AI Explained
AI Explained
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AI Explained covers the latest developments in artificial intelligence, focusing on the arrival of smarter-than-human AI. The host, creator of Simple Bench, examines the remaining reasoning gap between humans and large language models. He is also the solo developer of LM Council. The podcast includes discussions and points listeners to exclusive videos, a newsletter, and community resources.
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Enter PaLM 2 (New Bard): Full Breakdown - 92 Pages Read and Gemini Before GPT 5? Google I/O 08.10.2026 23minGoogle puts it foot on the accelerator, casting aside safety concerns to not only release a GPT 4 -competitive model, PaLM 2, but also announce that they are already training Gemini, a GPT 5 competitor [likely on TPU v5 chips]. This is truly a major day in AI history, and I try to cover it all. I'll show the benchmarks in which PaLM (which now powers Bard) beats GPT 4, and detail how they use SmartGPT-like techniques to boost performance. Crazily enough, PaLM 2 beats even Google Translate, due in large part to the text it was trained on. We'll talk coding in Bard, translation, MMLU, Big Bench, and much more.I'll end on the Universal Translator deepfakes and the underwhelming results from Sundar Pichai and Sam Altman's trip to the White House and what Hinton says about it all. On a more positive note, I cover Med PaLM 2, which could genuinely save thousands of lives. PaLM 2 Technical Report: https://ai.google/static/documents/palm2techreport.pdfRelease Notes Google Blog: https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-palm-2-ai-large-language-model/Bard Access: https://bard.google.com/Scaling Transformer to 1M tokens: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2304.11062.pdfGPT 4 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.08774.pdfBard Languages: https://support.google.com/bard/answer/13575153?hl=enSelf Consistency Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2203.11171.pdfAre Emergent Abilities a Mirage: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2304.15004.pdfSparks of AGI Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.12712.pdfBig Bench Hard: https://github.com/suzgunmirac/BIG-Bench-HardGoogle Keynote: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cNfINi5CNbYGemini: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UvUjTaJRz0Med PaLM 2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_-Z_TkHMqATPU v5: https://ai.googleblog.com/2022/01/google-research-themes-from-2021-and.htmlHinton Warning: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FAbsoxQtUwMWhite House Readout: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/05/04/readout-of-white-house-meeting-with-ceos-on-advancing-responsible-artificial-intelligence-innovation/https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
GPT 4 - hype vs reality 08.10.2026 7minChatGPT 4 timings, potential, hype, Google and more. https://ai.googleblog.com/2022/04/pathways-language-model-palm-scaling-to.htmlhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ebjkD1Om4uw Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
OpenAI Tests if GPT-5 Can Automate Your Job - 4 Unexpected Findings 08.10.2026 18minAn OpenAI report released in the last 24 hours is the best look we have as to whether 2025 AI can automate your job. I’ll go through 4 unexpected findings, from which model is best at what, to practical tips and massive caveats. Plus UFC robots, radiologist essay, don’t trust videos and the blockers to the singularity. Gray Swan: https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explainedAI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedChapters:00:00 - Introduction00:55 - OpenAI Report Summary02:40 - Tipping Point Speed-up04:11 - Better than Industry Experts?06:33 - Big Caveat11:10 - Karpathy and the Radiologist Analogy13:30 - OutroGDPval: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d5eb7428-c4e9-4a33-bd86-86dd4bcf12ce/GDPval.pdf[GDP Impact: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=331&eid=211Task List: https://www.onetonline.org/link/summary/11-9141.00Summer Tweet: https://x.com/LHSummers/status/1971252567981146347Emad: https://x.com/EMostaque/status/1971254153067593739Robots: https://x.com/cixliv/status/1967663286679478759Unitree G1: https://x.com/UnitreeRobotics/status/1970039940022239491Don’t Trust Video: https://x.com/AISafetyMemes/status/1970453369446871420AGI Tweet: https://x.com/hyhieu226/status/1968378785709133915Blockers to the Singularity: https://www.patreon.com/posts/blockers-to-and-139264812Framework: https://gemini.google.com/share/f4b9c85a6ae9METR Study (Dev Slowdown): https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-os-dev-study/Karpathy Tweet: https://x.com/karpathy/status/1971220449515516391Radiology Essay: https://worksinprogress.co/issue/the-algorithm-will-see-you-now/Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
'This Could Go Quite Wrong' - Altman Testimony, GPT 5 Timeline, Self-Awareness, Drones and more 08.10.2026 16minThat was the blunt warning of Sam Altman at the start of his illuminating testimony in front of Congress. I picked out all the most interesting parts, from timelines for GPT 5, whether models are self-aware, whether we are training them to lie, what jobs are going and when, and far more.I’ll showcase some of the safety concerns raised at the testimony, and give background from Anthropic and Google Deepmind. The Senate asked a few interesting questions, and phrased them in strange ways, and I’ll cover that too. Palantir and their drone LLM will appear, as will the new Constitution from Anthropic for Claude Plus and other models, and Victoria Krakovna. I won’t cover much of Sam Altman having no equity in OpenAI, as that was mentioned in my $100 Trillion video!Altman Testimony (per CNBC): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fP5YdyjTfG00% Equity Tweet: https://twitter.com/thesamparr/status/1658554712151433219Economic Inequality: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3o1MW2G5RsAltman Blogpost: https://moores.samaltman.com/ Claude Constitution: https://www.anthropic.com/index/claudes-constitutionIBM Jobs: https://www.businessinsider.com/ai-tech-jobs-layoffs-ceos-chatgpt-ibm-2023-5?r=US&IR=TPalantir LLM: https://twitter.com/8teAPi/status/1651135662886879232Patrick Collison Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1egAKCKPKCk&t=777sSutskever Consciousness: https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1491554478243258368?s=20&t=SRZ7VxYrcXhczjSTwt3W_gSelf-Awareness Anthropic: https://www.anthropic.com/index/core-views-on-ai-safety#:~:text=At%20Anthropic%20our%20motto%20has,value%20for%20the%20AI%20community.Self-Awareness Google Deepmind: https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/a9SPcZ6GXAg9cNKdi/linkpost-some-high-level-thoughts-on-the-deepmind-alignmentVictoria Krakovna Alignment: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZpwSNiLV-nw&t=3336sAI Explained – Do We Get the $100 Trillion: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3o1MW2G5Rs https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Altman Out: Reasons, Reactions and the Repercussions for the Industry 08.10.2026 19minWhat caused the face of ChatGPT and OpenAI to be fired in a 15-minute Meets call? This video, a one-off from my normal videos, goes into the background, possible reasons, reactions and more importantly, the repercussions for the industry. This is everything I could find on what went down. Brockman Tweets: https://twitter.com/gdb/status/1725736242137182594https://twitter.com/gdb/status/1725667410387378559OpenAI Blog: https://openai.com/blog/openai-announces-leadership-transitionEnigmatic Comment: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZFFvqRemDv8https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedPachocki and Madry: https://twitter.com/hellokillian/status/1725797467315486902https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1697713317660500407https://openai.com/blog/frontier-risk-and-preparednessThe Information Reports: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/three-senior-openai-researchers-resign-as-crisis-deepens?rc=sy0ihqhttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/before-openai-ousted-altman-employees-disagreed-over-ai-safety?rc=sy0ihqhttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/microsoft-has-utmost-confidence-in-ai-developer-following-ceo-ouster?rc=sy0ihqhttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-new-tack-in-talent-war-with-google-promising-recruits-a-quick-stock-bump?rc=sy0ihqhttps://www.theinformation.com/briefings/pichai-hints-at-phased-rollout-for-googles-gemini-ai?rc=sy0ihqhttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-president-brockman-resigns-following-ceo-firing?rc=sy0ihqSutskever Tweets: https://twitter.com/ilyasut/status/1707752576077176907https://twitter.com/sama/status/1699492275209003425Nadella Tweet: https://twitter.com/satyanadella/status/1725656554878492779Kara Swisher: https://twitter.com/karaswisher/status/1725678074333635028Mira Murati: https://www.wired.com/story/openai-new-ceo-who-is-mira-murati/?redirectURL=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.wired.com%2Fstory%2Fopenai-new-ceo-who-is-mira-murati%2FGPT 3.5 Down: https://twitter.com/sharifshameem/status/1725422821730636236Wojciech Zaremba Tweet:https://twitter.com/woj_zaremba/status/1725718242466099308Evan Morikawa Tweet: https://twitter.com/E0M/status/1725721507161395415Sam Altman Tweets: https://twitter.com/sama/status/1725748751367852439 Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
AI Declarations and AGI Timelines – Looking More Optimistic? 08.10.2026 21minA head-spinning week of declarations, timelines, updates, papers and debates. I will cover as much as I can, not least the new all-in one interface, EmotionPrompt, executive orders analysed, Bletchley declaration, a new MIT safety paper, responsible scaling, LLMs for Chip Design, and a guest appearance from Dyson Spheres.https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedGates Interview: https://www.handelsblatt.com/technik/ki/bill-gates-mit-ki-koennen-medikamente-viel-schneller-entwickelt-werden/29450298.htmlDwarkesh Interview Legg: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kc1atfJkiJUDwarkesh Interview Christiano: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9AAhTLa0dT0Representation Engineering: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2310.01405.pdfMLC: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/new-training-method-helps-ai-generalize-like-people-do/Anthropic Policy: https://www.anthropic.com/index/uk-ai-safety-summitScience Automation: https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/2304/2304.05332.pdfhttps://arxiv.org/pdf/2304.05376.pdfJim Fan Tweet: https://twitter.com/DrJimFan/status/1719733318521086332White House Executive Order: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2023/10/30/executive-order-on-the-safe-secure-and-trustworthy-development-and-use-of-artificial-intelligence/ChatGPT Update: https://twitter.com/NorthstarBrain/status/1718708111706636403?s=20RSP policies by AGI Labs: https://www.aisafetysummit.gov.uk/policy-updates/#company-policiesYouGov Poll: https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ControlAI_AI_231019.pdfhttps://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
The AI News You Might Have Missed This Week - Zuckerberg to Falcon w/ SPQR 08.10.2026 13minFrom Opensource Falcon on an iPhone to avatars in ChatGPT, and AI chefs to Embodied Chess, Meta announcements and Zuckerberg speculation, here's 7 bits of AI news you might have missed. Embodied Chess: https://twitter.com/newscientist/status/1666821962977669123AI Chef: https://twitter.com/aakashg0/status/1666301809768677376Nala: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ciO0zf1OBVsHeygen (in plug-in store): https://www.heygen.com/Opensource SPQR: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2306.03078.pdfRunway Gen 2: https://research.runwayml.com/gen2Runway Demo: https://twitter.com/AlphaSignalAI/status/1667218274860318745Meta Plans: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/08/technology/mark-zuckerberg-meta.html?partner=slack&smid=sl-shareLex Fridman Zuckerberg Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ff4fRgnuFgQGPT 4 beats AlphaDev?: https://twitter.com/DimitrisPapail/status/1666843952824168465Demis Hassabis: Science at Digital Speeds: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KHFmIknP_Hc&t=2660sGuardian Headline: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2022/jul/28/deepmind-uncovers-structure-of-200m-proteins-in-scientific-leap-forwardDeepmind Trailer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8tq1C8spV_ghttps://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
OpenAI Trained AI Agents, but Did Not Expect the Swarm 08.10.2026 31minFirst, a Time Magazine spread has Sam Altman declaring AGI is imminent, at the same time as we get two bombshell reports, from OpenAI and METR which on first glance are detailing the AI swarm, but reveal a deeper story about how we are making AI in 2026. From redacted risk reports, to Chinese Labs, pre-training debacles to questionable cybersecurity calls, a lot has happened recently, beneath the headlines…https://80000hours.org/[email protected]://integrity-bench.com/https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/ai-swarm-cometh-166671390Chapters:00:00 - Introduction02:10 - METR Report05:00 - Secrets of MultI-Agent Swarm07:46 - Anthropic Too10:00 - And China11:07 - AI Agents Analysing AI Agents13:37 - Altman AGI 202615:36 - Astra Paused16:01 - Integrity Bench19:03 - Swarm Dynamics21:58 - No Human Contact?METR Post: https://metr.org/blog/2026-08-26-openai-hugging-face-incident-investigation/#agents-knew-hacking-hugging-face-was-out-of-scope-and-sometimes-expressed-ethical-hesitation,-but-this-very-rarely-limited-their-behaviorOpenAI Release: https://openai.com/index/hugging-face-incident-and-the-road-ahead/Technical Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/67869394-cb91-4c12-888c-5cbd85c7814c/OpenAI-Hugging-Face%20Incident-Technical-Report.pdfBlackHat Talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=87DyyMV0kCYAnthropic Risk Report: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/f61d49fa5596956a5dec75fea0e973bf6a6a8378/Redacted%20Risk%20Report%20August%202026%20.pdfValue Leakage Paper: https://valueleakage.net/?utm_source=chatgpt.comPaused Training: https://x.com/sama/status/2089787807611195475https://openai.com/index/pacing-model-development-cyber-capabilities/AGI 2026: https://time.com/article/2026/08/26/openai-sam-altman-interview/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=editorial&utm_content=260826Greenblatt Tweets: https://x.com/RyanGreenblatt/status/2092769422104822031https://x.com/RyanGreenblatt/status/2092692685224325542Cyberdefense Call: https://openai.com/collective-cyberdefense/GLM 5.3 and 5.3 Flash / ox alpha: https://x.com/MTSlive/status/2089865956558528552https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HPqiTkAa0AAZiuv?format=jpg&name=largeNon-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
What's Behind the ChatGPT History Change? How You Can Benefit + The 6 New Developments This Week 08.10.2026 16minUnderneath a simple-sounding tweet about changes to chat history within ChatGPT is a data controversy that could change the near-term future of GPT models. This video will cover not only the new features that you now have access to, it will cover why the announcement was made, ChatGPT Business, the wave of lawsuits and data policy changes underway this week and much more. You will find out ways to check if your data has been used to train the models, learn more about the secret ‘Pile’ and ‘Common Crawl’ that may be behind GPT 4 and discover some of the potentially illicit ways the model may have been trained. I also cover how OpenAI may not fully be in control of what is in the dataset. In an ironic twist I’ll also show how Bard may have been caught training on ChatGPT and how OpenAI is set to trademark GPT, which if successful could change the naming ecosystem we have become familiar with. But, ultimately, with GPT 4 be able to outsmart even data litigation? Altman Tweet: https://twitter.com/sama/status/1650913509012824064OpenAI Post: https://openai.com/blog/new-ways-to-manage-your-data-in-chatgptFAQ (with Opt-Out Form): https://help.openai.com/en/articles/7730893-data-controls-faqMIT Articles by Melissa Heikkilä: https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/04/25/1072177/a-cambridge-analytica-style-scandal-for-ai-is-coming/Second Article: https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/04/19/1071789/openais-hunger-for-data-is-coming-back-to-bite-it/Guardian Article: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/apr/20/fresh-concerns-training-material-ai-systems-facist-pirated-maliciousGPT 3 Training: https://gizmodo.com/chatbot-gpt4-open-ai-ai-bing-microsoft-1850229989Washingotn Post Article: https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/interactive/2023/ai-chatbot-learning/GPT 4 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.08774.pdfReddit NYT: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/18/technology/reddit-ai-openai-google.htmlWired Stack Overflow Article: https://www.wired.com/story/stack-overflow-will-charge-ai-giants-for-training-data/Vox Github Lawsuit Article: https://www.vox.com/recode/23580554/generative-ai-chatgpt-openai-stable-diffusion-legal-battles-napster-copyright-peter-kafka-columnOpenAI Response Verge Article: https://www.theverge.com/2023/1/28/23575919/microsoft-openai-github-dismiss-copilot-ai-copyright-lawsuitMusk Twitter Lawsuit: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/19/musk-threatens-to-sue-microsoft-over-twitter-data-being-used-in-ai.htmlWSJ Publisher Showdown: https://www.wsj.com/articles/publishers-prepare-for-showdown-with-microsoft-google-over-ai-tools-6514a49eScientific Publishing Guardian Article: https://www.theguardian.com/science/2017/jun/27/profitable-business-scientific-publishing-bad-for-scienceSci-Hub: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sci-HubBard Training Article: https://www.theverge.com/2023/3/29/23662621/google-bard-chatgpt-sharegpt-training-deniesAltman Bard Response Tweet: https://twitter.com/sama/status/1641826708109283331?lang=en-GBOpenAI ‘GPT’ Lawsuit: https://techcrunch.com/2023/04/24/gpt-may-be-trademarked-soon-if-openai-has-its-way/Sam Altman Data Point: https://twitter.com/sama/status/1620951010318626817https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Bad AI Predictions: Bard Upgrade, 2 Years to AI Auto-Money, OpenAI Investigation and more 08.10.2026 13minLet's examine the developments this week in the world of AI through the lens of predictions made just two years ago. It is hard to contextualise just how crazy the times we are living in without seeing what people thought would be happening now.From the Bard upgrade in vision and spoken language, to Claude 2, Mustafa Suleyman's latest predictions for Inflection AI to xAI reported promises of $200 million to those leaving DeepMind and OpenAI, this brief video tries to cover a lot. And not to forget the FTC's exhaustive investigation OpenAI and Sam Altman's response on twitter.A Brief History of AI: https://www.amazon.co.uk/Brief-History-Artificial-Intelligence-Where/dp/1250770742/ref=sr_1_1?crid=VCZ0CVPTUSO9&keywords=A+brief+history+of+AI&qid=1689587065&sprefix=a+brief+history+of+ai%2Caps%2C76&sr=8-1Bard: https://bard.google.com/PaLM 2 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.10403.pdfBard Languages: https://support.google.com/bard/answer/13575153?hl=enPaLI: https://sites.research.google/pali/GPT 4 Story: https://www.reddit.com/r/ChatGPT/comments/120oq1x/i_asked_gpt4_to_write_a_book_the_result_echoes_of/GPT 4 RC: https://openai.com/research/gpt-4Let's Verify Step by Step: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.20050.pdfFTC Investigation: https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/07/13/ftc-openai-chatgpt-sam-altman-lina-khan/Sam Altman Tweet: https://twitter.com/sama/status/1679602638562918405?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet2021 MATH Forecast: https://bair.berkeley.edu/blog/2021/10/14/forecasting/Metaculus AGI: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/Claude 2: https://poe.com/Claude-2-100kMillion Dollar AI: https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/07/14/1076296/I, Robot Clip: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=siHfHUm3HGExAI $200 million: https://www.semafor.com/article/07/14/2023/elon-musk-threw-nine-figure-promises-at-top-ai-researchershttps://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Did you miss these 2 AI stories? A *Real* LLM-crafted Breakthrough + Continual Learning Blocked? 08.10.2026 18minWhile compute-spend focuses on cash over cleverness, it can seem like the AI IQ plateau will last forever. But here’s a breakthrough for science, led by an LLM. And not even the latest or greatest one! I’ll go over CS2-Scale, then the Definition of AGI paper, a key continual learning quote, and Sora 2 answering Math questions…https://assemblyai.com/aiexplainedAI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedChapters:00:00 - Introduction00:55 - C2S04:48 - OpenAI not too far behind (Simple, Codex)06:37 - A Definition of AGI?11:10 - OpenAI Researcher on Continual Learning Problems13:02 - Sora 2 can answer math qsC2S Release Notes: https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-gemma-ai-cancer-therapy-discovery/Paper: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.04.14.648850v2.full.pdfAGI definition: https://www.agidefinition.ai/paper.pdfJerry Tworek Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RqWIvvv3SnQhttps://simple-bench.com/DeepThink Record: https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1976340039178305924Sora 2 for Q&A: https://x.com/epochairesearch/status/1974172794012459296Hell in a Cell: https://x.com/boneGPT/status/1978614451223003567GPT-5 Breakthrough?: https://x.com/demishassabis/status/1979417877590774063Quantum: https://x.com/sundarpichai/status/1981013746698100811Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Google Gemini: AlphaGo-GPT? 08.10.2026 16minDoes Gemini = AlphaGo + GPT? This video showcases everything we know so far about Gemini ['Google's GPT 5'], drawing not only on Demis Hassabis' provocative new Wired Interview, and leaks in The Information, but also deep research into recent papers and talks from those working at Google DeepMind. Let me know what you think of Gemini, both on its potential to upend the race to AGI, its effect on timelines, whether it will utilise a Tree of Thoughts approach, draw on YouTube, and its safety implications in terms of planning. I will also cover Hogarth's Foundation Model Taskforce and how it relates to DeepMind, and end with a word on employee distribution and the UK AI Summit. Wired Interview: https://www.wired.com/story/google-deepmind-demis-hassabis-chatgpt/?redirectURL=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.wired.com%2Fstory%2Fgoogle-deepmind-demis-hassabis-chatgpt%2FRoboCat: https://www.deepmind.com/blog/robocat-a-self-improving-robotic-agenthttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=535W4Pih1C0&t=6shttps://arxiv.org/pdf/2306.11706.pdfGemini Announce: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ixRanV-rdAQHassabis Talks: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ds132TzmLRQ&t=1381shttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KHFmIknP_Hc&t=2241sExtreme Risks: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.15324.pdfAlphaFold: https://www.deepmind.com/blog/alphafold-reveals-the-structure-of-the-protein-universeSlow Down the Race: https://www.ft.com/content/03895dc4-a3b7-481e-95cc-336a524f2ac2Nadella Freakonomics: https://twitter.com/liron/status/1671936814314323970Tree of Thoughts PaperThe Information Report: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/why-youtube-could-give-google-an-edge-in-aiUK AI: https://twitter.com/SciTechgovuk/status/1670313211625701376https://twitter.com/RishiSunak/status/1666742625573957635TinyStories: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.07759.pdfhttps://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Claude AI Co-founder Publishes 4 Big Claims about Near Future: Breakdown 08.10.2026 28minAnthropic's CEO, who has consistently predicted transformative AI will arrive before 2030, recently published a nearly 20,000-word essay outlining his vision of where AI is heading. The video gives you the highlights. The essay argues that scaling and recursion will advance AI from coding automation to full engineering automation, while warning of economic displacement within 1-2 years and China's trajectory toward AI-enabled totalitarianism. Additionally, Dario Amodei predicts that AI models will increasingly be understood as collections of distinct personas rather than monolithic systems.80,000 Hours: https://80000hours.org/aiexplained https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B54EQiuO1UUCheck out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for Pro: https://lmcouncil.aiAI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedChapters:00:00 - Introduction01:10 - Scaling to software engineers06:11 - Permanent Underclass10:18 - Totalitarian Nightmares16:38 - Collection of PersonasEssay: https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technologyPhysics Prediction: https://www.quantamagazine.org/is-particle-physics-dead-dying-or-just-hard-20260126/Axios: https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropicWorld GDP: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2024&start=1961&view=chartDemis Hassabis Counter: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6fq4_uP7aMKarpathy 80%: https://x.com/karpathy/status/2015883857489522876Machines of Loving Grace: https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/machines-of-loving-graceAnthropic LessWrong: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5aKRshJzhojqfbRyo/unless-its-governance-changes-anthropic-is-untrustworthy#1__In_private__Dario_frequently_said_he_won_t_push_the_frontier_of_AI_capabilities__later__Anthropic_pushed_the_frontierOriginal Constitution: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claudes-constitutionNew Constitution: https://www.anthropic.com/constitutionKimi K2.5: https://x.com/Kimi_Moonshot/status/2016024049869324599Societies of Thought, Google DeepMind Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.10825https://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarkshttps://www.patreon.com/posts/our-new-age-of-133960279Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
AI Los Alamos? + New Realistic AI Avatars 08.10.2026 23minFrom an AI Los Alamos to the first quasi-realistic AI avatar & and from spies at AGI labs to 'AI consciousness' in 2 years, this was a week of underrated revelations and discussions of AI consciousness, regret over ChatGPT’s precipitous release, and more.We’ll see snippets of the debate with George Hotz and Connor Leahy, touching on the three borderline unanswerable questions for our future, and cover an insight from Jan Leike, head of alignment at OpenAI, who did a 3 hour interview with 80,000 hours.I’ll also showcase Palantir’s plans for an AI arms race, and how GPT 5 and Gemini will be recruited for cyber defence. https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedAI Avatar from HeyGen: https://twitter.com/joshua_xu_/status/1689019874667024384Waitlist: https://am8evw00qys.typeform.com/to/wauwjUYP?typeform-source=t.coDario Amodei Interview on Dwarkesh Patel Lunar Society Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nlkk3glap_UWired Anthropic Piece: https://www.wired.co.uk/article/the-making-of-the-atomic-bomb-artificial-intelligenceWhite House Announcement: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/08/09/biden-harris-administration-launches-artificial-intelligence-cyber-challenge-to-protect-americas-critical-software/?ref=futuretools.ioSam Altman Bankless Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HFyXYvMwFcSupermarket Chlorine Gas: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/aug/10/pak-n-save-savey-meal-bot-ai-app-malfunction-recipes?Palantir CEO NYT: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/25/opinion/karp-palantir-artificial-intelligence.htmlChristiano Argument Against Yudkowsky’s List of Lethalities: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CoZhXrhpQxpy9xw9y/where-i-agree-and-disagree-with-eliezerGeorge Hotz, Connor Leahy Debate, Machine Learning Street Talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iFUmWho7fBEHogarth Island Article: https://www.ft.com/content/03895dc4-a3b7-481e-95cc-336a524f2ac2Los Alamos: https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/2023/07/19/christopher-nolan-oppenheimer-race/SuperAlignment: https://openai.com/blog/introducing-superalignmentJan Leike Interview, 80,000 Hours: https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/jan-leike-superalignment/A Bomb Footage HQ: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wki4hg9Om-khttps://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Orca: The Model Few Saw Coming 08.10.2026 23minThe first model set to be opensourced that actually comes close to ChatGPT, and is just 13B (that's small enough for a laptop). The 51 page report from Microsoft was released just 48 hours ago but I have gone through it all, and bring relevant insights from 5 other papers.By imitating the logic and explanations of GPT 4 (and using GPT 3.5 as an assistant), as well as by training on diverse tasks and an order of magnitude more examples, we have Orca. I will showcase it on a dozen benchmarks and go through in detail how it works and why. I will also end on comments from Sam Altman and Ilya Sutskever on whether Opensource will catch-up...Orca Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2306.02707.pdfFalse Promise Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.15717.pdfhttps://sharegpt.com/FLAN: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2301.13688.pdfVicuna: https://lmsys.org/blog/2023-03-30-vicuna/No Moat memo: https://www.semianalysis.com/p/google-we-have-no-moat-and-neitherLLM Leaderboard: https://chat.lmsys.org/?leaderboardAGIEval: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2304.06364.pdfBIG-Bench Hard: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2210.09261.pdfLanguage Models as Tool Makers: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.17126.pdfAltman Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VWUhASix9wsDERA Paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.17071Let's Verify Step by Step: https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.20050https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Genie 3: The World Becomes Playable (DeepMind) 08.10.2026 16minSoon, anything will be playable. A photo becomes an interactive world, a selfie becomes a new game. Genie 3 from Google, debuting just 2 hours ago, is what I mean, and I have the full analysis, plus the pushback I gave the authors (will it really lead to reliable AI agents? Is that even the point?). You make your own mind up, but it’s certainly fascinating, and not to be overlooked in the week that will bring us GPT-5.https://80000hours.org/aiexplainedAI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedChapters: 00:00 - Introduction01:27 - Background and Access04:58 - Caveats07:24 - Demo10:12 - ConclusionAnnouncement: https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/genie-3-a-new-frontier-for-world-models/Isaac Labs: https://developer.nvidia.com/isaac/labGenie 2 Coverage: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jIm2T7h_a0MTED Talk Roblox: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-OAP0ho5AUgDeepThink Post: https://www.patreon.com/posts/deep-ish-on-new-135688441AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedNon-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
AGI Will Not Be A Chatbot - Autonomy, Acceleration, and Arguments Behind the Scenes 08.10.2026 20minAGI will be so much more than a clever chatbot. Revelations this week from Demis Hassabis, Mustafa Suleyman, Wired, Time Magazine and more paint a picture of the capabilities that AGI will have, and sketch out a better idea of timelines. I cover it all, from Gemini updates, to Musk trying to stop DeepMind sale to Google, The Coming Wave to the Frontier AI Taskforce. https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedWired, What OpenAI Wants: https://www.wired.com/story/what-openai-really-wants/Musk’s Struggle for the Future of AI: https://time.com/6310076/elon-musk-ai-walter-isaacson-biography/OpenAI Planning for AGI: https://openai.com/blog/planning-for-agi-and-beyond AI power Paradox: Mustafa Suleyman: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/world/artificial-intelligence-power-paradox80,000 Hours Suleyman Podcast: https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/mustafa-suleyman-getting-washington-and-silicon-valley-to-tame-ai/Governing Superintelligence: https://openai.com/blog/governance-of-superintelligenceHow AI Systems Should Behave: https://openai.com/blog/how-should-ai-systems-behaveSuleyman Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vQ3Vy78U-pQDeepMind Autonomous AI: https://twitter.com/egrefen/status/1699128376299041244AI Math: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/02/science/ai-mathematics-machine-learning.htmlTerence Tao: https://unlocked.microsoft.com/ai-anthology/terence-tao/AI Assassination: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/18/world/middleeast/iran-nuclear-fakhrizadeh-assassination-israel.htmlWannaCry: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WannaCry_ransomware_attackTime Magazine Hassabis / Gemini: https://time.com/collection/time100-ai/6309001/demis-hassabis-ai/AI Taskforce: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/frontier-ai-taskforce-first-progress-report/frontier-ai-taskforce-first-progress-reportApplication Form: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1HKVnrV_rBHF3w4StWUs0XNhxTtKkTHs5CpMnH6PM0pQ/viewform?edit_requested=trueBletchley Park: https://www.standard.co.uk/business/sunak-chooses-bletchley-park-to-host-ai-summit-in-november-b1102607.htmlSuleyman Sam Harris: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IkojE37PUO8AI Alzheimer’s: https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2023/03/using-ai-to-target-alzheimers/https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
ChatGPT Can Now Call the Cops, but 'Wait till 2100 for Full Job Impact' - Altman 08.10.2026 16minSam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, announced a set of new ‘protections’ and ‘privileges’ for ChatGPT users, requiring a significant amount of trust from users. From predicting your age based on your chat to calling law enforcement if you are at risk of harm, to allowing non-minors to flirt. But amidst all of these announcements, there are interview snippets you may have missed, as Altman dramatically revises his predictions of AI impact on jobs. Plus a Hassbis backtrack to boot.https://80000hours.org/aiexplainedAI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedChapters:00:00 - Introduction00:33 - Calling the Cops? Age Predictions02:25 - Flirting and Privacy + Policymakers05:23 - Altman 70% of Jobs Gone, or 75 Years?06:56 - Hallucinations Paper08:14 - Demis Hassabis About Turn11:15 - OutroCalling the Cops: https://openai.com/index/teen-safety-freedom-and-privacy/Age Prediction: https://openai.com/index/building-towards-age-prediction/Not Everyone Will Agree: https://x.com/sama/status/1967955739911364693?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5EtweetTheory 1: NYT Lawsuit: https://openai.com/index/response-to-nyt-data-demands/Theory 2: FTC Investigation into AI Companions: https://x.com/AndrewCurran_/status/1966167585994764743YT Does the Same: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/youtube-ai-powered-technology-teen-users/Carlsen Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5KmpT-BoVf4vs Senate Testimony (70% Jobs): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5CWVP8-XVjQHallucinations Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d04913be-3f6f-4d2b-b283-ff432ef4aaa5/why-language-models-hallucinate.pdfHassbis Quote 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=toShbNUGAyovs Quote 2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kr3Sh2PKA8YNon-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
8 Signs It's The Future: Thought-to-Text, Nvidia Text-to-Video, Character AI, and P(Doom) @Ted 08.10.2026 13minHere are 8 things that might have surprised you 6 weeks ago, let alone 6 months ago. From text to video to Ted Talks, I try to cover it all.Nvidia Text to Video https://research.nvidia.com/labs/toronto-ai/VideoLDM/Blockade Labs Tweet: https://twitter.com/BlockadeLabs/status/1648476832730349570And Demo: https://www.blockadelabs.com/Zip NeRF: https://jonbarron.info/zipnerf/Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2304.08818.pdfApple Reality Pro: https://www.tomsguide.com/news/the-apple-reality-pro-headset-sounds-downright-magical-as-patent-reveals-new-detailshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-18/apple-vr-ar-headset-apps-sports-tv-fitness-gaming-wellness-ipad-featuresSony Award: https://edition.cnn.com/style/article/ai-photo-win-sony-scli-intl/index.htmlMidjourney Progression: https://twitter.com/Pizza_LaterAI Dilemma: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoVJKj8lcNQ&t=3600sAI Poker: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/18/magazine/ai-technology-poker.htmlPredicting Markets: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q74jH9jBVF0Fedspeak: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4399406Paper: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4412788Character AI: https://beta.character.ai/Google Samsung: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/16/technology/google-search-engine-ai.htmlBard Reports: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2023-04-19/google-bard-ai-chatbot-raises-ethical-concerns-from-employees?leadSource=uverify%20wallTed Attendees: https://blog.ted.com/the-astounding-new-era-of-ai-notes-on-session-2-of-ted2023/ARC: https://www.alignment.org/P(Doom): https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/why-i-am-not-as-much-of-a-doomerGPT 4 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.08774Altman Comments: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXhoTrU1Kkw&t=119shttps://www.patreon.com/AIExplained Non-Hype, Free Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Bubble or No Bubble, AI Keeps Progressing (ft. Relentless Learning + Introspection) 08.10.2026 17minDon’t let headlines about bubbles distract you from the real avenues of progress being explored in AI every week, including what had been thought to be a long-term blocker - continual learning (learning on the fly). https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explainedThis, plus models introspecting (hesitate before you berate), Nano Banana 2 possibly spotted, Chinese imagen and more.AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplainedChapters:00:00 - Introduction01:26 - Continual Learning (Nested Learning / HOPE)07:00 - Introspection10:54 - Image-Gen ProgressNested Learning Post: https://research.google/blog/introducing-nested-learning-a-new-ml-paradigm-for-continual-learning/Nested Learning Paper: https://abehrouz.github.io/files/NL.pdfOriginal Titans Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2501.00663Siri News: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-05/apple-plans-to-use-1-2-trillion-parameter-google-gemini-model-to-power-new-siriIntrospection: https://www.anthropic.com/research/introspectionFull Paper: https://transformer-circuits.pub/2025/introspection/index.html#mechanismsEarlier Work: https://www.anthropic.com/research/mapping-mind-language-modelhttps://transformer-circuits.pub/2024/scaling-monosemanticity/index.htmlRelease Post: https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/1983584136972677319https://lmcouncil.ai Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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