Asia Centric by Bloomberg Intelligence

Why Investors Are Mispricing China in a G2 World 16.09.2026 33мин

The global economy is structurally shifting from G7 dominance toward a G2 dynamic led by the US and China, yet international investors continue to shun Chinese risk assets. Even as China dominates global manufacturing output and expands its trade surplus toward $1.2 trillion, global capital remains heavily allocated toward developed markets. Are markets mispricing China's role in this new order? Bin Gao, CEO and co-CIO of Kaifeng Investment Management Hong Kong, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast to unpack the G2 shift. Gao draws parallels to Japan's 1970s export boom, presenting a contrarian case for yuan appreciation while warning of an overvalued bubble in Japanese consumer stocks.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Japan's Activism Boom Shifts to Small Caps 09.09.2026 29мин

Shareholder activism is surging in Japan, with 120 campaigns launched in the first half of the year, making the country the second most active market globally after the US. With a record number of companies going private and M&A takeover battles on the rise, activist investors are increasingly becoming kingmakers in securing maximum value for minority shareholders. Jamie Halse, chief investment officer at Senjin Capital, joins Bloomberg Intelligence's John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. He explains that while much of the headlines have focused on Japan's corporate giants like Toyota and Sony, the most compelling value lies in the under-researched small- and mid-cap space. Halse unpacks why smaller firms are only in the early innings of governance reform, how unwinding cross-shareholdings is stripping away corporate protection, and the cultural nuances of working with Japanese management teams on capital allocation and shareholder value.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Cheap North Asian Currencies Reach Turning Point 02.09.2026 21мин

North Asian currencies – including the Japanese yen, South Korean won, Taiwan dollar and Chinese yuan – are trading at some of their deepest discounts on record, dropping up to 56% below purchasing power parity. These depressed valuations persist despite strong macro fundamentals, backed by massive foreign exchange reserves and their status as top global creditors. However, this valuation gap is beginning to snap back as booming domestic economies, rising retail sales, and increasing inflation prompt central banks in the region to hike interest rates. What will this shifting macroeconomic environment mean for regional FX and equities? Sean Darby, equity strategist at Mizuho Securities, joins host John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. Darby unpacks his "Burger Heaven" thesis on undervalued currencies and explains why steepening yield curves are setting up long-ignored bank stocks to outperform.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Europe Needs €14 Trillion to Catch US, China 26.08.2026 20мин

After decades of lagging behind the US and China in economic growth and innovation, Europe faces a stark reality: the era of cheap Russian energy, low-cost Chinese goods and US-backed security is over. Achieving strategic self-sufficiency will cost an estimated €14 trillion through 2035, according to Bloomberg Intelligence, requiring massive capital deployment across defense, energy, technology and agriculture. Traditional industrial mainstays are also under threat, with Chinese EV makers rapidly capturing market share and endangering an auto sector that employs nearly 14 million people. Rod Turnbull, EMEA research content manager at Bloomberg Intelligence, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. Turnbull breaks down how Europe can fund this €1.5 trillion annual effort — from unlocking €11 trillion in consumer bank deposits to EU budget shifts. He also highlights key investment opportunities across defense and tech, while weighing whether political friction and national self-interest could derail execution.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

China's AI Firms Locked in Race to the Bottom 19.08.2026 26мин

While US tech giants such as Anthropic and OpenAI are monetizing at an unprecedented scale, Chinese developers are struggling to turn their technical progress into revenue growth. Despite narrowing the performance gap with US frontier models to just 5%, they face a domestic market flooded with nearly 1,000 competing large language models. This massive oversupply has triggered a brutal price war, with API tokens trading at roughly an 80% discount compared with US rates. Can Chinese AI companies ever generate significant returns for investors, and what are the implications for US frontier models? Robert Lea, senior analyst covering China AI at Bloomberg Intelligence, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. They outline why China's ecosystem prioritizes "progress, not profit," explore stark economic parallels with the heavily subsidized solar and EV sectors, and discuss whether this cutthroat competition will derail the industry's long-term ambitions.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Navigating US Treasury Selloff and Yen Intervention 12.08.2026 26мин

Global fixed income markets are facing fresh turbulence as 30-year US Treasury yields spike to 5.2% – their highest level since before the global financial crisis – amid policy uncertainty under Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh. At the same time, FX markets are on high alert following coordinated intervention by US and Japanese authorities to support the yen after it breached 162. With rate volatility climbing while corporate fundamentals remain largely intact, how can credit investors find value amid tight spreads and negative net debt issuance across Asia? Monica Hsiao, founder and chief investment officer of Triada Capital, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. She looks at how Fed communication is driving up risk premiums, the mechanics behind US-Japan FX coordination, and why carry remains the primary strategy in global credit markets.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Can CXMT and Kimi K3 Break the Memory Supercycle? 05.08.2026 30мин

Memory chips have been the standout trade of the AI boom, but July brought a sharp reality check. Global semiconductor stocks whipsawed as investors began questioning the return on hundreds of billions in data-center spending. Market jitters deepened after Chinese startup Moonshot released its open-source Kimi K3 model at a fraction of the cost of US frontier AI architectures. Compounding these concerns is the rise of CXMT, China’s leading DRAM supplier, whose stock surged fivefold following a blockbuster IPO – raising fears of aggressive capacity expansion that could disrupt incumbents such as Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron. Jake Silverman, semiconductor analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. He unpacks why fundamental support for the memory sector remains solid, how high-bandwidth memory (HBM) creates a structural cap on standard DRAM supply, and why multi-year strategic supply contracts and extended fab construction lead times insulate incumbents from an immediate market collapse.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Rise of the $300 Billion Prediction Market 29.07.2026 21мин

Prediction markets are rapidly emerging as one of the fastest-growing asset classes in global finance. Driven by market leaders such as Kalshi and Polymarket, annual trading volume on real-world outcomes — from political elections to major sporting events — is projected to surge to $300 billion this year, with the potential to reach $1 trillion by 2030. But a high-stakes regulatory battle is looming: state gambling regulators argue these sports-heavy contracts constitute illegal gambling, while operators insist they are federally regulated derivatives under the purview of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Brian Egger, senior gaming and lodging analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. They discuss the regulatory showdown, the impact on traditional sportsbooks such as DraftKings and FanDuel, and how financial markets utilize prediction market odds as real-time sentiment indicators.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Peak Hormuz and the New Oil Order 22.07.2026 17мин

The disruption in the Strait of Hormuz upended global energy markets, but the feared catastrophic oil shock never materialized. Prior to the Middle East conflict, about 20 million barrels of oil and products flowed through the maritime chokepoint every day. Due to regional bypass pipelines, strategic reserve releases and voluntary demand reductions from China, the global system absorbed the impact. Now, major producers and exposed Asian consumers are doubling down on long-term diversification to secure their supply chains. Salih Yilmaz, senior equity research analyst covering energy, oil and gas at Bloomberg Intelligence, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. He outlines his "Peak Hormuz" thesis, detailing how global energy flows are rapidly realigning, the structural shift toward energy resilience, and what this means for near-term oil prices.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

China's Shoppers Still Buy Luxury, But Selectively 15.07.2026 16мин

Chinese consumer sentiment isn't collapsing across the board, but retail sales growth is projected to hit a four-year low. While big-ticket categories like home appliances and autos crumble under subsidy fatigue, highly resilient segments are holding ground, particularly cosmetics, luxury, and premium sportswear. In e-commerce, Alibaba and rival giants are locked in a margin-crushing battle over agentic AI to capture shrinking wallets. Catherine Lim, APAC head of Bloomberg Intelligence and senior consumer and technology analyst, joins John Lee to unpack her latest retail survey. Catherine reveals exactly where the wealthy plan to spend next -- which players, like Laopu Gold, are winning over shoppers, and how AI agents are reshaping the digital marketplace.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

How AI and Energy Security Fuel a New Supercycle 08.07.2026 16мин

A massive convergence of artificial intelligence, energy and security is sparking what is likely to be the largest and longest energy investment cycle in history, according to Morgan Stanley. Driven by the demands of AI data centers and a strategic shift from "just-in-time" cost efficiency to "just-in-case" resilience, more than $5 trillion in new-energy investments is projected for Asia over the next five years. Mayank Maheshwari, equity analyst at Morgan Stanley, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast to break down this monumental shift. They discuss the rewiring of regional supply chains, how these investments will be financed, and the far-reaching implications across every asset class, sector and geography.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Why Global Capital Is Pouring Into Japan Stocks 01.07.2026 20мин

What's driving Japan's historic bull market? And why are global investors finally returning to Tokyo after years on the sidelines? According to Goldman Sachs, it’s a rare convergence of factors including the global AI trade, inflation, corporate governance reform and an evolving macroeconomic landscape. The firm also believes a regime shift is underway in the market, moving focus away from the high-growth, asset-light sectors such as software that dominated the past decade. Instead, they highlight a transition into "HALO" stocks: heavy assets, low obsolescence. These capital-intensive sectors, such as utilities and telecommunications, offer defensive barriers that can protect against AI disruption and geopolitical friction. Bruce Kirk, chief Japan equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast to unpack these trends and discuss the implications of Japan's changing market dynamics.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

How Leverage ETFs Are Shaking Up Asian Markets 24.06.2026 37мин

The rise of single-stock ETFs, especially CSOP's 2x leveraged SK Hynix ETF listed in Hong Kong, is reshaping market dynamics. The daily rebalancing of these massive funds is contributing to higher volatility in equity markets, creating new challenges for investors. At the same time, high concentration risk and narrow market leadership are fundamentally changing how investors think about hedging. In this special episode, featuring an excerpt recorded at the Singapore Volatility Forum on June 3, Oliver Chan, portfolio manager at Capula Investment Management; Stephane Martin, APAC head of derivatives institutional sales at Optiver; and Ivan Nurminsky, portfolio manager at Dymon, join Bloomberg News' Lianting Tu to discuss the hidden risks and opportunities in today's derivatives markets, including the surging popularity of the dispersion trade. To listen to the full recording of the Forum beyond this excerpt, including the opening speech by Bloomberg Intelligence chief global derivatives strategist Tanvir Sandhu on multi-asset volatility strategy and more, please click on the link to our sister podcast, FICC Focus. We hope you enjoy this episode.Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/all-options-considered-volatility-forum-singapore-2026/id1589459799?i=1000773012810Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/4bRLGabkpuzCdg1xxCCUGP Bloomberg Terminal: {NSN TGQJMKKJH6V8 <GO>}See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

China’s Rise as the World’s First Electrostate 17.06.2026 21мин

China is rewriting the global energy playbook, rapidly transforming into a clean energy powerhouse and emerging as the world's first "electrostate". While the Iran war has rattled global commodity markets, Beijing has successfully absorbed the shock due to a decade-long pivot toward domestic renewable energy. Now, it's positioning itself to reap economic rewards by exporting its green infrastructure to the rest of the world. Jian Chang, Chief China Economist, and Dave Dai, APAC Head of Sustainable Investing Research, both from Barclays, join John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. Together they unpack the economics behind China's green infrastructure exports and, with the US doubling down on fossil fuels, debate who will ultimately win the global energy race.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Is China's Property Market Finally Recovering? 10.06.2026 31мин

China's property market is showing signs of life after a five-year slump, prompting some analysts to call for a long-awaited rebound. Price declines for newly built homes are narrowing, while transaction volumes are finally ticking up, particularly in top-tier cities. But is this a significant turnaround or just a dead cat bounce? Leonid Mironov, a fund manager at Gavekal Capital, joins host John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. He breaks down why he believes the real estate sector is bottoming out rather than roaring back and explains why markets might be too bearish on China's consumption narrative. Mironov also discusses Beijing's "anti-involution" measures to curb cutthroat competition and details where investors can still find high-quality opportunities aligned with the government's 15th Five-Year Plan.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

AI to Make Australia the Lucky Country Once Again 03.06.2026 24мин

Australia is emerging as a surprising beneficiary of new technological shifts, even as the country faces a growth hit from the Middle East war. Rapidly accelerating data construction is driving an unprecedented demand for copper, while battery solutions are fueling a massive consumption of lithium. Escalating geopolitical tension is also providing a powerful tailwind for rare earths as Western nations hunt for secure ex-China supply – all of which is highly positive for the country's mining sector. Meanwhile, sticky inflation has forced the Reserve Bank of Australia to become one of the most hawkish central banks in the world, raising interest rates three times already this year. While high rates are dampening demand and cooling house prices, they are also proving to be a boon for earnings of the country's banks and insurers. Bloomberg Intelligence senior analyst Matt Ingram joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast to discuss how these structural forces are reshaping corporate earnings, pushing the economy to move up the value chain, and redefining Australia's "lucky country" moniker.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Korea's AI Boom and the Rise of Leveraged Trading 27.05.2026 20мин

South Korea remains the world's hottest stock market, surging more than 250% over the past 18 months led by semiconductor giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, which together account for over half of the entire Kospi index. Fueled by the global AI infrastructure buildout, retail investors have poured close to $40 billion into the local market, sparking concerns about rising leverage and market volatility. A two-times leveraged SK Hynix ETF launched by CSOP in Hong Kong in October has already attracted inflows of more than $5 billion, making it the largest single-stock ETF in the world. Korean issuers are following suit with new domestic leveraged ETFs tied to these semiconductor giants. Peter Kim, managing director and investment strategist at KB Securities in Seoul, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. Kim discusses the sustainability of the current bull market and the risks associated with momentum-driven retail investors. He also unpacks the corporate governance reforms aiming to attract longer-term capital and explains why global institutional investors are selling into the rally.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

BlackRock on Crypto, Tokenization and Future ETFs 20.05.2026 25мин

Exchange-traded funds are fundamentally reshaping how capital is allocated, skyrocketing to a $22 trillion global industry that Bloomberg Intelligence estimates will surpass $50 trillion by 2035. Investors no longer view them simply as vehicles for broad passive exposure. Instead, ETFs have evolved into portfolio "Lego blocks" used to manage cash yields, seek downside protection and access previously difficult asset classes such as Bitcoin. This intersection of ETFs and digital assets is also driving broader financial innovation, spurring a lively debate around the future tokenization of equities. Samara Cohen, Global Head of Market Development at BlackRock, and Nicholas Peach, Head of APAC iShares, join host John Lee and special co-host Rebecca Sin on the Asia Centric podcast. Dialing in from the iShares ETF certification conference in Singapore, they discuss the evolution of the ETF wrapper, the growing buzz around prediction markets and why Asia’s ETF landscape – despite currently lagging behind the US and Europe – is poised for phenomenal growth over the next decade. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A Veteran's Warning on Asia's Private Credit Risks 13.05.2026 28мин

The post-pandemic era transformed private credit into one of the hottest areas in finance as investors chased double-digit returns, creating a multi-trillion-dollar industry. Now, the narrative is quickly shifting as default rates climb, high-profile bankruptcies expose hidden leverage, and some major funds suddenly freeze withdrawals. So just how worried should we be, and what about Asian private credit specifically? Steve Smith, co-founder of Maybole Capital Partners and a finance veteran who has weathered eight credit cycles over his 40-year career, joins John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast. He outlines why he believes Asia is already in the "bust" phase of the credit cycle and explains why the region's bespoke, multi-jurisdictional private credit market is inherently riskier than the highly standardized US market. Smith also discusses his family office's strategic investments, highlighting catastrophe bonds as an alternative fixed-income asset offering highly consistent, uncorrelated returns.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Beijing Auto Show Heralds a Brutal EV War 06.05.2026 19мин

The war in Iran and high oil prices are driving a surge in demand for China's electric vehicles abroad, with sales in March jumping more than 50% in countries such as Australia, Brazil and Germany. However, the domestic market paints a bleaker picture. Total domestic auto sales slumped 17% in the first quarter amid a brutal price war, subsidy pullbacks and a new 5% EV tax. Adding to the pressure, global giants like Volkswagen are fighting back with new, highly competitive models, leveraging a localized cost base to regain their footing in the world's largest auto market. Bloomberg Intelligence's Michael Dean, head of global autos research, and Joanna Chen, Asia autos analyst, join John Lee on the Asia Centric podcast fresh from their trip to the Beijing Auto Show. They unpack the sheer scale of the event, which featured 1,400 cars on display, highlighting the intense competition driven by advanced tech and aggressive pricing. The analysts also discuss how foreign automakers are learning toward exporting vehicles using "China speed" and explore the outlook for Europe's ultra-luxury brands such as Ferrari.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.