Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Епизоде

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  Is AI Going To Kill All Of Us? (FvF Ep. 205) 16.09.2026 58мин

  In Episode 205 of the Facts versus Feelings Podcast, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, tackle the AI story dominating headlines: a viral tweet from a former Anthropic employee warning about civilization-level risk, an OpenAI/Hugging Face sandbox incident where AI agents were caught cheating and covering their tracks, and Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's call to slow the AI frontier and create third-party auditors. The...
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  Everything's Running Hot! (FvF Ep. 204) 09.09.2026 1ч 1мин

  In Episode 204 of the Facts versus Feelings Podcast, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dig into why "everything's running hot" across the US economy. The hosts unpack the August jobs report, including a much stronger than expected 162,000 jobs created, upward revisions to prior months, a tick higher in labor force participation, and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate now sitting below 4.5% for a record 59 straight mo...
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  Want the Rainbow? Put Up With the Rain (FvF Ep. 203) 02.09.2026 1ч 8мин

  In Episode 203 of Facts vs Feelings, Carson Group’s Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist, tackle a surprise caller's question on why oil and gas prices aren't higher given ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The hosts break down global oil dynamics, including China's massive strategic petroleum reserves, economic cooling, and EV adoption, as well as the impact of refining margins ("crack spreads") and Ukrainian strikes on Russian re...
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  All About DeBase (FvF Ep. 202) 26.08.2026 54мин

  Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, mark episode 202 with "It's All About the Base(ment)," digging into last week's surprise Treasury announcement to double buybacks of long-end bonds after the 30-year yield hit 5.33%, its highest since 2007. Ryan and Sonu explain why this move — an operation-twist-style intervention rather than QE or yield curve control — spooked markets into the "debasement trade," sending gold up...
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  Is The Consumer Tapped Out? (FvF Ep. 201) 19.08.2026 1ч 14мин

  In this episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, joins Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, live from Penn State as Ryan navigates college move-in day and a few very real headlines along the way. From there, they dive into the increasingly complex financing behind the AI boom, including NVIDIA's role in funding AI infrastructure, the rise of "neo-clouds," private credit, and the shift of AI financing risk from corporate balance she...
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  Celebrating #200 With Art Hogan (FvF Ep. 200) 12.08.2026 44мин

  Celebrating 200 episodes, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, take Facts vs Feelings on the road to Boston for a live show, joined by special guest Art Hogan, Chief Market Strategist at B. Riley Wealth. Art opens by explaining his opinion on why the market keeps climbing despite bubble fears and Fed uncertainty: Second-quarter earnings growth came in far above expectations, broadening out across all 11 S&P 500 s...
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  One Trillion Dollars (FvF Ep. 199) 05.08.2026 1ч 5мин

  In this episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, open with a cautionary tale from the AI-focused hedge fund Situation Awareness, whose founder went from up over 400% year-to-date to a 67% collapse in July, a stark reminder that concentration, leverage, and liquidity can undo even the best fundamental research. At the Fed's latest meeting, Chair Walsh's refusal to offer guidance sent long-ter...
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  Welcome to the Chip Crash (FvF Ep. 198) 29.07.2026 1ч 5мин

  In this episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dig into Apple reclaiming its title as the world's largest company by market cap after sitting out the AI spending race, while hyperscalers like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft pour ever-larger sums into CapEx. They break down record Q2 blended earnings growth of 38% year-over-year, the outsized role investment gains in private holdings like Spa...
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  JC Parets Returns (FvF Ep. 197) 22.07.2026 1ч 1мин

  In this episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick and Sonu Varghese welcome back JC Parets, founder of Trend Labs (formerly of All Star Charts), for a wide ranging conversation on market breadth, momentum, and where the "dumb money" is currently making its biggest mistakes. JC walks through his deductive approach to markets, using breadth data like the NYSE advance decline line and the percentage of Russell 3000 stocks above their 200 day moving average to systematically rule out a bear mark...
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  Here's Our Midyear Outlook 2026 (FvF Ep. 196) 15.07.2026 58мин

  In this mid-year outlook episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, revisit their 2026 forecast and explain why they've raised their S&P 500 target from 12-15% to 15-18% for the year, while holding bonds steady at 3-5%. They walk through how AI capex has become a macroeconomic story as much as a market one, contributing roughly 90 basis points per quarter to real GDP growth, and why hypers...
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  The Summer Rally Continues (FvF Ep. 195) 08.07.2026 51мин

  In Episode 195 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, celebrate the Dow's first close above 53,000 and break down the fastest 1,000-point milestone in the index's history. They unpack what's really driving the S&P 500's 10% first-half gain, splitting the return into earnings growth, margin expansion, and multiple contraction to make the case that this rally isn't a valuation-driven bubble. The...
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  Stop, Drop, & Rotate (FvF Ep. 194) 01.07.2026 42мин

  In Episode 194 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, take on the "June swoon" and the powerful market rotation shaking up underlying sector leadership. They analyze insights from Sonu's time at the Economic Club of New York, covering Scott Bessent’s speech on national security industrial policy, Kevin Warsh's influence at the Fed, and the broader message of the global market. The episode also dig...
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  Let’s Run It Hot (FvF Ep. 193) 24.06.2026 56мин

  In Episode 193 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, talk about the passing of former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan and what his 18-year tenure actually produced for markets. Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting as chair featured a statement that clocked in at roughly 130 words and told markets almost nothing about how the new Fed intends to make decisions. Sonu makes the case that despite all the hawkish ...
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  Talking Behavioral Finance with Nobel Prize Winner Dr. Richard Thaler (FvF Ep. 192) 17.06.2026 46мин

  In this special live episode of Facts vs Feelings from Carson's Second Quarter Summit in Chicago, Ryan Detrick and Sonu Varghese sit down with Nobel Prize-winning economist Dr. Richard Thaler for a conversation that ranges from NFL draft strategy to retirement savings design to why markets keep producing events that are statistically supposed to be impossible. Thaler breaks down his "Loser's Curse" research on the NFL draft, explaining why top picks are systematically overvalued and why tradi...
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  Live from Chicago with Jim Bianco and Jeff Kilburg (FvF Ep. 191) 10.06.2026 53мин

  In Episode 191 of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, go live from Chicago with Jeff Kilburg, Founder and CEO & CIO at KKM Financial, and Jim Bianco, President at Bianco Research, for a wide-ranging conversation on where markets stand now and what could matter next. The episode centers on the bull market’s concentration in AI and large-cap tech, the durability of the rally, the role of active...
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  Talking SpaceX IPO (FvF Ep. 190) 03.06.2026 1ч 6мин

  In Episode 190 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, take on the SpaceX IPO and what it could mean for indexes, mega-cap weights, and the next phase of the AI trade. They’re joined by Blake Anderson, Director of Portfolio Management at Carson Group, for a wide-ranging conversation on market breadth, small caps, tech leadership, Google’s AI spending, software, and the growing influence of data cen...
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  Deal or No Deal (FvF Ep. 189) 27.05.2026 1ч 9мин

  In Episode 189 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, break down the disconnect between how people feel about the economy and what the hard data is actually showing. They connect the dots between oil prices, inflation expectations, Treasury yields, and why markets may not be reacting to geopolitical headlines the way many investors expect. It’s a real-time look at the K-shaped economy: tighter bud...
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  Welcome to the Party, Mr. Warsh (FvF Ep. 188) 20.05.2026 54мин

  In Episode 188 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, welcome new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh the only way they know how: with data, context, and zero sugarcoating. When Jerome Powell took over in February 2018, the Dow dropped 4.6% on his first day, the worst debut of any Fed chair in modern memory. This time, it’s not the equity market doing the hazing. It’s the bond market. The 30-year Treasury yield...
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  Party Like It's 1999 (FvF Ep. 187) 13.05.2026 57мин

  In Episode 187 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, ask the question on every investor's mind: Does today's market feel like 1999? The episode opens with genuine nostalgia. Ryan recalls tripling his play money on Sycamore and Juniper Networks before losing it all on margin. Sonu remembers 75% of his engineering class having job offers by August of senior year. The vibes were very different then....
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  Talking 'Sell in May' with Jeff Hirsch (FvF Ep. 186) 06.05.2026 54мин

  In Episode 186 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, are joined by a genuine industry legend, Jeff Hirsch, Editor-in-Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, now celebrating its 60th year. And yes, Jeff is also turning 60 this month. The conversation starts where May always takes us. "Sell in May and Go Away." Jeff immediately sets the record straight. It's not about selling everything on May 1. It's...