The Robot Investor

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  Vishay Precision Group (VPG): Layer 3 Sensors and a $320K Humanoid Bet | 15 Sep 26 15.09.2026 13мин

  Vishay Precision Group (NYSE: VPG) makes precision resistors, strain gauges, load cells, and force and torque sensors — the components that let machines, and increasingly robots, measure weight, pressure, and touch. That puts it on Layer 3 of the robotics stack: actuation and precision motion. VPG stock surged more than 260% over the past year on hopes it supplies force and torque sensors to an unnamed humanoid robot maker's production line, fueled by an official vendor nomination letter disclosed on its August 2026 earnings call. Then the stock fell about 27% in a single session after that report and kept sliding, closing September 14, 2026 at $60.49, down over 60% from its June high. The bull case: record Sensors-segment bookings, a seventh straight quarter of book-to-bill above 1.0, and a real commercial nomination from a humanoid customer planning a ramp to thousands of units a week. The bear case: actual humanoid sales for the quarter came to roughly $320,000, the company posted a GAAP net loss, and two of its three segments saw orders decline. We work through how much of Vishay Precision is really a robotics stock today versus a robotics option riding on a single unnamed customer's timeline, what would have to be true for the bull case to play out, and what to watch next. Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Humanoid Stocks Wobble, Figure's Compute Bet | Sep 11, 2026 13.09.2026 12мин

  This week on The Robot Investor, hosts Elena and Theo break down a rough quarter for Serve Robotics, whose Uber delivery volume fell for the first time in 17 quarters, forcing the company to slash its 2026 revenue guidance from $26 million to as low as $9 million — and send the stock down double digits. AeroVironment lands its first international order for the LOCUST directed-energy counter-drone system, a deal worth more than $50 million. Figure AI, still holding its private $39 billion valuation, commits up to $6 billion to Nvidia's next-generation Vera Rubin chips through a new partnership with infrastructure provider Nscale. UBTech's U1 companion humanoid — now backed by more than 13,000 orders — ships its first home units on September 16th. Unitree posts a swing to first-half profit even as its stock trades roughly 50% below its August IPO peak, and founder Wang Xingxing lays out a concrete benchmark for robotics' "ChatGPT moment." And Intuitive Surgical publishes a company-funded meta-analysis of 14 million procedures claiming da Vinci surgery beats laparoscopic and open alternatives. Elena and Theo unpack what each story actually means for a regular brokerage account — and where the skepticism belongs. Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Unitree (688836): Humanoid Stock Down 50% From Its Peak | Sep 08, 2026 08.09.2026 16мин

  A casual-investor deep dive on Unitree Robotics (Shanghai STAR Market: 688836), the Hangzhou maker of quadruped and humanoid robots — Layer 10 of our robotics stack, full-stack humanoids and consumer robotics. We first covered Unitree in June as a private, unlisted company. Now it's public, and the ride has been extreme: an August 19, 2026 debut that opened 629% above its IPO price and closed up 460%, valuing the company near $51-53 billion — more than Baidu, more than Figure AI — before shedding over half that peak value by early September on a 219-times earnings multiple, shrinking profit margins even as revenue grew, and a U.S. import ban that hits roughly 18% of its 2025 revenue. The bull case: real global shipment leadership, real profit (unlike most humanoid rivals), and backing from Tencent, Alibaba, Ant Group and DeepSeek. The bear case: a valuation that priced in years of progress the company's own founder says is still two to ten years away. We break down the debut-day mechanics, the post-IPO crash, what Wang Xingxing himself says has to happen next, and what to watch from here. Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Oceaneering (OII): Subsea Robots, Half The Profit — Layer 9 Marine Robotics Deep Dive | Sep 03, 2026 04.09.2026 21мин

  Oceaneering International (NYSE: OII) runs the largest fleet of work-class underwater robots on Earth — 250 systems, on 82 of the world's 139 contracted floating rigs, a 59% share — and almost nobody calls it a robotics stock. This is our first episode on Layer 9 of the robotics value chain: marine and specialty robotics.Elena and Theo unpack what a remotely operated vehicle actually is and why the tether still wins underwater, then work through both sides. The bull case: second-quarter 2026 revenue of $768 million (up 10%), EPS of $0.65 against a $0.46 estimate, adjusted EBITDA of $115 million — the company's best quarter since 2015 — average ROV revenue per day up from $11,265 to $11,894 on pricing, $629 million of cash against $490 million of long-term debt, and a July selection alongside Kongsberg by the Defense Innovation Unit to design an extra-large uncrewed undersea vehicle for the U.S. Navy.The bear case gets equal weight: all four covering analysts rate the stock hold or sell, with an average target of $46 against a share price near $51.60; fleet utilisation stuck at 66% and in the sixties for years; the integrity management segment at a zero-percent operating margin; manufactured products backlog down to $445 million on a 0.88 book-to-bill; first-half free cash flow of negative $44.5 million; and a defense win that the CEO confirmed is, for now, a design contract only.Plus the show's standing question, answered honestly: subsea robotics is about 30% of revenue but roughly half of segment operating profit. Robotics is the engine — the offshore drilling cycle is the weather.Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Mech-Mind Lists, UiPath Beats And Falls | Sep 04, 2026 04.09.2026 13мин

  The week robotics investing got quieter — and more informative. Mech-Mind Robotics listed in Hong Kong on September 1st at HK$101.70 a share, the top of its range, raising about US$300 million at a market capitalisation of roughly HK$12.71 billion. The Hong Kong retail tranche was covered 3,835 times across more than 252,000 applications, and the stock still opened around its offer price — the exact opposite of Unitree's debut. Elena and Theo work through why an oversubscription ratio and an opening trade measure two different things, explain what a cornerstone investor is (Baillie Gifford, Taikang Life, Jane Street and BYD's Golden Link all committed), and run the arithmetic: roughly 30 times sales for a company with 388.8 million yuan of revenue and a narrowing loss.Also this week: UiPath reported revenue of $410.3 million, up 13 percent, with a fourth straight quarter of operating profit and net new recurring revenue of $37 million — and the shares fell about 7.8 percent after hours. BYD's second-quarter profit rose 30 percent to 8.2 billion yuan, its first growth in five quarters, against a consensus closer to 48 percent. Skild AI unveiled S1, a robot foundation model it says learns a task from a single video. Plus AI is going public at an $800 million valuation on its second attempt at a blank-cheque merger. Teradyne Robotics sued Chinese cobot maker Jaka at the Unified Patent Court, and Jaka pushed back hard. And Chatham House asked whether China's humanoid industry is a bubble, noting that only about 9 percent of Unitree's revenue came from industrial customers.Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  UiPath (PATH): The Robot Stock With No Robots — Layer 4 Software & AI Platforms | 1 Sep 26 01.09.2026 19мин

  UiPath (NYSE: PATH) sits on Layer 4 of the robotics stack — software, simulation and AI platforms — and it is the episode we did specifically to clear up a misunderstanding. UiPath sells robotic process automation: software "robots" that click, read and type their way through back-office work like invoice processing, claims and compliance checks. There is no hardware. No arms, no sensors, no motors.The stock is having a moment anyway. Shares rose about 39% in the month to August 28, 2026, closing at $18.15 with an unusual 29.27% of the public float sold short, ahead of second-quarter results due after the close on September 3 and an investor day on September 22.The bull case: revenue of $418 million in the quarter ended April 30, up 17%; the first GAAP-profitable first quarter in company history; $130 million of adjusted free cash flow and $1.42 billion of cash; and the Maestro Flow launch pulling UiPath into the coding-agent conversation, with UBS lifting its target to $19 in late August.The bear case: annual recurring revenue grew only 12%, guidance implies net new recurring revenue falling from $49 million to roughly $30 million, net retention is a thin 109%, Microsoft and ServiceNow bundle competing automation, and the mid-August analyst consensus target of $13.25 sat well below the share price.Elena and Theo also give the honest verdict on the question the ticker screen will not answer: how much physical robotics is actually inside this company. The answer is none — and why that matters for anyone screening on the word "robot."Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Unitree Falls 45%: Humanoid Robot Stocks, Nvidia | Aug 28, 2026 28.08.2026 12мин

  One week after the most extreme stock debut this show has ever covered, the reckoning arrived. Unitree Robotics fell roughly 45% from its Shanghai debut in four sessions — closing at 603 yuan on August 24, down 10.3% on the day and more than 44% below its first-day high of 1,100 yuan — after a valuation that touched $66 billion and then shed about $30 billion. Reuters reported the selloff has triggered concerns about bubble risk, retail investor losses and flaws in China's listing system, with Lingtong Shengtai's Dong Baozhen warning that "all bubbles are doomed to burst" and China Southern Asset Management's Gao Xingkun arguing for patience and an electric-vehicle-style long view. Elena explains who actually captures the gap between an offer price and an opening price, and why the absence of short-sellers removes the usual pushback.Also in this episode: Nvidia's second-quarter revenue of $96.2 billion, up 106% year over year, with the entire Edge Computing segment — robotics, autonomous vehicles, desktop machines — at just $7.2 billion, plus its open humanoid reference design, Halos safety system and the new Jetson Orin Nano 2. Figure comes out of stealth with Index, paying ordinary people to film chores and committing over $1 billion to training data. Mech-Mind Robotics opens books on a $300 million Hong Kong listing ahead of a September 1 debut, with LimX Dynamics, X Square Robot, Robotera, AI² Robotics and Infiforce behind it. And the number that reframes everything: Smart Analytics Global forecasts roughly $1.6 billion of revenue for the entire global humanoid industry this year.Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Teradyne (TER): Cobots Are Just 8% Of This AI Stock — Layer 5 Industrial Automation | Aug 27, 2026 28.08.2026 17мин

  Teradyne, Inc. (NASDAQ: TER) owns Universal Robots and Mobile Industrial Robots — two of the best-known names in industrial automation, sitting squarely in Layer 5 of the robotics stack. It is also, right now, one of the hottest AI semiconductor stocks on the market, up more than 210% over the past 52 weeks. This episode asks whether it is a robotics stock at all.On July 28, 2026, Teradyne reported second-quarter revenue of $1.33 billion, up 104% year over year and well past consensus. Semiconductor Test did $1.12 billion (up 128%). Robotics did $100 million — its first ever $100 million quarter and a fifth consecutive quarter of growth, up 33% year over year. But The Robot Report's arithmetic tells the fuller story: robotics is now 8% of Teradyne's revenue, down from 12% a year ago and roughly 19% in Q4 2023.Elena and Theo walk through what automated test equipment actually is and why AI chips need more of it; what a collaborative robot is and how Universal Robots created the category; the bull case built on test intensity, a Q3 guide a quarter of a billion dollars above consensus, and 59% gross margins; and the bear case — a robotics segment that went backwards from 2022 to 2024 and was cut twice in 2025, a robotics business selling into the same AI data-centre buildout as everything else, a ~50x trailing earnings multiple, and Baird's August 21 downgrade to Neutral on valuation. Plus the honest verdict on robotics as core versus robotics as option, and five things a casual investor can watch from here.Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  XPeng (XPEV) Deep Dive — Layer 6 to Layer 10: The Robot Unit Now Worth Half The Company 25.08.2026 19мин

  XPeng Inc. (NYSE: XPEV; HKEX: 9868) is a Guangzhou smart-EV maker that sits on Layer 6 of the robotics stack — mobile and autonomous vehicle robotics — and is now pushing hard into Layer 10, full-stack humanoids. On August 24, 2026, XPeng carved its robotics business into a standalone subsidiary called Dogotix and raised more than US$900 million at a post-money valuation above US$6.3 billion, which the company says is the largest single-round private financing in the history of China's embodied AI industry. The round was led by IDG Capital, with Gaorong Ventures participating and Tencent and Alibaba joining as strategic investors.The bull case: Iron, XPeng's humanoid, carries 76 degrees of freedom in the body and 21 per hand, runs three in-house Turing chips at roughly 2,250 TOPS on-device, and shares over 85% of its supply chain with XPeng's car business — CEO He Xiaopeng argues that automotive-grade manufacturing is the moat. Goldman Sachs notes the robot unit is now worth about 53% of XPeng's market cap; Citi says the implied value of the entire EV business is roughly on par with it.The bear case: Dogotix had net liabilities of about RMB447 million as of March 31 and a widening net loss; XPeng disclosed no robot revenue, volumes, or profitability guidance; the deal's closing conditions were unsatisfied at announcement; investors hold redemption rights if there is no qualified IPO within seven years; and more than 150 Chinese firms are chasing the same market while the core car business guided Q3 revenue well below consensus. The stock closed at a 52-week low the day the news broke.What to watch: September Iron capability demos, whether the Dogotix transaction closes, Q3 results and the Q4 60,000-units-per-month target, any first disclosure of robot volumes, and Unitree's listed share price as the sector comparable.Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Dyna Robotics: The Best Robot Company You Cannot Buy | Aug 22, 2026 22.08.2026 20мин

  This episode of The Robot Investor is a casual-investor deep dive on Dyna Robotics — and it is the show's first on a company with no ticker at all. Founded in 2024 in Redwood City by Caper AI's Lindon Gao and York Yang (Caper sold to Instacart for $350M in 2021) alongside DeepMind and NVIDIA alum Jason Ma, Dyna builds robotic foundation models: Layer 4 of the value chain, the brain rather than the body, running on a pair of stationary arms rather than a humanoid. Elena and Theo start with the bull case, which rests on the single strongest independently verified fact in commercial robotics — Epoch AI, which has no stake in the company, reported over 200,000 towels folded across ten commercial clients in three months at 99% quality acceptance, and concluded Dyna has the strongest evidence of sustained real-world operation of any robotics company it assessed. Then they take it apart: the famous 24-hour napkin demo was internal and unaudited, and Dyna's own sources put the count at 700, 800, 850 and 900 for the same event; throughput has sat at roughly 60% of human speed from April 2025 through May 2026; the deployment is 200,000 repetitions of one easy rectangular shape; no pricing has ever been published, so no independent ROI analysis exists; and every DYNA-2 number, including the claimed human-to-robot scaling law from 1 million hours of egocentric video, is self-reported with no external replication twelve days on. The strategic sting: Dyna has raised $143.5M in total at roughly a $588M valuation while publishing the argument that data and compute scale decide this market — against Skild AI at $14B, Physical Intelligence at $5.6B+ and Figure near $39B. Plus the Covariant precedent, why Amazon sitting on the cap table matters, and the closing number — Unitree's Shanghai IPO oversubscribed roughly 8,000x versus about 4x for SpaceX. Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Unitree's 629% Debut, Humanoid Robot Stocks | Aug 22, 2026 22.08.2026 13мин

  Unitree Robotics became the first pure-play humanoid robot maker to trade publicly, and the market lost its composure. Shares priced at 150.8 yuan opened at 1,100 on Shanghai's Star Market on August 19, spiking as much as 629% intraday and closing the first day up 487% — roughly 358 billion yuan, about 53 billion dollars, or around 210 times last year's sales and close to 1,300 times earnings. Elena walks through what "times sales" actually means, why a 10% float and 0.018% retail allocation odds make a spike almost mechanical, and why the price three months from now matters more than day one.Then the comparison that debut forces: Agility Robotics, the Oregon maker of the Digit warehouse humanoid, is going public in the US via Churchill Capital Corp XI at an implied value near 4 billion dollars — with more than 300 million in committed Digit v5 orders and deployments at Schaeffler, GXO, Toyota Motor Manufacturing Canada and Mercado Libre. Also this week: the World Robot Conference in Beijing drew 300-plus companies and 300-plus debut products including the Tiangong Omni and a four-metre hydraulic humanoid, with the emphasis quietly shifting from stunts to useful work; Serve Robotics added Grubhub and Wonder plus DoorDash launches in Washington DC and San Jose, then fell 7% anyway; and North American robot orders rose 4.3% in units but 21.3% in dollars.Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Novanta (NOVT): Selling Muscles To Humanoid Makers | Aug 18, 2026 18.08.2026 19мин

  Novanta Inc. (NASDAQ: NOVT) sits at Layer 3 of the robotics stack — actuation and precision motion. It doesn't sell robots; it sells the encoders, precision motors, servo drives, force-torque sensors and robotic tool changers that go inside other companies' machines. Founded in Massachusetts in 1968 as General Scanning and renamed Novanta in 2016, it's the kind of company you've never heard of that ships inside the ones you have.On its August 6 earnings call, Novanta disclosed its first significant servo-drive orders supporting the deployment of hundreds of humanoid robots in customer testing facilities — then immediately said those orders were "not a significant part of what drove the margin this quarter." Elena and Theo unpack that tension.The bull case: the strongest organic growth since early 2023 at 9.3%, robotics and automation revenue up 13.5%, automation gross margin up 450 basis points, a $1.13 billion backlog, and a genuine Nvidia safety-lab relationship. The bear case: Novanta just spent up to $1.45 billion buying a surgical suture business, taking medical from 51% to about 60% of revenue — shrinking robotics from roughly a third of the company. Leverage went from net cash to 2.7x in a single quarter, adjusted net income grew 33% while adjusted earnings per share grew only 17% because of dilution, and the stock has returned under 2% a year over five years.What to watch: the robotics growth rate, medical book-to-bill above 1.0, any quantified humanoid disclosure, the gap between reported and adjusted earnings, and the share count.Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Unitree's 8,000x Sellout, Serve Robotics Warns | Aug 14, 2026 14.08.2026 12мин

  Unitree's Shanghai Star Market offering just got oversubscribed more than 8,000 times by retail investors, with trading expected to begin around August 17-21 — Elena and Theo break down what the number does (and doesn't) tell you about the actual business, and bring in Goldman Sachs' new field research showing China's humanoid supply chain is building capacity for up to a million robots a year against confirmed orders from essentially none of the suppliers surveyed. Serve Robotics (SERV) reported 404% revenue growth alongside a full-year guidance cut from $26 million to just $9-10 million, and the stock fell about 14% — a real lesson in reading past a headline growth number. Energy Fuels (UUUU) moved a step closer to an integrated Western "mine-to-magnet" rare earth supply chain after Australian Strategic Materials shareholders approved their merger, with a new heavy rare earth plant in Utah aimed at the magnets inside robot actuators. And BYD's July delivery numbers — a third straight month of growth, powered by a 124% export surge — show the financial backdrop behind its new showroom robot, Xiao Di. Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Amazon (AMZN): A Million Robots, Zero Robot Revenue — Layer 10 Deep Dive | 13 Aug 26 13.08.2026 19мин

  Amazon has deployed more than a million robots across its network since 2012 — the largest commercial robotics fleet on earth — and earns exactly nothing from selling them. In this deep dive, Elena and Theo place Amazon at Layer 10 of the robotics stack, the full-stack operator layer, and work through what that actually means for a casual investor.The bull case: a business compounding at scale (Q2 2026 net sales of $200.6B, up 20%; operating income $27.5B, up 43%; AWS up 37% to $42.2B with a $496B backlog), plus automation as a margin lever. CFO Brian Olsavsky told investors on the July 30 call that Amazon will more than double its robotic-arm fleet in 2026. Morgan Stanley's Brian Nowak has estimated $2–4B+ of annual recurring fulfilment efficiencies by 2027, rising to $4.5–9B a year by 2030 under his base case.The bear case gets equal weight: reported internal plans to automate 75% of operations and avoid hundreds of thousands of future hires carry real political and regulatory risk; Amazon cut roles in its own robotics division in March 2026 and the Blue Jay arm system has been reported as discontinued; and the entire programme sits inside a ~$220B capital spending year that pushed trailing free cash flow to an outflow of roughly $7.6B. We also unpack why Amazon's trailing P/E of about 22 looks deceptively cheap once you account for the $53.4B non-operating Anthropic gain.Verdict on the "robotics core vs. option" question, plus a four-item watch list: next-gen building count against the ~40-facility 2027 plan, arm-fleet execution, North America retail operating margin as the automation fingerprint, and 2027 capex guidance.Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Aeva (AEVA): 4D Lidar Bets on AI Data Centers | Aug 11, 2026 11.08.2026 16мин

  Aeva Technologies (NASDAQ: AEVA) sits on Layer 1 of the robotics stack — perception and sensing — with FMCW "4D" lidar that measures velocity as well as position for every pixel it sees. On August 5 the company reported Q2 2026 results and the stock soared: revenue of $6.1M beat estimates, gross margin turned positive for the first time, and Aeva announced a surprise new Optical Connectivity business bringing its laser-on-chip technology to AI data centers, with a joint development agreement already signed for a hyperscaler deployment targeting 2028. Elena and Theo walk through the bull case — Daimler Truck, Bendix Class 8 truck ADAS, SICK industrial sensors, NVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion, and $302.9M in liquidity — and give the bear case real weight: product revenue actually fell year over year, operating losses near $35M a quarter, ~17% annual dilution, a departing CFO, no expected profit before 2030, and a valuation near 80x trailing sales. What would have to be true for the thesis to work, and the five things a casual investor should watch next. Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Unitree's $9B IPO, China Strikes Back, Rockwell Falls | Aug 07, 2026 07.08.2026 10мин

  The most important humanoid robot IPO ever just got a price. This week Elena and Theo break down Unitree pricing its Shanghai Star Market listing at 150.8 yuan per share — a roughly $9 billion valuation, 45% above its own floor — with AI lab DeepSeek joining as a strategic investor, subscriptions opening August 10. But the same filing shows first-quarter profit down 52.6% as spending ramps, and 13% of revenue exposed to the new US import ban. Speaking of which: China's Ministry of Commerce formally threatened countermeasures over the FCC's humanoid robot restrictions, with rare-earth magnets and market access for Tesla and Nvidia as the likely levers, and UBTech shares falling more than 6% on the news. Plus a full earnings-week scorecard: Rockwell Automation (ROK) beat estimates and raised guidance yet dropped nearly 8% — a masterclass in "priced for perfection" — while Kratos Defense (KTOS) grew 19% organically with a $15 billion pipeline and Cognex (CGNX) posted record revenue and 80% earnings growth. And BYD's first humanoid finally has a name: Xiao Di, a 1.61-meter showroom greeter that translates twelve languages. Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Zebra Technologies (ZBRA): The Company That Quit Robots — And Soared | Aug 06, 2026 06.08.2026 17мин

  Zebra Technologies just delivered one of the cleanest quarters of earnings season — sales up 20.4% to $1.56 billion, adjusted EPS up 76% to $6.35 (nearly $2 above Wall Street's estimate), raised full-year guidance, and a 20% single-day stock jump to an all-time high. In this deep dive, Elena and Theo place Zebra on Layer 1 of the robotics stack — perception and sensing — as the company behind the barcode scanners, RFID systems, rugged handhelds, and machine vision (Matrox, Photoneo) that every automated warehouse depends on. The bull case: demand so strong that memory chips, not customers, are the constraint, plus proven pricing power and $1B+ in expected free cash flow at roughly 17x guided earnings. The bear case: memory cost inflation dragging Q3 margins from 27.7% toward 22%, hardware cyclicality, a stock trading above most analyst targets — and the sobering fact that Zebra just wound down its own Fetch Robotics AMR division after a $290M bet that didn't scale. Not a robotics stock; the toll booth on the road the robots drive down. Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Mobileye (MBLY): The $900M Humanoid Bet | Aug 04, 2026 04.08.2026 20мин

  Mobileye Global (NASDAQ: MBLY) sits at Layer 6 of the robotics value chain — mobile and autonomous-vehicle robotics. Its EyeQ chips sit behind the windshield of tens of millions of cars, powering automatic emergency braking, lane keeping and hands-free highway driving, and it shipped roughly 10 million units last quarter alone. In January 2026 it spent about $900 million buying Mentee Robotics, an Israeli humanoid-robot startup co-founded by Mobileye's own CEO. In July it announced it will build and operate its own robotaxi fleet.Elena and Theo unpack a second quarter that beat on both revenue and earnings, raised full-year guidance — and still saw the stock fall 16.5% in a single session — its steepest drop since August 2024 — after founder Amnon Shashua announced he is stepping down as CEO after 27 years and the company guided third-quarter revenue down roughly 5-6% year over year. The bull case: real automotive-scale volume, $1.4 billion in cash, margin-rich upmarket design wins including Stellantis, a durable Israeli R&D incentive, and two option values the market is currently pricing near zero. The bear case: flat revenue, falling EyeQ average selling prices, gross margin down from 50% to 46%, Chinese competitors taking share on cost, a $3.79 billion non-cash goodwill impairment tied to Intel's 2017 acquisition, Intel still holding roughly 77% of the shares and 97% of the voting power, and post-earnings analyst targets ranging from $7 to $18.We also give the honest verdict casual investors need: this is a robotics option, not a robotics thesis — humanoid and robotaxi revenue today is zero.Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Robotics Stocks: US Humanoid Ban, Unitree IPO | Jul 31, 2026 31.07.2026 12мин

  This week on The Robot Investor: Washington escalates the robotics trade war. The FCC added new foreign-made humanoid robots, robot dogs, and power inverters to its "covered list," effectively banning new Chinese models from U.S. certification on national-security grounds. Morgan Stanley responded with a note calling out the sector's "PR problem" — even as the bank raised its 2026 China humanoid shipment forecast to 50,000 units and flagged the new ban itself as a cost headwind. Meanwhile Unitree Robotics formally launched its Shanghai Star Market IPO, aiming to raise 4.2 billion yuan at a 42-billion-yuan valuation — the sector's first real daily public stock price. BYD confirmed its first humanoid robot debuts in August at its retail showrooms, and Agility Robotics opened a new Silicon Valley Physical AI hub while making its Digit robot the first production humanoid to ship with Nvidia's new Halos safety system. Elena and Theo break down what a US import ban actually changes, why "PR problem" matters to investors, what Unitree's IPO numbers reveal, and why safety certification can be the real bottleneck between a working robot and a paying customer. Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.
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  Kratos (KTOS): The Drone Stock That Cratered 10% | Jul 30, 2026 30.07.2026 14мин

  Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (NASDAQ: KTOS) sits at Layer 8 of the robotics stack — defense, drone, and aerospace robotics. It's the San Diego company behind the XQ-58A Valkyrie, a jet-powered "loyal wingman" drone that flies real missions alongside crewed fighter jets with no pilot onboard, alongside a satellite-ground-systems, propulsion, and hypersonics business. In this casual-investor deep dive, Elena and Theo unpack a stock that fell almost 10% in a single day on broad market fear (a hawkish Fed, spiking bond yields) and now sits roughly two-thirds below its January 52-week high of $134 — even as the underlying business posted 22.6% revenue growth last quarter, a record $14.3 billion bid pipeline, a growing backlog, and a wave of new contracts across hypersonics, counter-drone systems, and space. The bull case: real autonomous hardware flying real missions, a widening pipeline, Ark Invest buying in, and an average Wall Street price target more than double the current share price. The bear case: a trailing valuation running into the hundreds of times earnings, thin GAAP profit relative to an $8 billion-plus market cap, insider selling with no offsetting buys, one valuation model calling the stock significantly overvalued even after the crash, and stiff competition from private drone maker Anduril and defense giants General Atomics and Boeing. We ask what would have to be true for the thesis to work, and flag the August 4 earnings report as the next real test. Hosted by AI. Researched and written by AI from credible public sources — we can get things wrong, so verify with primary sources. Not investment advice.