The Derivative
RCM Alternatives
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The Derivative by RCM Alternatives explores alternative investments, analyzing hedge fund strategies and featuring conversations with guests from the investment world. Hosted by RCM Managing Partner Jeff Malec, the podcast offers insights into unique investment approaches.
Episodi
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This City Trades Different: Yogi, the Floor, and Building RCM 25.06.2026 1h 17minFormer CME floor trader and RCM co-founder Bobby “Yogi” Schwartz joins Jeff to close out our Chicago month and walks through a wild career arc: from generational hog pit roots to dominating the Nasdaq futures pit during the dot-com bubble, then building prop firms, arbing minis vs. big contracts, and eventually stepping into Hollywood film finance before returning to launch RCM. Bobby shares vivid floor stories: badges, hand signals, full-contact fights, and multi-million-dollar errors, while explaining how open outcry actually worked, why Chicago produced so many elite prop traders, and how the e‑mini revolution rewired the futures landscape. He breaks down building and backing 100+ traders, deploying early “gray box” tech, and structuring option and index arb trades that bridged futures, ETFs, and cash baskets.The conversation then shifts to what RCM does today: multi-FCM clearing, outsourced trading, ETF and mutual fund infrastructure, ag and global trade finance, and navigating the explosion of new DCMs, prediction markets, and perps. Along the way, Bobby drops Hollywood war stories, Chicago steakhouse lore, and a candid look at where derivatives trading is headed next.Chapters:00:00-01:12=Intro01:13-10:06=From Yogi’s Jacket to a Generational Life on the CME Floor10:07–20:20 = Inside the Nasdaq Pit: Dot‑Com Vol, E‑Mini Arbs, and Human Algos20:21–31:36 = From Floor to Screens: Building Prop Firms and Hollywood Film Arbs31:37–41:42 = Hollywood Trades: Indie Film, Oscar Winners, and Risk Like a Trader41:43–58:06 = Building RCM: Clearing, Outsourced Trading, ETFs, Ag, and China58:07–01:10:47 = Chicago War Stories: Pit Fights, Steakhouse Nights, and Trader Royalty01:10:48-01:17:51 = Life After the Pit: Chicago NightsCheck out previous Chicago episodes from this month:How Chicago Became the World’s Options, Vol, and Derivatives Capital (with Cboe’s Rob Hocking & Mandy Xu)Inside $2B of Chicago Real Estate: Tommy Choi on Housing, Migration, and Millennialsrcmalternatives.comDon't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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How Chicago Became the World’s Options, Vol, and Derivatives Capital (with Cboe’s Rob Hocking & Mandy Xu) 18.06.2026 1h 17minOn this episode of The Derivative, Jeff Malec continues Chicago Month with a deep dive into the past, present, and future of derivatives and volatility at Cboe with two of its stars. First up, Cboe Global Head of Derivatives Rob Hocking traces Chicago’s rise as the world’s derivatives hub, from the Board of Trade’s agricultural hedging roots to SPX and VIX becoming the center of global risk transfer. Rob walks through life in the OEX and SPX pits, the culture of open outcry, the evolution from Hull and DRW to “the dark side” at the exchange, and how today’s liquidity, zero‑DTE flows, and concentrated market‑making still hold up under stress. He and Jeff dig into whether the derivative can ever outgrow the underlying, why S&P 500 remains the benchmark despite megacap concentration and global basis risk, and how Cboe balances the floor’s high‑touch block business with a mostly electronic market.Then Mandy Xu, Head of Derivatives Market Intelligence at Cboe, joins to break down the current volatility regime. She explains what VIX really measures (and why “fear gauge” is often wrong), how Cboe decomposes VIX into bullish vs bearish positioning, and why today’s record call‑chasing and low skew feel uncomfortably close to meme‑stock and late‑’90s territory. Mandy covers the rise of zero‑DTE, option‑income and buffered ETFs, the breakdown of stock–bond correlation, the AI‑driven dispersion trade, and whether vol selling is truly “artificially” suppressing risk. The trio also find time for some Chicago vs New York banter—pizza, skylines, seasons, and sports—and a look at what’s next from Cboe, from binaries on XSP to trading KPI‑style “valuation chain” products tied to names like Tesla and Cboe itself.00:00-01:43=Intro01:44–05:36 = From Corn Contracts to Options Hub05:37–20:42 = Pit Sheets to $5 Trillion a Day: Inside the S&P Options Machine20:43–30:29 = Game Within the Game30:30–35:36 = Big Blocks, Complex Trades, and the Future Beyond VIX38:07-42:15 = Pork Chops at Soldier Field42:16–51:09 = Retail Flows and the New Vol Regime51:10–1:02:57 = Is VIX Still the Fear Gauge? What’s Really Driving Risk1:02:58-1:07:18 = AI Winners, Dispersion, and the 60/40 Shift1:07:19-1:13:16 = Building Better Hedges1:13:16-1:17:34 = Chicago vs. New York: Pizza, Seasons, Sports, & Final WhistleFrom the Episode:How Futures saved Stocks RCM VIX WhitepaperBlog Post - VIXmaggaeddon Follow along with Rob Hocking, Mandy Xu, and the Cboe on LinkedIn and be sure to visit cboe.com for more information!Don't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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Inside $2B of Chicago Real Estate: Tommy Choi on Housing, Migration, and Millennials 11.06.2026 1h 22minJeff Malec kicks off “Chicago Month” on The Derivative with Chicago real estate powerhouse Tommy Choi of Weinberg Choi. Tommy lays out what really makes Chicago compelling as a place to live and invest—world-class food, underrated beaches, iconic bungalows, and relative affordability, while tackling the tough stuff around crime headlines, taxes, and politics. He breaks down post-pandemic migration, why inventory is so tight, how boomers with 2–3% mortgages and “Bank of Mom and Dad” shape the market, and why millennials are choosing flexibility and crypto over owning. Jeff and Tommy hit on stubbornly high rates, surging rents, condo special assessments, aging buildings, the limits of Loop office-to-resi conversions, and how AI and blockchain might (and might not) change the game. They wrap with a very Chicago detour into best burgers, dive bars, Wrigley in summer, and a few local hacks for seeing the city like a native. If you care about real estate as an asset class, Chicago as a case study in big-city risk and reward, or just want some elite burger intel, this one’s for you.Chapters:00:00-01:00=Intro01:01–03:47 = Selling Chicago: Food, Beaches, Weather, Taxes, and Crime Headlines03:48–15:57 = Inventory Squeeze: Boomers, Millennials, Rates, and the Battle to Buy or Rent15:58–30:54 = Life as a Top Realtor: Relationships, Weekends, and the Business Behind the Billion30:55–43:32 = AI, Search, and the Future Home Hunt: How Tech Is Rewiring Real Estate43:33–59:19 = Commissions, Class Actions, and Blockchain: Cleaning Up the Real Estate Game59:20–1:07:10 = The NAR Shake-Up1:07:11–1:22:19 = Chicago Like a Local: Best Burgers, True Dive Bars, Wrigley, Cherry Blossoms, and City HacksFollow along with Tommy Choi on LinkedIn and X and be sure to check out his website at weinbergchoi.com!Don't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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“Dr. Copper”: From Chilean Mines to Chinese Smelters to AI Data Centers in the US - with Kurt Nelson & Natalie Scott-Gray 28.05.2026 1h 8minCopper steps out of the shadow of gold and silver in this wide‑ranging conversation with StoneX’s Natalie Scott Gray and SummerHaven’s Kurt Nelson. Jeff digs into why “Dr. Copper” sits at the heart of electrification, AI data centers, EVs, and defense, and how underinvestment in mines, fragile supply chains from Chile to the DRC, and China’s smelting dominance are setting the stage for structural shortages. Natalie breaks down the real fundamentals: tariffs, sulfuric acid bottlenecks, strategic stockpiling, and the difference between visible and hidden inventories, while Kurt connects it all to macro, inflation, and why investors may be underestimating copper versus the miners. Along the way, they hit on rare earths, environmental trade‑offs, and what rising retail interest in copper bars might signal about the next phase of the metals trade. SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-01:16=Intro01:17–04:58 = Natalie & Kurt: From Chemistry Labs to Copper Markets04:59–14:09 = What Makes “Dr. Copper” Special? Conductivity, AI, EVs & the Grid14:10–26:41 = Inside the Copper Supply Machine: Mines, Smelters & China’s Grip26:42–39:34 = Tariffs, Trade Wars & Regional Shortages: How Policy Moves Copper39:35–56:19 = Structural Deficits, Sulfur Shocks & the Coming Copper Crunch56:20–1:03:09 = Investing in Copper: Futures vs. Miners, Inflation & Retail FOMO1:03:10–1:08:43 = Copper Bars, Lab-Grown Diamonds & Restaurant RecsBlog Post: The Hardest Trade Is Holding the Thing That Doesn’t Hug You BackPodcast episode: Unlocking the Commodity Risk Premium with Kurt Nelson of SummerHavenFollow along on LinkedIn with Kurt Nelson & Natalie Scott-Gray and be sure to check out summerhavenindex.com and stonex.com for more information!Don't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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The Doctor who Traded Pork Bellies: Patrick Welton's Journey from Stanford Oncologist to one of Trend Following's Quiet Legends 21.05.2026 1h 37minIn this episode, Jeff Malec sits down with Dr. Patrick Welton to trace his remarkable path from Wisconsin kid to Stanford oncologist to veteran futures trader and founder of Welton Investment Partners. Patrick shares how trading pork bellies and interest rate futures in the late 1970s to pay tuition evolved into a decades-long career shaped by mentors at Commodities Corp, relationships with legends like Paul Tudor Jones and John Henry, and a unique “outside inside trader” role that let him keep practicing medicine at Stanford while managing money. He explains how his medical background and scientific training influence his approach to risk, uncertainty, and decision-making, and breaks down Welton’s strategy mix across trend following, macro, short-term flow trading, and equity selloff protection. Along the way, Patrick and Jeff dig into the myths around trend following “dying,” why diversification and staying power matter more than narratives, how capital flows really drive short-term moves, and what it takes to survive for 30+ years in a business where most firms disappear. SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-02:03=Intro02:04-09:40=Doctor to Trader: Patrick Welton’s Origin Story, From Wauwatosa to Futures and the ER09:41-30:03= From 1987 Crash to Commodities Corp: How Patrick and Annette Turned a Side Hustle into a Trading Career30:04-43:19= Doctors, Scientists, and Traders: Embracing Uncertainty, Reflexivity, and the Real Drivers of Trend Following43:20-56:16= AI, Innovation, and the “CTA Winter”: Cycles, Flows, and the Future of Trend Following56:17-01:14:19= Building Welton’s Playbook: Diversifying Alpha, Short-Term Flows, and the Art of Surviving as an Asset Manager01:14:20-01:29:48= Alt Data, Capital Flows, and What Really Matters: Patrick Welton on Research, Edges, and the Future of Trading01:29:49-01:37:47= End-of-Month Myths, Market Microstructure, and the Limits of Short-Term EdgesFrom the Episode: Leverage Is Bad. Except When It Isn’t. Morningstar Just Made the Distinction OfficialBook: Richer, Wiser, Happier: How the World’s Greatest Investors Win in Markets and Life Book: Market Wizards, Updated: Interviews with Top TradersJack Schwager on The DerivativeFollow along with Dr. Welton and Welton Investment Partners on LinkedIn and be sure to check out Welton's website at welton.com for more information!Don't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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Painting Corners to Protecting Portfolios: Former MLB pitcher Scott Karl on How Athletes Blow the Money, Alts, the Mental Side of Performance, and the NIL Era 14.05.2026 1h 27minIn this episode, former Milwaukee Brewers left-hander Scott Karl traces his path from Carlsbad standout to big league starter to financial advisor. He swaps stories with Jeff about Bandon Dunes and his move from California to Lake Norman, then dives into his career, getting a last-minute shot after the ’94 strike, surviving as a finesse pitcher in a power era, facing legends like Randy Johnson, Greg Maddux, and Sammy Sosa, and taking the mound during the 1998 home run chase. Scott shares how he lost roughly 70% of his portfolio in the dot-com bust while still playing, what it taught him about risk and advisors, and how it pushed him into wealth management. He explains why many athletes blow through life-changing money, how he builds portfolios with buffered ETFs, structured notes, and private credit, and how he manages expectations around upside, downside, and liquidity. The conversation widens to NIL, parents effectively betting travel-ball costs on scholarships, and the risk of turning college sports into a money race. Scott also talks about raising two Division I volleyball players, the mental side of high performance, and how those lessons carry into investing, before closing with his favorite baseball cities and parks, from Wrigley day games to the old Jake in Cleveland and nostalgic nights at Dodger Stadium. SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-02:21=Intro02:22-09:59= Private Jets, Bandon Dunes, and the Road from Carlsbad to the Big Leagues10:00-24:09= Facing Maddux and the Big Unit: Velocity, Wiffle Balls, and the Rise of the 100-MPH Era24:10-34:12= From Million-Dollar Contracts to Going Broke: Why Pro Athletes Struggle with Money34:13-44:17= Making a Short Career Last a Lifetime: Contracts, Risk Math, and Smoother Portfolios44:18-56:31= Buffers, Structured Notes, and Private Credit: Building Smoother Rides Through Rough Markets56:32-01:05:47= First Responders vs. Second Responders: Buffers, Managed Futures, and Protecting the Downside01:05:48-01:14:25= NIL, Transfers, and Pandora’s Box: How College Sports Turned into a Money Game01:14:26-01:22:28= From Youth Sports to Life After the Game: Parenting, Perspective, and Baseball’s Best Cities01:22:28-01:27:57= Gibsons, Wrigley Day Games, and Why Petco Might Be Baseball’s Best ParkFrom the Episode: PIVOT PODCAST (Caleb Williams podcast episode)https://open.spotify.com/episode/4qO6oXmftTn8Jl4Ru3R4Mg?si=kzx-UJ_YTe25pDr8mNHfAQ&nd=1&dlsi=4cc9da8589d542a2Follow along with Scott and Silverleaf WM on LinkedIn and be sure to check out silverleafwealth.com for more information!Don't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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Crisis Alpha, Cocoa Trends, and Correlated Trendlessness: Inside Aspect Capital’s Strategy with Christopher Reeve 07.05.2026 1h 6minJeff Malec sits down with Christopher Reeve, Chief Investment Officer of Aspect Capital, one of the original managed futures shops with roots tracing back to the "L" in AHL. Chris shares his path from chemistry and early-2000s AI at Oxford to 22 years at Aspect, where he now runs the investment side of the business. Jeff puts every trend following critique on the table, too big, too simple, too crowded, just beta, and Chris pushes back on all of it. They dig into why the edge is real but small, why multi-model diversification is the whole game, and why stacking lookalike models is fake diversification dressed up in a lab coat. The conversation covers cocoa and silver finally paying off, the replicator debate, why bond futures are really just seven yield curves in a trench coat, the case against explicit stops, and prediction markets.Plus King Charles, horses, chickens, and the Superman jokes that write themselves. - SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-01:21=Intro01:22-11:00= From Oxford AI and Chemistry to Building a Managed Futures Powerhouse11:01-18:51= Is Trend Following Too Big and Too Simple? Edges, Critics, and the Evolution of Models18:52-27:49= Designing Durable Trend: Multi‑Model Diversification, Modulators, and the Real Meaning of Crisis Alpha27:50-35:39= Correlated Trendlessness, Crisis Alpha Expectations, and Why Aspect Refused to “Optimize” for the Last Decade35:40-44:05= From Silver to Cocoa: Why Obscure and Alternative Markets Supercharge Trend Diversification44:06-52:04= Replicators, Bond Pain, and the Illusion of Fixed-Income Diversification52:05-01:00:25= How Aspect Sizes Positions, Builds Macro Models, and Lives with Real-World Risk01:00:26-01:06:42= Systematic Macro, Horses, and “Hair‑Dryer Alpha” in Prediction MarketsFrom the Episode: Hi Ho Silver PostTrend Following’s Bond ProblemThe History of Managed Futures (whitepaper)Follow along with Christopher Reeve & Aspect Capital on LinkedIn and be sure to check out aspectcapital.com for more information!Don't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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Status of Alternatives - A Live Recording from Uncorrelated Puerto Rico 30.04.2026 50minRecorded live in Puerto Rico, this special episode of The Derivative features host Jeff Malec with guests Brent Johnson, Jason Buck, and Mark Tower exploring how alternative investments are behaving in a world shifting from globalization to de‑globalization. The panel covers why some managed futures and volatility strategies haven’t delivered as expected in recent crises, the growing stress in private credit and liquidity mismatches, and the evolving roles of gold and Bitcoin as hedges against instability and fiat risk. They also dig into de‑dollarization versus continued dollar dominance, the power and data‑center boom tied to AI, and the coming capital wave into defense‑related technology and critical minerals. Finally, they debate whether AI is a truly transformational, deflationary force or just another tech cycle, how it may reshape portfolios, and how Puerto Rico’s unique tax regime influences where and how to run active trading strategies. SEND IT!Asset Management One Disclaimer: Asset Management One USA Inc. is a New York-based investment advisor and a part of Asset Management One Co., Ltd. group, a global asset management company headquartered in Japan. Asset Management One USA Inc. is jointly owned by Mizuho Americas LLC (MALLC) and Dai-Ichi Holdings. Asset Management Group consists of AMO USA as well as Asset Management One Co., Ltd and its subsidiaries including Asset Management One Alternative Investments, Asset Management One International Ltd., and Asset Management One Hong Kong Limited. The views expressed in this recording are the personal views of the participants as of the date indicated and do not necessarily reflect the views of Asset Management One USA Inc. itself. This recording has been prepared solely for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation of any specific security, strategy, or investment product. Nothing in this interview is intended to be, and you should not consider anything in this interview to be, investment, accounting, tax or legal advice.Chapters:00:00-01:53= Intro01:54-10:30= When “Uncorrelated” Alts Don’t Work as Expected10:31-19:06= Private Credit’s Gray Rhino, De-Dollarization Myths, and Gold vs. Bitcoin as Fiat Hedges19:07-28:05= AI, Data Centers, and the New Defense & Minerals Supercycle28:06-36:52= Prediction Markets, Speculation, and the Gamification of Risk36:63-47:08= AI Shockwaves, Puerto Rico Tax Edges, and Letting Algorithms Run the Portfolio47:09-50:35= Wrestling w/ Risk: WWE Analogies and Final Takeaways on a Fracturing WorldDon't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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Spring Six Pack talking Florida Conferences, Bonds, AI & Hand Dryers 16.04.2026 28minJoin Jeff Malec for another solo Six Pack episode of The Derivative, where he riffs on everything from the post-COVID conference circuit to bond markets, AI, and yes… public restrooms. Jeff contrasts the buttoned-up energy of iConnections with the beach-side vibes of Future Proof and asks whether meeting managers face-to-face actually improves allocation decisions or just introduces new biases. He digs into Florida's great hedge fund migration and whether the tax savings actually pencil out, breaks down why the last five years have been historically brutal for bonds and what that's meant for managed futures globally, and tackles AI's deflationary potential, the "ghost GDP" thesis, and the governance question of letting a handful of private companies set moral guardrails for systems increasingly doing human jobs. On the lighter side, Jeff shares his experience racing Switzerland's legendary Inferno downhill and closes with a definitive ranking of public hand-drying solutions. If you're an allocator, markets nerd, or just someone with strong opinions about restroom hand dryers, this one's for you. Consider this episode a six pack best enjoyed in one long, thoughtful sip SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-00:41=Intro00:42-06:26= #1 Conference Circuit, iConnections vs. Future Proof, and the Allocator’s Dilemma06:27-10:26= #2 The Florida Hedge Fund Invasion and West Palm’s Second Manhattan10:27-15:19= #3 What the #$*@? Is Going On With Bonds? Managed Futures vs. a Broken Bond Market15:20-21:56= # 4 AI Deflation, Ghost GDP, and Who Sets the Moral Code for Machines?21:57-24:02= # 5 Inferno Downhills, & Ego Checks24:03-28:41= #6 The Great Hand Dryer Debate (Ranking)Roy Niederhoffer podcast episode: Making Market Music with Roy NiederhofferCitrini Blog post: When Skynet Writes a Substack: The AI Doom Piece That Moved Markets Dwarkish podcast: The most important question nobody's asking about AIAs We May Work (Taylor Pearson Whitepaper): https://taylorpearson.substack.com/p/as-we-may-workInferno Murren: The World's craziest downhill ski raceDon't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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The Hedge Fund that Polls Regular People Where Markets Are Going ? 09.04.2026 1h 20minIn this episode, Jeff Malec sits down with Vuk Vukovic and Scott Alford of Oraclum Capital (ORCA) to explore how an academic project on elections turned into a $70M hedge fund powered by crowd predictions. Vuk explains how he and his co-founders, coming from economics, physics, and computer science backgrounds, built a survey-based system that originally nailed events like Brexit and the 2016 and 2020 U.S. elections, then adapted the same framework to financial markets. Scott breaks down how ORCA combines wisdom of crowds, network analysis, and machine learning to identify the best retail predictors each week and turn their aggregated views into directional options trades on the S&P and Nasdaq. They discuss incentives for participants, how they filter noise, why independence and diverse networks matter more than “experts,” the limits of traditional polling, and the rise, and risks, of retail trading and prediction markets. The conversation also touches on political polarization, elite networks, and what it really takes to build a differentiated strategy in today’s markets. SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-01:34=Intro01:35-12:38= Origins of ORCA: From Broken Polls to a Crowd-Powered Market Prediction Engine12:39-21:01= Why Traditional Polls Fail and How Academic Research (and Grants) Really Work21:02-35:35= Inside ORCA’s Signal: Paying Predictors, Mapping Networks, and Turning Weekly Surveys into Option Trades35:36-49:49= Timing the Crowd: Weekly Signals, Zero-Dated Options, and How ORCA Differs from Prediction Markets49:50-1:01:03= Hot Streaks, Crypto Crowds, and Why True Wisdom of Crowds Needs Independent Thinkers1:01:04-01:20:36= Retail Traders, Polarization, and Building Better Predictors: How ORCA Sees the Future of MarketsFrom the Episode: Youtube: Predict Market Moves by Oraclum https://www.youtube.com/@predictmarketmovesYoutube: https://www.youtube.com/@vuk_vukovic_author/videosPersonal website: https://www.vukvukovic.org/Follow along with Vuk , Scott and ORCA on LinkedIn, you can find Vuk on X @wolf_vukovic and ORCA @OraclumCapital as well - be sure to check out oraclumcapital.com for more information!Don't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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Oil, War, and the Strait of Hormuz: What current events look like through the eyes of an energy trader 02.04.2026 48minIn this episode, Jeff Malec sits down with returning “resident oil guy” Brent Belote of Cayler Capital to unpack one of the wildest stretches in energy markets since COVID and Russia/Ukraine. They dig into recent oil volatility, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and why the Straits of Hormuz still matter more than most people think. Brent breaks down how traders are actually navigating this market, from tracking physical flows to managing extreme option volatility, and what could come next. Jeff and Brent also explore how EV adoption, data centers, and grid constraints collide with the energy transition narrative, and what “up $50” or even “up $100” oil scenarios actually look like from a real risk perspective. SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-01:18=Intro01:19-04:08= Fluky Winter: Snow, Melt, and the Tetons’ Weird Season04:09-18:24= Israel/Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, and the New Oil Shock18:25-29:55= Closing Hormuz? Tail-Risk Scenarios, Oil Volatility, and $150 Crude29:56-37:49= Oil’s Binary Future: Hormuz Off-Ramps, $150 Risk, and 24/7 Prediction Markets37:50-48:25= Beyond Peak Oil: Shale, Venezuela, EV Myths, and an All-of-the-Above Energy FutureFrom the Episode:Whitepaper- A Crude Awakening: How Oil Prices Ripple Through the Global Economy Crude Oil goes Negative… What^%$# on The DerivativeOpenSnow’s Joel Gratz built a Pod Shop for Powder Days: the PMs are Meteorologists and the Returns are FaceshotsGoing Nuclear: How Uranium is Powering Portfolios with Trevor Hall & Justin HuhnFollow along with Brent at LinkedIn and on X @brentbelote - be sure to check out Cayler Capital on LinkedIn and at caylercapital.comDon't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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OpenSnow’s Joel Gratz built a Pod Shop for Powder Days: the PMs are Meteorologists and the Returns are Faceshots. Send It! 26.03.2026 1h 17minWhat happens when a data-obsessed mind that could have been optimizing portfolios decides to optimize powder days instead? This episode features meteorologist and OpenSnow founder Joel Gratz in a deep dive on snow, skiing, and the science of weather forecasting, told through the lens of someone who treats every incoming storm like a market opportunity.Joel shares how a childhood obsession with snow days in Pennsylvania led to studying meteorology, moving to Boulder, and eventually creating OpenSnow, essentially a Bloomberg Terminal for skiers chasing powder. He explains the real science behind why some mountains get more snow than others, how local wind and terrain effects work, and why long-range seasonal forecasts are about as reliable as a sell-side price target for planning your ski trips.Joel and Jeff also explore the realities of climate change and snowpack (warmer temperatures vs. largely unchanged long-term precipitation), how subscription passes like Epic and Ikon affect crowd dynamics, think of it as indexing degrading your alpha, and why niche, bootstrapped businesses like OpenSnow can thrive without trying to own all of weather. They get into powder quality, snow-to-liquid ratios, and why Utah sits in a global sweet spot for both depth and fluff, the true asymmetric bet in skiing. Plus: what makes Japan, British Columbia, and Colorado so special for different kinds of ski experiences. The conversation is equal parts nerdy meteorology, entrepreneurial journey, and pure powder stoke.… SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-01:52= Intro01:18-11:06= From Snow-Obsessed Kid to OpenSnow Founder: Joel Gratz’s Origin Story11:07-24:18= How OpenSnow Helps You Time Powder (and Why 6‑Month Forecasts Don’t Work)24:19-39:28=Bad Snow Year or Climate Change? Joel Gratz on Drought, Variability, and the Future of Snow39:29-49:26= Epic, Ikon, and the Powder Problem: Crowds, Passes, and Chasing Better Ski Days49:27-01:00:25= Utah, Japan, and the Quest for Perfect Powder: Joel Gratz on Global Snow Quality01:00:26-01:13:24= Dream Lines and Bucket-List Mountains: Joel Gratz on His Favorite Ski Destinations01:13:25-01:17:46= Ski Movies, Nostalgia, and Parting Powder WisdomFrom the Episode:Jeff Masters The Derivative Podcast Episode: Super Storms, Mathematical Modeling, and Hurricane Hunting with Dr. Jeff MastersMeb Faber’s Top Ski resorts - JapanCitrini Research AI piece: When Skynet Writes a Substack: The AI Doom Piece That Moved MarketsDon't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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Drone Wars, Space Intelligence, and AI-powered Defense Tech Investing with Ian Winer of Center15 Capital 12.03.2026 1h 11minIn this episode of The Derivative, Jeff Malec sits down with Ian Winer, West Point grad and founder of Center 15 Capital, to unpack how modern warfare and national security are being reshaped by drones, AI, and space. Using the recent conflict with Iran as a case study, they explore how cheap one-way attack drones are challenging traditional air defenses, why firing multimillion-dollar interceptors at $15,000 drones is unsustainable, and what a proper layered counter-drone strategy looks like, including jammers, directed energy, and high-powered microwaves. Ian also explains how space-based sensors and AI-driven analysis are shortening the intelligence loop, and walks through Center 15’s investments in companies like Shield AI (autonomy for unmanned systems), Epirus (high-powered microwaves for drone defense), Shift5 (cybersecurity for large platforms), and HawkEye 360 (RF detection from space). They close with what keeps Ian up at night, from attacks on civilian infrastructure to cyber risks, and lighten it up with his Mount Rushmore of military movies, from Full Metal Jacket to Red Dawn(yes, the original)...… SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-01:52= Intro01:53-08:59 = Early Lessons from the Iran Conflict: Air Dominance, Drones, Interceptors, and Space-Based Intelligence09:00-18:07= How Cheap Drones Are Reshaping Warfare: Drone Classes, Ranges, and Iran’s One‑Way Attack Systems18:08-24:05= Iran’s Shahed Drones vs. Western Defenses: Costly Interceptors, Missile Stockpiles, and Broken Defense Incentives24:06-37:20= From Drone Swarms to Force Fields: Venture Investing in Next‑Gen Counter‑Drone Tech37:21-46:42= Directed-Energy ‘Force Fields’ and Autonomous Combat Drones: Inside Epirus and Shield AI46:43-57:32= Cybersecurity for Jets, Trains, and Warships: Inside Shift5, Hawkeye 360, and the New Defense Tech Stack57:33-01:11:01= How Defense-Focused VCs Back Critical Tech—and What keeps you up at night & the Mount Rushmore of Military moviesFrom the Episode: When Skynet Writes a Substack: The AI Doom Piece That Moved Markets: https://www.rcmalternatives.com/2026/03/when-skynet-writes-a-substack-the-ai-doom-piece-that-moved-markets/Follow along with Ian on LinkedIn and check out Center15 Capital at center15capital.com for more information!Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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SuperCars, Salad, and Sumo Wrestlers: Inside OneRiver’s Systematic Risk Mitigation Playbook with Patrick Kazley 05.03.2026 1h 28minIn this episode of The Derivative, Jeff Malec is joined by Patrick Kazley of OneRiver explore how long volatility, convexity, trend following, and systematic macro can be combined in a capital‑efficient way to improve equity compounding and protect portfolios from major drawdowns. They discuss crisis “shapes,” why time-based rebalancing often beats intuitive drawdown triggers, how changing volatility microstructure (zero‑DTE, single-name vol, dispersion) creates new opportunities, and why behavioral biases keep most investors under-allocated to positively skewed defensive strategies. Patrick ties it all together with vivid metaphors — from F1 cars and soup vs. salad to sumo wrestlers and the beer boot — and explains how One River’s acquisition of a European alternatives/QIS team fits into their total-portfolio approach..… SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-02:21 = Intro02:22-12:33= From AQR to One River – Patrick’s Background and the Case for Systematic Risk Mitigation12:34-28:07 = Engines and Brakes – Equity Beta, Skew, and the Power of Convexity28:08-43:55= Crisis Types, Trend Following, and Building a Total Portfolio Defense43:56-1:03:04= Visualizing Risk – Crisis Shapes, Rebalancing, and the Math of Convexity1:03:05-1:16:36= Metaphors, Markets, and M&A – From F1 Cars to Das Boot and One River’s Next Phase1:16:37-1:28:37= Soup vs. Salad – Total Portfolio Thinking and the Future of One RiverFrom the Episode:Blog post: A Short History of Market-Moving Middle East ConflictsOneRiver's WhitepapersFollow along with Patrick and OneRiver on LinkedIn and make sure to check out OneRiver's website www.oneriveram.comDon't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts and our host Jeff at@AttainCap2, orLinkedIn , andFacebook, andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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Carry, Calendar Spreads, and Climate: Bruce Sinclair on the Future of Grain Markets 26.02.2026 54minIn this episode of The Derivative, host Jeff Malec talks with South African grain spread trader Bruce Sinclair (Brent Trading) about how he went from a farming background to running a spread-focused commodities program trading Chicago grains from a remote game farm in South Africa. Bruce explains, in plain language, how carry and calendar spreads work, why he believes spreads offer a more manageable risk profile than outright futures, and how he enforces a hard 10% annual drawdown limit for investors. They dig into the realities of global grain markets with Brazil, Argentina, China, and geopolitics in the mix, why commodities aren’t the clean inflation hedge many think they are, and how climate and structural changes are reshaping seasonality. Bruce also shares stories from his off-grid life breeding rhinos and rare game, navigating South African politics and crime, and why he thinks 2026 could bring much more volatility to grain markets than 2025… SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-00:01:01= Intro01:02-12:34= From South African Farms to Grain Spreads: How Bruce Built His Ag Trading Edge12:35-24:22 = Carry Trades, Calendar Spreads, and Risk Rules: Inside Bruce’s Grain Strategy24:23-33:15= Commodities, Inflation Myths, and the Soybean–Oil–Meal Puzzle33:16-46:03= Politics, Perception, and Life Off-Grid: Running a Trading Firm from Rural South Africa46:04-54:53= Weather, Brazil, and the Limits of Data: Why Bruce Still Trusts SpreadsFollow along with Bruce on LinkedIn and be sure to check out Brent Trading's website: brent.za.net!Don't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts and our host Jeff at@AttainCap2, orLinkedIn , andFacebook, andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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Going Nuclear: How Uranium is Powering Portfolios with Trevor Hall & Justin Huhn 19.02.2026 1h 3minIn this episode of The Derivative, host Jeff Malec talks with uranium analyst Justin Huhn and mining and commodities commentator Trevor Hall of the Going Nuclear podcast about why uranium and nuclear power may be the most compelling long-term solution for clean baseload energy. They dig into the current uranium bull market, how AI and data centers are driving a step-change in electricity demand, what makes the uranium supply–demand setup unique versus oil and gas, and why life extensions of existing reactors matter so much. The discussion also takes its course exploring the future of SMRs and advanced reactors, the realities of nuclear safety and waste, the role of geopolitics and utilities, and what could propel the next major move in uranium prices. SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-01:06= Intro01:07-09:33= Why Nuclear Now? The Case for Clean Baseload Power, AI Demand, and the Uranium Supply Squeeze09:34-18:37 = Uranium as a Commodity: Mining, Supply Risks, Financial Players, and Long-Cycle Price Dynamics18:38-28:50= Nuclear Safety, Waste Myths, and Why Fossil Fuels Funded Anti-Nuclear Fear28:51-39:59= SMRs, Advanced Reactor Designs, and the Costly Lesson of Vogtle40:00-50:20= SMRs, Military Reactors, and the High Stakes of Building New Nuclear50:21-57:09= Politics, Big Projects, and How Data Centers Are Driving an Energy Crunch57:10-1:03:50= Hyperscalers, Fuel Security, and the Next Uranium ShockFrom the episode:Going Nuclear podcast: Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/going-nuclear-with-justin-huhn-and-trevor-hall/id1660633132Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6QAKNtCsXExOBKV8y6cwCuFollow along with Trevor and Justin on LinkedIn, check them out on Twitter/X: @TrevAHall / @uraniuminsider, and be sure to visit https://clearcommodity.net/ and https://www.uraniuminsider.com/ for more information!Don't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts and our host Jeff at@AttainCap2, orLinkedIn , andFacebook, andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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Defensive Equity, Flex Options, and the Future of Quant at PGIM 12.02.2026 56minIn this new episode of The Derivative, host Jeff Malec talks with PGIM Quantitative Solutions’ Devang Gambhirwala and Lorne Johnson about managing over $100 billion in quant and multi-asset strategies inside a $1.5 trillion asset manager. They break down the boom in options-based ETFs, from covered calls and defensive equity to buffered and defined-outcome strategies powered by flex options, plus what today’s volatility and rate environment mean for investors. The trio also tackles the impact of AI, fiscal imbalances, and even gold’s renewed role in portfolios. SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-00:46= Intro00:47-07:25= From Newark to Quant: Devang & Lorne’s Paths to PGIM and the Rise of a $100B Quant Group07:26-17:06 = Inside PGIM QSG: Trillion‑Dollar Roots, Quant Investing 101, and the Rise of AI-Driven Models17:07-28:30= Options Boom: Democratized ETFs, Flex Options, and the New Era of Defensive Equity28:31-42:38= Defined Outcomes, Tail Hedges, and Building Portfolios for an Uncertain Macro World42:39-56:24= AI, Gold, and the Future of Risk: PGIM’s Take on What Comes Next for Markets and JobsFollow along with Devang Gambhirwala and Lorne Johnson on LinkedIn and be sure to check our PGIM's website at www.pgim.com for more information!Don't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts and our host Jeff at@AttainCap2, orLinkedIn , andFacebook, andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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Timing, Triggers & Transparency: Inside Potomac Funds’ Tactical Investing Playbook with Dan Russo 29.01.2026 1h 6minIn this episode of The Derivative, Jeff Malec dusts off the dress shoes and steps out from behind the webcam for his first in-person interview since before COVID. He heads to Potomac's studio to sit down with Dan Russo, Portfolio Manager and CIO, for a conversation on why investing theory often breaks down when real life shows up. This chat covers why market timing isn't about catching every move, it's about avoiding the ones that cause lasting damage. Dan also explains how Potomac applies systematic, rules-based models built on trend, breadth, and intermarket signals, why cash is a position, and why many popular investing slogans oversimplify risk. SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-00:19= Intro00:20-08:05 = Tactical vs. Passive Investing, Education in Investing, & Understanding Market Timing and Drawdowns08:06-21:47= The Role of Education in Investing & Analyzing Market Trends and Health21:48-35:32= Combining Technical Analysis with Market insight35:33-45:22= Advisor relationships, Portfolio management & Market Psychology45:23-54:56= Cash as a Diversifier, Tactical Strategies & Risk management54:57-01:01:53= Future directions, Market Adaptation & The Evolution of Trading01:01:54-01:06:35= Parkerization and Pinot: Hot Takes on the Modern Wine IndustryDon't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts and our host Jeff at@AttainCap2, orLinkedIn , andFacebook, andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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From Venezuelan Oil to Nuclear Frontiers: Navigating Resource Markets with Robert Mullin 22.01.2026 1h 7minThis week on The Derivative, Jeff Malec is joined by seasoned resource investor Robert Mullin for a reality check on Venezuelan oil and the market narratives surrounding it. They dig into why headlines calling for cheap oil miss the point, what it actually takes to restart a broken energy system, and why “world’s largest reserves” isn’t the bullish mic drop many assume. Along the way, they unpack sanctions, shadow tanker fleets, Gulf Coast refinery hype, and where the real economic constraints lie. It’s a sharp, grounded conversation focused on market structure, logistics, and context, cutting through the noise without relying on forecasts or recommendations. SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-00:12= Intro00:13-12:25 = US Involvement in Venezuelan Oil & Challenges in Venezuelan Oil Production12:26-20:16= The Role of International Companies & The Shadow Fleet and Sanctions20:16-28:15= Commodity Cycles and Market Dynamics & Investment Strategies in Resource Equities28:16-43:27= Investment Strategies in Resource Equities& Navigating the Resource Sector's Challenges43:28-49:52= Gold & Precious Metals: Investment Strategies, Central Bank Moves, and Market Dynamics49:53-59:42= From Base Metals to Nuclear: Equity Strategies and the Future of Resource Investing59:43-01:07:55= Nuclear Frontiers, Geopolitical Shifts, and the Changing Role of Resources in Global MarketsFrom the episode:About those Higher Interest Rates (Lower Bond Prices) - RCM Alternatives Blog postFollow along with Robert on LinkedIn and check out Marathon's website marathonresourceadvisors.com for more informationDon't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts and our host Jeff at@AttainCap2, orLinkedIn , andFacebook, andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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The 2025 market review draft, talking Bears, Crypto Cycles & AI Paradoxes with David Dziekanski & Zed Francis 15.01.2026 59minKick off the first episode of 2026 with a fun, draft-style market showdown as host Jeff Malec is joined by David Dziekanski and Zed Francis on The Derivative. Using funky categories and plenty of hot takes, the trio drafts everything from “wait, that’s still a thing” trades to market overreactions, false idols, and narratives that didn’t survive the year. Along the way, they break down crypto cycles, volatility, cash, and derivatives, mixing sharp insight with dry humor and real debate. It’s a loose, fast-paced way to start the year, packed with strong opinions, laughs, and a few bold predictions. SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-02:35= Intro02:36-12:50 = New year reflections, Market Trends and Predictions, Crypto Cycles and The Diminishing importance of Jobs12:51-20:55= Unsophisticated Investment Strategies, Market overactions and consequences & Correlations in the market20:56-35:52= Desensitized to Major Events, Future outlooks, Market Indicators, Volatility Trends & Dogs that didn’t Bark - Inflations/Tariffs35:53-43:28= Are We Sure this is Good? The Affordability Crisis and The A.I. Paradox43:29-48:03= Best Meals & Entertainment of 202548:04-59:41= Looking forward: Predictions for 2026From the episode:David on the Derivative: Stacking Assets: Bitcoin, Gold, and the Future of Portfolio Diversification with David Dziekanski of Quantify FundsZed on the Derivative: Protecting the Portfolio not with Long Vol, but with Long Gamma, with ConvexitasThe Polymath Pod: Jason Buck and Zed Francis talk rates, vol, and cheeseburgers?!WTF is LDI, and What’s working in Vol Trading with Zed Francis of ConvexitasFollow along on LinkedIn with David and Zed and be sure to check out their websites quantifyfunds.com and convexitas.com for more information!Don't forget to subscribe toThe Derivative, follow us on Twitter at@rcmAlts and our host Jeff at@AttainCap2, orLinkedIn , andFacebook, andsign-up for our blog digest.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visitwww.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
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