UBS On-Air: House View

Jaksot

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  House View Daily | What matters from today’s Fed decision? 16.09.2026

  Wednesday may see the Fed kick off a new tightening cycle in the US. For portfolios, the key questions concern earnings resilience, market pricing, and diversification.
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  House View Daily | Frontier 'pacing' calls may not spell an end to AI capex cycle 15.09.2026

  Stronger safeguards need not derail the AI rally. We still favor diversified exposure across the AI value chain.
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  House View | Jumpstart 14.09.2026

  Welcome to CIO Jumpstart, your guide to the main market events coming up in the week ahead. Today we ask the following three questions: 1. Will the Fed signal more hikes to come? 2. Will other central banks follow the ECB’s hawkish lead? 3. Can robust AI demand reinforce broader economic resilience?
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  House View Daily | Equities should withstand higher yields 11.09.2026

  Rising oil prices and Treasury yields are testing investor confidence, but equities have remained resilient. We believe solid economic growth, robust earnings, and strong AI investment should help stocks withstand higher rates. We remain constructive on equities and recommend broad exposure across sectors and geographies.
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  House View Daily | Brent tops 100: A milestone, not a turning point 09.09.2026

  Brent crude rose above USD 100/bbl on Wednesday as geopolitical tensions and tightening physical supplies support prices. But we believe strong earnings growth, sustained AI investment, and diversified portfolio exposure can help global markets withstand higher energy costs.
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  House View Daily | Look beyond rates to gold’s long-term support 08.09.2026

  Gold may face near-term pressure from higher interest rates and a stronger US dollar, but we believe its long-term investment case remains intact. Robust central bank buying, fiscal concerns, and demand for protection against inflation and geopolitical risks reinforce its role as a portfolio diversifier.
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  House View | Jumpstart 07.09.2026

  Welcome to CIO Jumpstart, your guide to the main market events coming up in the week ahead. Today we ask the following three questions: 1. Will inflation temper the Fed’s hawkish turn? 2. Will the ECB signal that its hiking cycle will be limited? 3. Can market gains continue to broaden beyond technology?
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  House View Daily | What a more hawkish Fed means for investors 04.09.2026 11min

  Economic growth has stayed resilient, earnings are strong, and AI-related investment continues to support activity. Against that backdrop, the possibility of rate hikes has increased, supported by comments from Fed officials that inflation may not be moving down fast enough. But investors should not mistake a potential change in Fed policy for a change in the investment outlook. If rates move higher while economic growth, employment, and profits remain strong, many of the forces supporting portfolios should remain intact. We maintain a constructive view on global equity markets.
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  House View Daily | Look beyond tech as AI strength persists 03.09.2026

  Broadcom’s stronger AI-chip outlook has reinforced confidence that demand for AI infrastructure remains robust. But elevated government bond yields, geopolitical risks, and the potential for excessive reliance on a narrow group of technology stocks reinforce the importance of diversification. Against this backdrop, we advise investors to position for further market gains by broadening equity exposure, considering capital preservation strategies, and investing in the power, resources, and infrastructure required to support the AI buildout.
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  House View Daily | Higher yields put currency fundamentals to the test 02.09.2026

  Rising oil prices and shifting central bank expectations have pushed global yields higher, but currency markets are responding selectively. We favor carry opportunities backed by sounder fundamentals, and believe investors should focus on building robust, diversified, and risk-managed portfolios.
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  House View Daily | Bond opportunities remain despite volatility 01.09.2026

  Renewed conflict in the Middle East and elevated oil prices have intensified pressure on global bond markets. We expect volatility to persist, but see scope for short-dated yields to decline as inflation moderates and the Fed remains on hold.
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  House View | Jumpstart 31.08.2026

  Welcome to CIO Jumpstart, your guide to the main market events coming up in the week ahead
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  House View Daily | Markets look to Jackson Hole 28.08.2026

  Investors are looking to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech for clues on the path of interest rates. But sticky inflation, geopolitical risks, and strong AI investment could keep policy uncertainty elevated.
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  House View Daily | Bond markets are repricing more than inflation 27.08.2026

  This week's pullback in longer-term interest rates looks more like a pause than a reset. Behind the move sits a deeper shift in how investors price growth, policy uncertainty, and government debt.
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  House View Daily | AI fundamentals remain intact despite tech volatility 26.08.2026

  As investors look to NVIDIA’s earnings later today, we see supportive AI fundamentals across demand, monetization, and earnings trends. We continue to favor a selective, diversified allocation focused on AI enablers and defensive technology segments.
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  CIO Live Global | Still room to run? 26.08.2026 32min

  Markets have continued to climb higher, supported by strong corporate earnings, robust AI-related investment, and expectations that inflation can ease gradually. But the outlook is not dependent on one factor alone. The durability of AI capex, evidence of monetization, the breadth of earnings growth, and the path of inflation and monetary policy will all be important in determining whether the constructive backdrop can continue. To discuss the latest market developments and portfolio implications, Kiran Ganesh, Global Head of Investment Communications, will be joined by Frederick Mellors, Head Fixed Income GAA, Rolf Ganter, Head CIO Equities Europe, and Andrew Dubinsky, US Senior Economist. Together, they will examine the key forces shaping markets into year-end, the scenarios that could support or challenge further upside, and how investors can position portfolios to participate in opportunities while remaining resilient across a range of outcomes.
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  House View Daily | Diversify beyond the US dollar 25.08.2026

  Renewed concerns about US government finances are adding pressure to the dollar. Gold, broad commodities, and select global currencies can help investors diversify dollar exposure and build more resilient portfolios.
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  House View | Jumpstart 24.08.2026

  Welcome to CIO Jumpstart, your guide to the main market events coming up in the week ahead
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  House View Daily | Treasury pressure: The implications across markets 21.08.2026

  As long-term yields remain elevated, market adjustments may increasingly occur through currencies and commodities rather than bonds alone. A weaker US dollar could support gold and help ease financial conditions, while underpinning a diversified investment approach.
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  House View Daily | The Treasury’s rare intervention buys time, not a solution 20.08.2026

  Markets have welcomed signs that US policymakers are willing to respond when bond volatility rises too far, too fast. But we think lasting stability in bond markets will ultimately depend on the underlying inflation, fiscal, and demand backdrop.