The Psychology of Money & Markets

Epizodes

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  Why Prices Don’t Go Back Down When Inflation Falls 25.09.2026 3min

  Inflation is falling, yet groceries, restaurant meals, rent, and everyday purchases still seem painfully expensive. That apparent contradiction comes from confusing the rate at which prices are rising with the actual level of prices. This episode explains the crucial difference between inflation, disinflation, and deflation—and why yesterday’s prices usually don’t return simply because inflation improves. We’ll also explore the psychology behind why consumers can continue to feel financially squeezed long after the inflation rate has declined.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  AI Boom or Bust? Decoding the JOLTs Surge and the Future of Work in 2026 08.06.2026 8min

  Recent JOLTs data shows U.S. job openings surging to 7.6 million in April 2026, driven largely by a massive spike in professional and business services—fueling speculation that AI is creating more demand than it destroys. This episode explores the dual realities of AI’s impact: jobs lost to automation, new roles exploding in tech and data, and the reshaping of millions of positions in between. We examine optimistic projections of net job growth alongside concerns over displacement, skills gaps, and economic uncertainty to help listeners navigate the transforming labor marketSubscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  AI-Driven Resilience Meets Strong Services Data: Equities, ADP Jobs, ISM PMI, and Fed Transition Insights on June 3, 2026 03.06.2026 7min

  This special report examines today’s key U.S. economic releases, including robust ADP private employment growth and an accelerating ISM Services PMI, set against ongoing artificial intelligence momentum and corporate valuations in technology. It assesses equity market performance, macroeconomic signals, and implications of the Federal Reserve leadership transition amid persistent inflation concerns. Professionals and investors will receive structured, forward-looking analysis on sector opportunities, policy expectations, and balanced portfolio strategies in the evolving 2026 landscape.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  AI Resilience Amid Fresh Economic Signals: Equities, ISM Data, and Fed Transition Dynamics on June 1, 2026 01.06.2026 6min

  This special report reviews the latest U.S. economic indicators released on June 1, 2026, including stronger-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI and construction spending data, alongside equity market movements and ongoing artificial intelligence momentum. It evaluates corporate valuations in technology against macroeconomic headwinds and the implications of the Federal Reserve leadership transition. Investors and professionals will find actionable insights into sector performance, policy expectations, and forward-looking market trajectoriesSubscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  AI Momentum Versus Macro Headwinds: Corporate Valuations and Fed Transition in 2026 31.05.2026 5min

  This special report analyzes the dynamic interplay between surging artificial intelligence investments and persistent macroeconomic challenges shaping the U.S. economy in 2026. It examines robust corporate valuations in the technology sector alongside moderating GDP growth and evolving Federal Reserve policy expectations amid leadership transitions. Listeners will gain structured insights into investment implications, sector performance, and forward-looking economic trajectories.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  Markets in Focus: Trade Improvements, Geopolitical Easing, SpaceX valuation, and Persistent AI Strength Drive Modest Advances 29.05.2026 9min

  On May 29, 2026, U.S. equity markets posted modest gains as positive trade balance data and strong regional manufacturing signals combined with easing geopolitical tensions from a potential U.S.-Iran truce extension. Commodities reflected shifting risk sentiment with oil prices declining while gold held firm above elevated levels. This episode examines the key economic releases, market movements, and corporate developments shaping the financial landscape on a light post-holiday trading day.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  Navigating Crosscurrents – U.S. Economic Data, Equity Markets, and Geopolitical Developments on May 28, 2026 28.05.2026 9min

  U.S. equity markets exhibited cautious trading patterns following the release of mixed economic indicators, with major indices showing modest declines amid concerns over moderating growth and persistent inflation. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each retreated approximately 0.4 to 0.7 percent in morning sessions, as investors digested the downward revision in first-quarter GDP and elevated core PCE readings, which tempered expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. Technology and consumer discretionary sectors faced particular pressure, while industrials benefited modestly from the strong durable goods orders data, highlighting selective resilience within the broader market landscape.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  Market Pulse: Micron Surge, US-Iran Peace Deal Progress, and Equity Market Resilience – May 27, 2026 27.05.2026 8min

  This episode provides a real-time evaluation of U.S. equity markets, spotlighting strong performance in individual stocks such as Micron Technology amid broader index advances supported by technological innovation. It features technical assessments for major indices and gold, analysis of today’s domestic economic indicators including the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, and international economic factors influencing U.S. conditions. The discussion additionally examines geopolitical developments, particularly advancements in the US-Iran peacemaker negotiations, alongside other international news and their potential market implications.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  Market Pulse: Real-Time Insights into Equities, Gold, and Global Influences; consumer confidence, missile strikes and more– May 26, 2026 26.05.2026 10min

  This episode provides a live assessment of U.S. equity markets as they trade amid sustained momentum from technological advancements and corporate performance. It delivers current technical evaluations for major indices and gold, alongside analysis of today’s domestic economic releases, including the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, and relevant international economic factors. Furthermore, the discussion incorporates ongoing geopolitical developments, notably U.S.-Iran negotiations, and their implications for market dynamicsSubscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  Bond Market Reckoning: 5.19% Yields, the Iran Oil Shock, Surging Inflation, and America’s $39 Trillion Debt Challenge- Japan bonds and gold 24.05.2026 12min

  US 30-year Treasury yields have climbed to 5.19%—the highest since 2007—fueled by the 2026 Iran conflict disrupting the Strait of Hormuz, pushing oil above $100/barrel and reigniting inflation pressures. This expanded episode summarizes The Kobeissi Letter’s urgent thread, integrates the latest data from the BLS, Treasury, EIA, and mortgage markets, deepens the debate with historical parallels and expert perspectives, explores real-world impacts on households and investors, and delivers a balanced conclusion on risks versus resilience. Essential listening for anyone concerned about borrowing costs, housing, retirement, and the 2026 economic outlook.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  Global Markets Pulse – Economic Data, Policy Signals, and Market Dynamics on May 22, 2026 22.05.2026 7min

  This episode reviews the principal economic indicators released on May 22, 2026, including U.S. leading indicators, consumer sentiment, and international GDP figures, together with an assessment of their implications for growth, inflation, and monetary policy. We deliver updates on equity, commodity, and bond markets, with technical observations and an overview of geopolitical factors shaping investor sentiment. Listeners will gain a structured perspective on how these developments influence the global economic environment amid persistent uncertainties.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  Global Markets Pulse – Economic Data, Policy Signals, and Market Dynamics 21.05.2026 8min

  This episode examines the latest U.S. and European economic indicators released today, alongside the Federal Reserve’s April meeting minutes from yesterday, assessing their implications for growth, inflation, and monetary policy. We provide updates on equity, commodity, and bond markets, incorporating technical analysis and key geopolitical developments influencing investor sentiment. Join us for a professional overview of how these factors shape the broader economic landscape amid ongoing global uncertaintiesSubscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  Global Yield Spillovers, The FOMC Minutes, META job losses and Emerging Market FX Pressure 20.05.2026 8min

  This episode analyzes a highly active global data print day, highlighting how a surprise deceleration in UK inflation to 2.8% triggered a drop in US Treasury yields to lift domestic equity futures. We trace the international macro ripple effects, from defensive interest rate hikes in emerging markets like Indonesia to the structural gridlock remaining in the US housing sector. Finally, we preview the afternoon's critical macro risk events, detailing what institutional desks are looking for in the 2:00 PM FOMC minutes and how it sets the stage for Nvidia’s pivotal corporate earnings release.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  Market Pulse: Tokenized Stocks Breakthrough, Korean Leverage Surge, and Geopolitical Oil Tensions 19.05.2026 7min

  Today’s episode examines the SEC’s anticipated “innovation exemption” for tokenized stocks, a pivotal step toward integrating digital assets with traditional securities on decentralized platforms. We analyze surging South Korean margin debt reaching record levels amid aggressive retail betting on semiconductors, alongside broader U.S. and global market movements influenced by elevated oil prices and bond yields. Additional coverage includes gold and commodities performance, technical analysis, key economic data releases, and ongoing U.S.-Iran geopolitical developmentsSubscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  Markets in Focus: Global Inflation Pressures, Japan’s Policy Shift, Trump and China meeting and Tech Resilience 18.05.2026 6min

  This episode analyzes accelerating global inflation driven by energy shocks, key economic announcements from the United States, Japan, Europe, China, and other regions, along with their implications for the U.S. economy. We provide technical perspectives on gold and silver, broader market technical analysis, and assessments of geopolitical developments. Additionally, we examine hedge fund allocations toward semiconductor stocks amid technological investment momentum.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  The Healthcare Jobs Illusion: Why America’s “Strong” Economy Is Built on a Single Sector 17.05.2026 6min

  Since December 2023, the U.S. healthcare and social assistance sector has added 1.76 million jobs while the rest of the private sector has lost nearly 128,000. This extreme concentration reveals a labor market dangerously reliant on one industry driven by demographics rather than broad-based growth. In this episode, we unpack the data, explore the implications for workers, businesses, and the Fed, and ask whether this is sustainable or a warning sign of deeper weakness.16Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  Global Markets in Focus: Trump-Xi Summit, Fed Transition, Bond Market Pressures, and Strategic Reserve Moves 15.05.2026 8min

  In today’s edition, we unpack President Trump’s high-stakes summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, including fresh updates on trade, Iran, and energy security. We assess the implications of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s departure as the central bank navigates persistent inflation, alongside sharp moves in U.S. and U.K. bond markets, robust retail investor participation in equities, gold’s technical positioning, and significant drawdowns from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve amid ongoing geopolitical strains.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  New Fed Chair’s First Major Test: Latest Economic Reports, Stock Market Reaction & Cisco’s Move 14.05.2026 9min

  April retail sales advanced 0.5 percent month-over-month in line with forecasts, underscoring steady consumer demand, while initial jobless claims rose modestly to 211,000, signaling slight labor-market softening. Import and export prices climbed sharply on energy costs, reinforcing yesterday’s hotter-than-expected producer-price data. Kevin Warsh was confirmed as the new Federal Reserve chair, and Cisco delivered strong earnings on robust AI demand. In this edition, we deliver technical analysis on equities, gold, and silver, alongside coverage of the ongoing Trump-Xi summit and its implications for commodities and global trade.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  CPI at 3.8% Amid Iran Shock & Trump-Xi Summit: Nvidia Spotlight, Fed Outlook, Commodities, Equity Rotation & Gold Technicals 13.05.2026 8min

  April CPI data show U.S. inflation reaccelerating to 3.8 percent year-over-year, highest since May 2023, driven by energy costs from the Iran conflict, as President Trump engages in high-stakes talks with Xi Jinping in Beijing. This episode provides authoritative analysis of the latest CPI, Fed signals, deep commodity trends, equity dynamics, and sector rotation, with precise technical breakdowns for gold and the broader market. It includes a dedicated segment on Nvidia stock—its current performance, implications, and sector-wide influence—plus strong/weak sectors, behavioral insights, two Trump-Xi market scenarios, and practical takeaways.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.
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  CPI Surges to 3.8% on Energy Shock, Markets Pull Back: Fed Outlook & Gold Technicals | It’s the Economy 12.05.2026 5min

  April CPI data released today shows U.S. headline inflation accelerating to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—fueled by energy costs amid Middle East tensions, with core at 2.8%. Oil prices surge above $101 WTI while equities retreat from records, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq under pressure from tech weakness. This episode provides precise technical analysis on gold and broader markets, Fed signals, and behavioral insights on risk appetite for investors navigating sticky inflation and geopolitical volatility.Subscribe for regular market and policy updates. Rate and review the show to help others discover it. For deeper geopolitical analysis, explore Foreign Affairs Circle and Spy Craft. Questions or topic suggestions are always welcome.