What's Next For Markets

Эпизоды

• Cheap Options And Expensive AI: Taking Stock With Danny Kirsch 05.07.2026 27мин

  The second half of the year is off to a strong start, but beneath the surface the market is changing. This week we're joined by Danny Kirsch to discuss why investors are increasingly looking beyond the AI trade and what that could mean for the next phase of the bull market. We dive into the broadening rally across the S&P 500, why semiconductor stocks have become unusually volatile, and how leveraged ETFs may be amplifying those swings. We also explore whether the Mag 7 could regain leade...
• Markets, Rates, and the Return of Breadth 28.06.2026 18мин

  For the past few years, AI has been the market's defining story, but the conversation is beginning to evolve. In this episode, we examine why falling Treasury yields are becoming just as important as AI earnings, what the Fed may be signaling versus what the market believes, and why a broadening rally has quietly been taking shape. We also discuss how changing inflation expectations, improving economic data, and stronger earnings revisions are supporting areas of the market that have largely ...
• The Case for Lower Inflation With Jake Oubina 14.06.2026 27мин

  Inflation may be cooling faster than markets expect and the implications are big. This week, we sit down with Jake Oubina to break down why commodity shocks are fading, why core inflation is set to grind lower, and why the Fed may be done hiking for this cycle. We connect the dots from falling gas prices to improving consumer confidence, stronger job growth, and a potential tailwind for housing and rate-sensitive sectors. If this disinflation trend holds, it could mark a shift back toward a G...
• Inside the Biggest Index Rebalance And Upcoming Blockbuster IPOs 07.06.2026 21мин

  In this episode, we go deep into the mechanics of index construction with Jackson Venjohn Head Of Index Rebalancing At Piper Sandler. With hundreds of billions in forced buying and selling, the rise of passive investing has fundamentally changed how stocks trade, how liquidity forms, and how opportunities emerge. We unpack the largest rebalance cycle ever, and how blockbuster IPOs like SpaceX could reshape flows for years to come. If you want to understand what’s really moving markets beneath...
• Why Our Rates Thesis Keeps Delivering 31.05.2026 16мин

  In this episode, we unpack the profound shift reshaping markets: the transition from a growth-driven framework to one dominated by interest rates and inflation anxiety. What began in late 2023 as a simple observation—that falling rates lift equities while rising rates pressure them—has evolved into a full-blown regime change with deep historical parallels. We explore why “bad news” like softer economic data can now be bullish, how decades-old correlations have flipped, and what this means for...
• The Rate Squeeze 24.05.2026 16мин

  Interest rates are once again the market’s main character and while headline indices sit near all-time highs, the story underneath is far less comfortable. In this episode, Michael unpacks the growing disconnect between index-level strength and deteriorating market breadth, We dig into the regime shift that’s made rates matter more than growth, the reflexive cycle between yields, economic data, and equities, and why both the worst and best market moves tend to cluster around turning points in...
• The Vibepression Economy With Kevin Gordon Of Charles Schwab 17.05.2026 33мин

  In this episode, we’re joined by Kevin Gordon, Head of Macro Research and Strategy at Charles Schwab, to break down one of the most confusing market environments in years. Despite geopolitical tension, rising rates, and persistent inflation concerns, markets continue to push to new highs. Kevin shares what he’s hearing from investors across the country, from retail to institutional and why the gap between how people feel about the economy and what the data says may be the defining feature of...
• Markets Defy Gravity: Rates Up, Stocks Higher 10.05.2026 14мин

  In this episode, Emily breaks down a week where stocks hit all-time highs even as interest rates and oil prices moved higher. So what’s really going on? The answer lies beneath the surface. Despite constant headline noise and investor skepticism, the underlying story is clear; this market rally is broader, stronger, and more fundamentally driven than many realize. The big question—can it continue? For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures
• Inside the Fed With Kurt Lewis: From Crisis Playbooks to What Comes Next 03.05.2026 28мин

  In this episode we sit down with Kurt Lewis, Head of Central Bank Policy at Piper Sandler and former Special Advisor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Kurt brings a rare insider perspective, having spent nearly two decades at the Federal Reserve, including during the global financial crisis, the COVID shock, and the recent inflation surge. From briefing policymakers to shaping conversations at the highest levels, he’s seen firsthand how the Fed responds when the stakes are highest. The conversation...
• Strong Data, Weak Sentiment 26.04.2026 13мин

  Four months into the year, markets have been anything but quiet. Headlines around oil prices, geopolitics, and inflation anxiety continue to dominate the narrative, but beneath the noise, the data tells a very different story. In this episode, we break down why resilient economic data is quietly driving markets higher. From surging PMI readings to improving earnings breadth across small, mid, and large caps, the conversation highlights a major shift underway; this is no longer just a mega-cap...
• Staying the Economic Course With Jake Oubina 19.04.2026 36мин

  In this episode, we welcome back Jake Oubina, Managing Director and Deputy Head of Economic Research at Piper Sandler, for a wide-ranging discussion on the macro outlook. Despite geopolitical tensions, rising oil prices, and shifting sentiment, Jake has remained anchored to a 3% real GDP growth view. Together, we explore key risks ahead, including potential tariff re-escalation, shifting immigration dynamics, and how policy decisions could shape the second half of the year. The big takeaway: ...
• Q 2026: From Goldilocks To Oil Shock 02.04.2026 16мин

  In this episode, we sit down with Emily Needell to unpack a truly remarkable start to 2026, one that may go down as one of the most eventful quarters in recent memory. What began as a near “Goldilocks” environment, with improving economic data, falling rates, and long-awaited market broadening quickly evolved into something far more complex. We explore three defining themes of the quarter: the early-year macro strength that fueled optimism around a broader market rally, the sharp unwind in me...
• Inflation Psychology And The Oil Shock 29.03.2026 15мин

  In this episode, we shift the focus from oil headlines to the force quietly driving everything underneath: interest rates. Four weeks into the Iran conflict, markets remain locked on energy, but as Michael explains, it’s the surge in rates that’s doing the real damage. With the 10-year yield climbing, mortgage rates rising, and rate cuts rapidly priced out, financial conditions are tightening fast. We break down the powerful link between oil and rates, why this supply-driven inflation shock i...
• Jan Stuart On Why The One-Variable Market Could Become Much Bigger 16.03.2026 27мин

  In this episode, we sit down with Jan Stuart to unpack the escalating geopolitical crisis in the Middle East and why it could trigger a far broader global repricing across markets. Jan explains why the current disruption around the Strait of Hormuz is far more complex than an oil shock. While markets have largely treated the conflict as a one-variable story tied to crude prices, he argues the real risks lie deeper in global supply chains. We explore how disruptions could ripple through LNG ma...
• One Variable Market 08.03.2026 14мин

  In this episode, we discuss how the recent spike in crude has created a “one-variable market,” where leadership becomes highly binary. Despite the headlines, the broader market hasn’t fallen as much as many expected. Michael explains why investors are focusing less on the current price of oil and more on how long higher prices might last, with the oil futures curve still suggesting the spike could be temporary. Michael walks through a framework investors can use in markets like this: when a s...
• Danny Kirsch On Todays Shoot First, Ask Questions Later Market 01.03.2026 25мин

  In this episode, we sit down with Danny Kirsch to unpack one of the most unusual market environments in decades. The index has traded in an exceptionally tight range, yet beneath that stability we’re seeing historic dispersion, major sector rotation, and a surge in single-stock volatility. Mega-cap leadership is fading while the equal-weight market pushes to new highs. Capital is rotating into cyclicals, industrials, materials, and energy as investors reposition for a different regime. At the...
• Davids vs. Goliaths: The Broadening Beneath the Surface 22.02.2026 19мин

  In this episode, Michael and Stephen break down one of the most confusing market environments in years. While volatility in mega-cap software and AI names has grabbed headlines, the broader market is quietly telling a very different story. With the “Mag Seven” representing over a third of the S&P 500 at the start of the year, weakness in just a handful of stocks has masked what may be one of the strongest breadth environments in decades. Michael explains why this environment looks like a ...
• A Volatile Week For Markets; What Are Clients Talking About? 16.02.2026 26мин

  This week’s episode explores a dramatic shift in market sentiment that unfolded in just a few days. Emily and Michael are joined by Jay Glickson to discuss what institutional investors are saying, how AI disruption fears are influencing positioning, and why the broader macro backdrop may still support a rotation into cyclical and value-oriented areas of the market. Despite heightened anxiety, particularly around AI and expensive growth stocks—the overall market remains near highs. The team br...
• A Market Meltdown… or a Market Rotation? 08.02.2026 22мин

  In this Super Bowl Sunday episode, Michael and Stephen break down a volatile week in the markets that felt far worse than the major indices suggested. While mega-cap tech, software, and crypto saw sharp swings, the broader market quietly showed signs of strength, with value stocks and equal-weight indices hitting new highs. Michael shares insights from a week of client meetings on the road and explains why the recent turbulence looks more like a healthy rotation than the start of a broader do...
• Understanding Mortgage Finance With Crispin Love 01.02.2026 34мин

  In this episode, Piper Sandler Senior Analyst Crispin Love, discusses the current trends, misconceptions, and outlook in the mortgage finance space. He explains how mortgage rates have fluctuated from 7% to 6% recently and the impact on mortgage originations and refinancing volumes. Crispin highlights the significance of the rate of change in mortgage rates over their absolute levels and examines the factors influencing purchase and refinance activity. The conversation covers key data sources...