AI Futures Project

Ülke Amerika Birleşik Devletleri

Türler Teknoloji, Bilim

Dil EN-US

Bölüm 3

Son 09.07.2026

The AI Futures Project is a nonprofit research organization that has developed a scenario forecast for the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) and artificial superintelligence (ASI). Their research suggests that these thresholds could be crossed within a few years, with potential outcomes including concentration of power, global catastrophe, or progress and flourishing. The podcast aims to help policymakers, AI companies, researchers, and the public understand and prepare for this transformation. They also develop policy recommendations and tabletop exercises for decisionmakers.

Bölümler

AI 2040: Plan A 09.07.2026 1sa 4dk

AI companies are racing to build AIs that are smarter than humans in every way. In AI 2027, we predicted that this would result in either extinction or irreversible concentration of power.1 Plan A is our positive vision for what should happen instead. In this scenario, humanity delays the development of superintelligence until 2040, makes all AI research public, allows dozens of companies globally to catch up to the frontier, and intentionally enters a regime of mutually assured compute destr...
AI 2027 04.04.2025 1sa 57dk

We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution. We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like. It’s informed by trend extrapolations, wargames, expert feedback, experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes. (This is the short version without footnotes or expandable boxes.)
AI 2027 (including footnotes and expandable boxes) 03.04.2025 4sa 11dk

We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution. We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like. It’s informed by trend extrapolations, wargames, expert feedback, experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes.