the financial world. Recorded on May 1st, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Chen Xu on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/chen-xu-a483b75/ Read Chen’s Publications https://www.debevoise.com/chenxu/?tab=insightsandpublications   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez   Check Out Jack & Max on the MTS Livestream: https://x.com/MTSlive
• Why Andy Constan Says The AI Bubble is in Earnings, Not Price 16.05.2026 33min

  Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm Monetary Matters is now streaming daily as part of Monitoring the Situation. Join us live on X and YouTube from 4 to 5 PM ET Monday through Friday @mtsituation for live interviews and analysis breaking down the market’s most important situations. This is recording of a recent live interview from MTS. Veteran macro trader Andy Constan joins Monetary Matters live on Monitoring the Situation to discuss why he has 100% confidence that AI stocks are in a bubble. The nuance though is that unlike most bubbles, where the bubble is in unsustainable prices with no earnings, this is a bubble in unsustainable earnings that will eventually fall and make the current somewhat reasonable prices look lofty in hindsight. Constan highlights metrics like the $400 billion in S&P 500 earnings expectations and the over 60% of that is supposed to accrue to AI winners, and argues that based on projected GDP growth that their simply “isn’t enough pie for all of the S&P 500 to eat” without it coming other very important areas of the economy. Follow Andy Constan on X: https://x.com/dampedspring Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max Wiethe on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Earnings Bubble Thesis 01:22 Defining a Bubble Regime 04:02 Past Bubbles and Patterns 07:57 Why PE Looks Normal 08:57 GDP Pie Math Reality 13:06 Unlimited ETFs HFGM 15:23 AI ROI and Inflation Risks 18:34 Three Cohorts Funding Compute 23:36 What a Real Pop Looks Like 28:22 Timing and Investor Discipline 30:27 Trading It Collars Not Shorts 33:13 Closing and Sign Off
• “You Don’t Sell Blow-offs” | Andrew Perry on Bullish Technicals of U.S. Stock Market, “Dangerous” Period for Global Equities, and Bull Case for Agricultural Commodities 15.05.2026 59min

  Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack sits down with veteran macro investor Andrew Perry of Macro Pillars. Perry provides a bullish technical outlook for US stocks, offering specific targets for the S&P 500 while warning against shorting the current momentum on a nominal basis. The discussion explores strategic pair trades, specifically being long US equities while shorting energy-dependent nations like Australia and Germany. Perry also explains the macro drivers behind his long positions in agricultural commodities—including corn, wheat, and soybeans—driven by fertilizer stress and geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz. Listeners will gain deep insights into why the MOVE index and US Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcements (QRA) are more critical indicators of market liquidity than the traditional VIX. Finally, Perry details the specific yield curve shifts, moving from bear to bull steepeners, that will signal the next major recessionary trade. Recorded May 11, 2026. This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are  Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today.  Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs  CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn  This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at  https://teucrium.com/corn. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and  instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past  performance does not guarantee future results.  For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the  respective Fund Prospectus before investing.  CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading  Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds,  which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the  Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading,  LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT.  PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with  Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC.  Sources  • Fertilizer trade through Strait of Hormuz: International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global Fertilizer Trade Data; USDA  ERS, Fertilizer Use and Price reports.  • Corn as heaviest nitrogen user: USDA Economic Research Service, Fertilizer Use and Price (most recent edition). • Input cost / margin impact and acreage-switching scenarios: Framing is conditional and analytical; not presented as  projections. Consistent with FINRA 2210(d)(1) standards for educational market commentary.  • Fund structure: Teucrium Corn Fund Prospectus (most recent effective date).  Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC.  5324752  Sourcing Index  • Fertilizer trade through Strait of Hormuz: International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global Fertilizer Trade Data; USDA  ERS, Fertilizer Use and Price reports.  • Corn as heaviest nitrogen user: USDA Economic Research Service, Fertilizer Use and Price (most recent edition). • Input cost / margin impact and acreage-switching scenarios: Framing is conditional and analytical; not presented as  projections. Consistent with FINRA 2210(d)(1) standards for educational market commentary.  • Fund structure: Teucrium Corn Fund Prospectus (most recent effective date). 
• Lyn Alden on Macro Consequences of AI and The Stolgard Incident (Monitoring The Situation Replay) 13.05.2026 50min

  Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm Jack Farley and Max Wiethe host Lyn Alden to explore the profound economic shifts driven by AI and the semiconductor industry. Alden compares the current rise of autonomous AI agents to the blue-collar manufacturing shifts of the 1980s, expressing continued bullishness on semiconductors due to physical bottlenecks and immense compute demand. She cautions that while tech hyperscalers remain dominant, their massive capital expenditure requirements and lower switching costs may lead to lower returns on invested capital than seen in previous decades. Regarding digital assets, Alden remains constructive on Bitcoin and moderately bullish on stablecoins, which she views as a vital tool for providing "offshore" banking utility to global users with smartphones. The conversation also highlights a "two-speed" or "K-shaped" economy where record-high stock prices diverge from record-low consumer sentiment due to stagflationary pressures and heavy fiscal spending. Finally, Alden discusses her science fiction novel, “The Stolgard Incident,” which envisions a semi-dystopian 2070s where society grapples with ubiquitous AI, virtual reality escapism, and widening wealth gaps. This originally aired on Monitoring The Situation in late April, see below to tune in.  Follow Lyn Alden on X https://x.com/LynAldenContact Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96Follow Monitoring The Situation (MTS) on X https://x.com/MTSlive Lyn Alden’s book, “The Stolguard Incident,” https://www.amazon.com/Stolguard-Incident-Lyn-Alden/dp/B0GNS9MYB5/ref=sr_1_1?adgrpid=193521879551&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.RJbicCTYIekTrz-Xcqzk7A.nC6zf8DffI2xHZBeqYOHUm48fMahUhOyxmiEmcenTBU&dib_tag=se&hvadid=789707336866&hvdev=c&hvexpln=0&hvlocphy=9060354&hvnetw=g&hvocijid=17622433326543445596--&hvqmt=e&hvrand=17622433326543445596&hvtargid=kwd-2473232811348&hydadcr=17070_13576050_1647189&keywords=the+stolguard+incident&mcid=b89d146b19ee37e6bc43fd9ecdb6775a&qid=1778698355&sr=8-1  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
• Lending Where the Banks Won’t Go: What’s Fueling Europe’s Growing Real Estate Private Credit Market? 12.05.2026 1val 2min

  Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://fundrise.com/mm In this episode of Other People's Money, Thomas Lloyd-Jones, Co-founder and CIO of Zenzic Capital, joins the show to unpack the nuances of the real estate private credit market. He explains how the media often conflates direct lending with the broader asset class, overlooking real estate and asset-backed lending. Lloyd-Jones details how increasing banking regulations are forcing traditional lenders to retreat, creating a widening gap for opportunistic credit funds to step in. This podcast is for informational purposes only and not an inducement to invest with Zenzic Capital. Zenzic Capital’s investment products are limited to professional clients only. The information within this podcast should not be relied upon as tax, legal or investment advice. Learn more about Zenzic Capital: https://zenziccapital.com/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:52 Private Credit Breakdown 03:32 BDCs And Redemptions 06:35 Allocation Failure Debate 08:47 Regulation and Fragmentation 12:07 Basel III Shift 14:10 Fundrise Income Fund 15:10 Systemic Risk and Leverage 17:36 Banks’ Retreat is Opportunity 20:56 Good vs. Bad Risk Premia 24:39 Senior Finance 28:44 Downside Protection and Spotting Bad Deals 37:48 Macro Matters for Exits 40:13 Finding Fixable Distress 43:22 Geopolitics and Rate Shock 47:01 Preferred Equity Playbook 51:49 When Development Risk Pays 54:52 Student Housing Reality Check 59:40 Macro Allocation Framework 01:01:59 Conclusion
• Why Generative AI Still Can’t Trade | David Wright on How Quant Alpha Actually Is Done With Machine Learning, Decision Trees, and Gradient Boosting 10.05.2026 38min

  To learn more about Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF ($PQUS), click here: https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/  This interview is brought to you by Pictet Asset Management. To learn more about Pictet AI-Enhanced  International Equity ETF ($PQNT), click here: https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/ Jack Farley sits down with David Wright, co-head of Quantitative Investments at Pictet Asset Management, to  discuss the machine learning techniques his team uses in their $30 billion quant franchise, and the degree to  which AI has impacted serious quantitative investing. Wright explains why he prefers to utilize many decision trees and use gradient boosting rather than Generative AI to generate return forecasts, citing the need to avoid  "hallucinations" and ensure models remain interpretable. The conversation explores their sophisticated  investment process, which analyzes over 400 features, including accounting data, market trends, and analyst  sentiment, to predict relative stock performance over 20-day horizons. These strategies, which now are included  in new ETFs $PQNT (Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF) and $PQUS (Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity  ETF) are designed as "passive replacements," aiming to maintain a Beta of 1.0 while aiming to deliver an  additional 1–2% annual outperformance over the relevant benchmarks, S&P 500 and MSCI EAFE indices. Finally,  Wright addresses the common "black box" misconception of quantitative finance, advocating instead for a "crystal  box" approach that provides full transparency into the economic rationale behind every trade. Recorded April 21,  2026. For important information about the fund, please click: https://etf.am.pictet.com/”  Important Information  Before investing, carefully consider the fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. This and  other information can be found in the fund’s prospectus or, if available, the summary prospectus, which  may be obtained by calling (855) 994-4778 or visiting www.pictet.com/etf. Read it carefully before investing.  (In Italic or Bold)   Investing in Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) involves risk, including possible loss of principal. The fund's principal  investment risks include Artificial Intelligence Models and Data Risk, Non-Diversification Risk, Convertible  Securities Risk, Rights and Warrants Risk, Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Risk and Sustainability & ESG  Data Risk. For additional information about these and other fund risks, please refer to the "Principal Investment  Risks" section of the prospectus.  ETFs are subject to additional risks that do not apply to conventional mutual funds, including the risks that the  market price of an ETF's shares may trade at a premium or discount to its net asset value, an active secondary  trading market may not develop or be maintained, or trading may be halted by the exchange in which they trade,  which may impact an ETF's ability to sell its shares. Shares of any ETF are bought and sold at market price (not  NAV) and are not individually redeemed from the ETF. Brokerage commissions will reduce returns.  Foreside fund services, LLC, distributor.  Definitions of terms used in the interview:  1. S&P 500 Index  The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500) is a market-capitalization-weighted index of 500 leading publicly  traded companies in the United States. It is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities.  Because it is weighted by market value, larger companies have a greater impact on the index's performance than  smaller ones.  2. MSCI EAFE Index  The MSCI EAFE Index is a stock market index that tracks the performance of large- and mid-cap securities  across developed markets around the world, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The acronym stands for Europe,  Australasia, and the Far East. It is commonly used as a benchmark for international equity funds. 3. Alpha  Alpha represents the "excess return" of an investment relative to the return of a benchmark index. It is a measure  of performance on a risk-adjusted basis. "Positive Alpha: indicates the investment outperformed its benchmark  after accounting for risk and "Negative Alpha" indicates the investment underperformed relative to the  benchmark.  4. Beta  Beta measures the volatility—or systematic risk—of a security or portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole  (usually the S&P 500, which has a Beta of 1.0) A Beta > 1.0 indicates the investment is more volatile than the  market (e.g., if the market rises 10%, the investment might rise 12%) A Beta < 1.0 indicates the investment is less  volatile than the market (e.g., if the market falls 10%, the investment might only fall 8%).  5. Basis Points (bps)  A Basis Point is a standard unit of measure for interest rates and other percentages in finance. One basis point is  equal to 1/100th of 1%, or 0.01%.
• Finding the Market’s Most Overlooked Macro Themes and Profiting from Global Volatility | Harris Kupperman 06.05.2026 1val

  Monetary Matters listeners can save $1000 on their first-year subscription to KEDM Research with coupon code mm2026: https://kedm.com/?add-to-cart=4175&apply_coupon=mm2026 Harris Kupperman and Roderick van Zuylen join Monetary Matters to discuss the intersection of thematic macro trends and event-driven catalysts. They dives deep into the severe supply-demand imbalances creating massive tailwinds for the refining industry, alongside the political shifts making Latin American equities a highly lucrative trade. They also discuss the rising volatility driving commodity brokers like Marex, and why the eldercare sector is primed for a breakout due to a halt in new facility construction. Follow KEDM Research on X: https://x.com/KEDM_COM Follow Harris Kupperman on X: https://x.com/hkuppy Follow Roderick van Zuylen on X: https://x.com/roojoo3 Follow Max Wiethe on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:10 Refiners Theme Setup 02:06 Why Cracks Tightened 05:18 Picking Refiner Winners 08:26 Earnings Path Dependence 14:22 Analyst Estimates Mispriced 17:54 Latin America Tailwinds 20:57 Brazil Financials Bet 24:01 Finding Mispriced Setups 30:28 KEDM Offer 31:15 Long Vol Through Brokers 34:03 Marex and Stonex Tailwinds 34:33 Macro Drivers of Volumes 36:11 CFO Hedging Incentives 37:57 Prediction Markets Opportunity 39:32 Eldercare Theme Setup 44:53 When Themes Meet Catalysts 46:17 Investor Days as Signals 48:45 Fallen Angels Returns 53:15 AI Automation for Monitors 54:23 CEO Pay as a Tell 55:26 US Consumer Weakness This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice. Any views expressed are the personal opinions of the speakers and do not necessarily reflect the views of their employers, affiliates, clients, or any related parties. Listeners should conduct their own research and consult their own advisers before making any investment or financial decision. The appearance of any speaker, guest, company, product, or service on this podcast does not constitute an endorsement, recommendation, or approval by any participant or third party. Any investments discussed are illustrative only and are not intended to reflect any actual portfolio. Examples are meant to show aspects of an investment approach, and while some may highlight successful trades, not all trades are successful or profitable.
• Warren Pies: The Scramble for Compute Cures All Ills | Two Wolves of “Hockeysticking Earnings” and Hormuz Oil Shock (Plus Caliban) 04.05.2026 1val 10min

  Request Access to Free Trial to Caliban, Warren’s new AI-powered research tool that automates complex data sourcing & institutional-grade charting for investors: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/monetary-matters In this episode, Warren Pies, founder of 314 Research and Caliban, joins the show to analyze the "two wolves" currently battling for control of the market: the transformative power of AI and the historic oil crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. Pies details how an "agentic explosion" in AI and a massive scramble for compute are fueling an unprecedented earnings boom, with proprietary data showing that frontier models like Mythos are driving a legitimate, if lopsided, market advance. On the flip side, we explore the terrifying 10-million-barrel-per-day oil deficit caused by geopolitical blockades and why "managed demand destruction" has been the only force keeping prices from skyrocketing past $200. Despite these risks, Warren remains fundamentally bullish on equities, arguing that the AI-driven CapEx cycle and resilient fiscal stimulus are powerful enough to help the S&P 500 look through the energy nightmare. We also get an exclusive look at Caliban. Finally, Warren shares his tactical portfolio positioning, explaining his strategy for staying overweight in both stocks and oil commodities while remaining underweight in fixed income. Tune in to see how the S&P 500 reached the 7,000 target predicted in 2024 and why Warren believes the path to 8,000 remains intact. Recorded May 1st, 2026.
• Why Fundamentals Fail the New Economy | Jacob Pozharny on “Sentiment” Analysis’ Role in New Economy Stocks 01.05.2026 1val 22min

  Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode of "Monetary Matters," Jacob Pozharny, Co-Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Bridgeway Capital Management, explains why traditional fundamental analysis often fails "new economy" stocks due to the rise of intangible assets like R&D and customer relationships. He details a bifurcated investment strategy that utilizes advanced sentiment analysis for high-tech sectors while maintaining a classic fundamental approach for "old economy" industries. The discussion highlights how the 2026 Iran war is currently creating significant market dislocations in global energy and shipping, offering unique "alpha hunting" opportunities identified through proprietary textual analysis of earnings calls. Pozharny argues that the most effective stock picking occurs in less efficient mid-cap and small-cap markets outside the U.S., where the potential return spread is significantly wider than in the S&P 500. Finally, he outlines his firm's market-neutral approach to building idiosyncratic return streams that remain uncorrelated to broader market direction by leveraging unique data such as buy-side borrow availability. Jacob is portfolio manager of Bridgeway Global Opportunities Fund (BRGOX). Recorded April 16, 2026. Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Disclaimer for today’s sponsor, Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: Past performance is not indicative of future results. An investment should not be made based solely on returns. Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest which can be found on unlimitedetfs.com/HFGM.  Distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC
• Jim Bianco on Division at the Fed and Jerome Powell’s Controversial Decision to Stay 01.05.2026 41min

  Monetary Matters is now streaming daily as part of Monitoring the Situation. Join us live on X and YouTube from 4 to 5 PM ET Monday through Friday @MTSituation for live interviews and analysis breaking down the market’s most important situations. This is recording of a recent live interview from MTS. Jack Farley and Max Wiethe interview Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. The discussion covers Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's controversial decision to stay on after Kevin Warsh becomes Chairman. Bianco highlights the shift towards independent voting at the Fed, pointing to a recent dissents focused on easing bias language. Bianco also explores the economic impact of the continued blockage of the Strait of Hormuz and shares his market outlook, predicting elevated oil prices and trending higher interest rates. Follow Jim Bianco on X: https://x.com/biancoresearch Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:10 Powell Stays Controversy 02:24 Fed Independence and Dissents 03:57 Investigation Deal Explained 09:04 Easing Bias Forward Guidance 13:55 Supreme Court and Fed Upheaval 19:20 Earnings and Market Reaction 21:47 Oil Shock and Inflation Debate 25:47 Warsh Era Fed Outlook 32:13 Strait of Hormuz War Fallout 39:11 Trades for a Protracted War 41:30 Wrap Up and Where to Follow
• SpaceX IPO: Why This Hedge Fund Manager is Fading the Hype | Moez Kassam 30.04.2026 46min

  Monetary Matters is now streaming daily as part of Monitoring the Situation. Join us live on X and YouTube from 4 to 5 PM ET Monday through Friday @MTSlive for live interviews and analysis breaking down the market’s most important situations. This is recording of a recent live interview from MTS. Hosts Jack Farley and Max Wiethe are joined by Moez Kassam, the Chief Investment Officer of Anson Funds. Moez breaks down his strategy for generating alpha by acting as a contrarian and fading the crowd during times of rampant market speculation. In this episode, we cover: • The SpaceX IPO Rumors: Moez discusses the potential mechanics of the largest expected IPO in history and the rumors of early investor unlocks. He also details the "Day 9" trading strategy surrounding Nasdaq index inclusion. • The Massive Cannabis Opportunity: Learn why Anson Funds believes the U.S. cannabis sector could see a 400% move in a few years. Moez breaks down the DEA's descheduling process and the elimination of the restrictive 280E tax code. • Software and Activism: Why the indiscriminate selling of software stocks has created a massive opportunity for free cash flow investors and activist campaigns. • Navigating Emerging Tech: A candid assessment of AI, Space, and Quantum technologies. Moez explains why Quantum is facing a massive discount rate and why investors should be wary of the "me-too" space stocks. • Crypto & Private Credit: Insights from the recent Trump Crypto Conference and why the extreme negative sentiment around private credit makes its 10-15% yields highly attractive. Follow Moez Kassam on Instagram: @munchingmoez Follow Moez Kassam on X: https://x.com/MunchingMoez Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 02:10 SpaceX IPO Setup 05:49 Index Inclusion Trade 07:21 S-1 Filing Reality Check 08:32 Elon Rolls Up Businesses 12:12 Shorting Space Me Toos 13:35 AI, Space, Quantum Hype 16:18 Software Selloff and Activism 18:42 Cannabis Contrarian Bet 21:44 Descheduling Mechanics 24:30 AI & Semis: Crowded Trade? 26:10 Crypto Mood Shift 29:29 Media Activism Plays 31:16 Software Cash Flow vs Hype 34:49 Measuring Market Sentiment 37:51 Bitcoin Crowd Psychology 40:06 Shipping and Energy Contrarian 41:16 Canada: Gold & Oil Pulse 43:35 Process Over Predictions 45:50 Private Credit Negativity 46:34 Outro
• From Soros to Old Farm: How to Identify the Market’s Top Thematic Risk-Takers | Kieran Cavanna | Old Farm Partners 29.04.2026 1val 1min

  This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Kieran Cavanna, the founder and CIO of Old Farm Partners and former head of external managers at Soros Fund Management joins Other People’s Money to break down his high-conviction approach to thematic investing, explaining why "making the main thing the main thing" is the secret to capturing outsized returns in the public markets. From his time working under legendary macro investor Scott Bessent to his current focus at Old Farm Partners, Kieran shares how he identifies "asymmetric" opportunities where the upside is massive and the downside is protected. If you've ever wondered how the world’s most sophisticated allocators source managers and structure co-investments to beat the market, this is an interview you can't miss. Listen to the Thematic Investors Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLTSvmgAOiFVttgxmUaO4hSgMxutOwyS9T Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:17 Soros External Managers 03:36 What Makes Great Managers 07:01 Spotting Skill Vs Luck 08:47 Risk Management 12:37 Geography and Benchmarks 15:21 Style Drift and Communication 18:57 Fees and Multi Strat Debate 22:30 Spinouts and Independence 26:47 Co-Investing in Public Markets 30:06 Allocator Base and Drawdown Focus 31:12 Family Office Allocators 32:13 Private Credit Shift 36:57 Big Launches Small Wins 38:40 AI CapEx Main Event 41:26 Defense Tech Next Theme 42:44 Asymmetry Not Binary 44:51 Cross Sector Blind Spots 49:51 Crowded Trades Unwind 52:58 Macro Themes Bottom Up 57:37 Risks and Hedging 59:42 Thematic Investors Podcast
• “Overblown” Sell-off in Software Loans | Matthew Bloomfield on Public BDCs (Business Development Companies) and Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) 26.04.2026 1val 10min

  This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners   Matthew Bloomfield, President of Palmer Square Capital BDC, joins Jack to discuss structured credit markets. With fears rising over private credit defaults, it is important to listen to voices like Matthew. Matthew dives deep into the nuances of business development companies (BDCs), collateralized loan obligations, A.I. disruption, and private credit. He brings with him years of domain specific expertise on credit markets and is an incredible resource for those looking to become more acquainted with the minutiae of the credit industry. Recorded on April 14th, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Matthew Bloomfield on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/matt-bloomfield-66433932/   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez
• Navigating the SaaS Apocalypse: Why AI Disruption is Mispriced | Deiya Pernas | Pernas Research 19.04.2026 1val 1min

  Monetary Matters listeners can save 20% on their first-year subscription to Pernas Research: http://pernasresearch.com/monetarymatters Software stocks have plummeted as the market prices in existential threats from AI capabilities and the rise of "vibe coding". In this episode, Deiya Pernas of Pernas Research explains why he believes the market is entirely misjudging the resilience of smaller SaaS companies. He argues that real-world integrations, enterprise-grade security, and privileged API access create powerful moats that simple code generation cannot easily replace. Pernas also reveals a previously multi-billion-dollar enterprise company that he sees 100% upside in over the next 12 months. Tune in to discover how to navigate the current "SaaS apocalypse" and identify mispriced opportunities in the market. Follow Pernas Research on X: https://x.com/pernasresearch Follow Max Wiethe on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 SaaS Apocalypse Setup 00:43 Pernas Research Offer 02:02 Software’s Second Leg Down 04:21 What Really Disrupts 07:23 Spotting Real Pivots 08:58 Valuations Hit 3x EV/Sales 11:27 When Sentiment Flips 14:03 Real World SaaS Focus 15:32 Vibe Coding Reality Check 17:52 Research Tools and Hiring 19:09 Pernas Research Offer 22:57 Sprout Social Pitch 25:37 Moat via API Access 28:12 Competition and TAM 32:16 Sprout Growth Outlook Ahead 33:49 Stock Comp Debate 36:57 3 More Bullish Stocks 38:33 Xometry Marketplace Explained 44:57 Xometry Scaling and Profit Path 46:04 Remitly vs. Wise 49:11 Migration Theme and Risks 52:29 Policy Shock and Risk Mindset 55:22 Portfolio Volatility Playbook 59:11 Conclusion
• Banks' “Considerable” Exposure to Private Credit | Chris Whalen on Banks’ Loans to NBFIs, Plus CRE, Gold, and Payments 18.04.2026 53min

  Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode, banking specialist Chris Whalen joins Jack to unpack the hidden risks within recent bank earnings, focusing heavily on the sector's exposure to private credit and non-depository financial institutions. Chris explains how the widespread use of off-balance-sheet special purpose vehicles obscures the true level of risk, warning that regional banks could face significant pain as troubled private credit debt is forced into equity. The conversation also explores the ongoing turmoil in commercial real estate, noting that while premium properties remain insulated, older buildings and specific markets like Chicago are suffering steep valuation discounts. Shifting to asset protection, Chris details his bullish stance on precious metals, highlighting gold as a crucial global monetary trade and silver as an industrial necessity currently facing acute supply shortages. Recorded April 17, 2026. Follow Chris Whalen on X https://x.com/rcwhalen Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Disclaimer for today’s sponsor, Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: Past performance is not indicative of future results. An investment should not be made based solely on returns. Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest which can be found on unlimitedetfs.com/HFGM.  Distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC
• Financial Repression, Pt. 1 | Professor Hanno Lustig on Hidden Taxes, Fiscal Sustainability, and Japan’s Debt Puzzle 15.04.2026 1val 30min

  Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode of Monetary Matters, Stanford University finance professor Hanno Lustig dives deep into the hidden mechanics of financial repression and fiscal sustainability. Professor Lustig explains how governments historically use financial repression to fund themselves at artificially low interest rates, shifting the economic burden away from taxpayers and onto everyday bondholders and savers. The conversation then centers on Japan's debt puzzle, exploring how the nation has sustained a debt-to-GDP ratio of over 200% without triggering a severe fiscal crisis. By consolidating the balance sheets of the Japanese government and the Bank of Japan, Lustig reveals that the public sector has been executing a massive, highly leveraged carry trade. This bold strategy involves funding operations by issuing bank reserves at near-zero interest rates and reinvesting those funds into higher-yielding foreign currencies and risky global equities. While this financial engineering has generated immense returns for the government, it operates as a hidden, regressive tax that heavily penalizes financially unsophisticated citizens who hold basic bank deposits. Finally, as inflation forces the Bank of Japan to abandon yield curve control and raise interest rates, Lustig warns that this carry trade could violently unravel, offering a cautionary tale for other indebted Western economies. Recorded April 8, 2026. Hanno Lustig’s Research discussed in interview: “What About Japan?”: https://www.nber.org/papers/w31850 “Japan’s Debt Puzzle: Sovereign Wealth Fund from Borrowed Money”: https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.20251452 “Safe until crisis: What 300 years of wars reveal about government debt safety”: https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/safe-until-crisis-what-300-years-wars-reveal-about-government-debt-safety Hanno’s ‘Stack: https://thetwocents.substack.com/ Follow Hanno Lustig on X https://x.com/HannoLustig Follow Jack Farley on https://x.com/jackfarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Disclaimer for today’s sponsor, Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: Past performance is not indicative of future results. An investment should not be made based solely on returns. Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest which can be found on unlimitedetfs.com/HFGM.  Distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC