Sound Investing
Paul Merriman
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Weekly podcast hosted by Paul Merriman offering strategic planning advice for investing at every stage of life. The show covers a range of financial topics aimed at helping listeners make informed decisions about their money and investments.
Epizodes
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Mike Piper- Bainbridge Financial Literacy Series 2026 03.06.2026 1h 34minIn Session 3 of the 2026 Bainbridge Community Foundation Spring Financial Education Series, Paul sits down with Mike Piper — CPA, Personal Financial Specialist, and the voice behind the Oblivious Investor blog and the free Open Social Security calculator — for one of the warmest, most practical conversations of the series. Mike has a rare gift: taking the topics that intimidate most investors and making them feel obvious. Over the course of the hour, he and Paul work through the handful of decisions that genuinely shape a retirement.Mike opens with a quietly radical idea: if you've prepared well, "more than enough" isn't the exception — it's the most likely outcome. Because we have to plan for long lifespans, poor markets, and high medical costs that usually don't all come to pass, most disciplined savers end up with leftovers. From there, he explains which dollars to spend first each year, how age and capital gains should steer whether you draw from taxable or retirement accounts, and why the step-up in basis matters more than most people realize.The conversation turns to the human side of money, too — how to talk a couple through it when one spouse is aggressive and the other can't stand the thought of the stock market, why both positions are almost always driven by fear, and how framing the trade-offs around the people you love often brings them closer together. Mike and Paul also tackle the spendthrift-child dilemma, the case for matching a young person's Roth IRA, and why small gifts early can dwarf an inheritance received at 70.On Social Security, Mike makes the point that most people get the risk exactly backwards: delaying benefits isn't a gamble — it's insurance against the scary scenario of living a very long time. He walks through what really happens if Congress does nothing before the trust fund shortfall around 2033 (hint: the program doesn't disappear), and the range of fixes on the table. Throughout, both men return to the same theme — simple, low-cost, broadly diversified portfolios keep beating the clever alternatives, and the Bessembinder research helps explain why.Stick around for the closing exchange on using AI to learn from the "Truth Tellers" — and Mike's cautionary tale about a chatbot that invented an entire tax-code provision, word for word and completely convincingly, that simply does not exist.LINKS:Mike Piper's blog — obliviousinvestor.comOpen Social Security — opensocialsecurity.comMike's books on Amazon — https://bit.ly/49BQugdOblivious Investor — https://bit.ly/4oeIacsWe're Talking Millions! (free PDF and audio) — https://www.paulmerriman.com/free-booksIf You Can by Bill Bernstein (free PDF) — https://www.paulmerriman.com/free-booksPlanVision — Mark Zoril — planvisionmn.comThe Bessembinder study — "Do Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills?" https://www.morningstar.com/personal-finance/hendrik-bessembinder-do-stocks-outperform-treasury-billsWatch the Video- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bB2ccYRLSOI&feature=youtu.be
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Automating Your Portfolio: M1 Finance vs. Fidelity Basket Portfolios 27.05.2026 45minIn the final episode of the 2026 Boot Camp series, Paul Merriman sits down with Chris Pedersen and Daryl Bahls to tackle the last fork in the road every investor faces: how to and how much automation to use. After all the boot camp decisions — stocks versus bonds, which equity asset classes, how much fixed income, how to handle contributions and withdrawals — the final question is how much of the day-to-day management you should hand off to a tool, and which tool is right for you.Chris walks through how M1 Finance “pies” let buy-and-hold investors put their portfolios on autopilot: automated contributions, on-the-fly rebalancing as new money comes in, fractional shares, and one-button rebalancing. He explains the pre-configured Merriman portfolios — the Ultimate Buy and Hold, Worldwide and US Four-Fund, All Value, All Small Cap Value, and the Aggressive Target Date glide path in five-year increments — and an important limitation: once you grab a pie, there’s no live link back to the source, so website updates won’t change your account.Paul then makes the case for Fidelity’s Basket Portfolios as an alternative, especially for anyone uneasy about moving large sums to a younger company. He covers the flat $4.99-per-month fee regardless of account size, eligible account types, the TFLO short-term Treasury workaround for holding cash, and why Fidelity may fit investors already in the Fidelity ecosystem. The team compares trading windows, account minimums and how each firm counts the $10,000 threshold, and Daryl shares that M1 has grown from about $1 billion in 2020 to roughly $12.5 billion in assets under management.The conversation closes with practical guidance on mixing and matching Sound Investing portfolios, the question everyone’s asking — “how long do I have to wait for small cap value?” — a reminder not to flail or chase recent performance, why the 10-fund Ultimate Buy and Hold strategy still stands, and a clear explanation of the move from AVUS to AVLC and where AVSC fits.CHAPTERS00:00 - Intro03:10 - M1 Finance13:45 - Fidelity Baskets24:27 - Portfolio Combos29:55 - When to Change Allocations42:44 - AVLC vs. AVUS45:15 - OutroLINKS:Sound Investing Portfolio PiesM1 Finance Pie Tutorial (Mobile App)M1 Finance Pie Tutorial (Web Interface)
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Bill Bernstein: 50 Years of Investing Wisdom 20.05.2026 1h 10minIn this interview from the 2026 Bainbridge Community Foundation Annual Financial Education Series, Paul sits down with Bill Bernstein — neurologist, financial historian, and author of The Four Pillars of Investing and If You Can — for a wide-ranging conversation drawn from 50-plus years of investing experience.Bill explains why you're only rewarded for taking risk in well-regulated markets (and why crypto doesn't qualify), how today's market echoes the late 1990s, why the "reverse glide path" makes sense the older you get, and what the Bessembinder research really tells us about the cost of trying to pick winners. Paul and Bill also debate withdrawal strategies, the case against long bonds, and whether tilted small-value investing still works once "the bozos know about it."A masterclass in evidence-based investing from one of the most respected voices in the field.CHAPTERS00:00 Intro from Matt Longmire, Bainbridge Community Foundation02:50 Welcoming Bill Bernstein03:50 Why The Four Pillars of Investing belongs on every DIY investor's shelf05:50 Risk vs. reward — and why Bitcoin doesn't qualify08:30 How many asset classes do you really need?11:50 Where today's market resembles the late 1990s13:40 Are REITs still worth holding?15:50 The case for automating everything19:45 Why retirees need to fear sequence-of-returns risk21:30 Paul's 5% rule vs. the 4% rule25:30 The two-bucket theory and the reverse glide path27:30 Prediction markets, gambling, and "being the house"32:00 The sociological signs of a bubble35:00 Speculation vs. gambling — gold's real return40:00 The Bessembinder study: why 4% of stocks make most of the returns46:00 Why rich people plan three generations ahead49:00 Audience Q&A58:30 Tilted index funds (DFA, Avantis) — worth it?01:03:50 The future of Social Security01:07:00 Closing thoughts and book recommendationsLINKS:The Four Pillars of Investing — Bill Bernstein (2nd ed., 2023)If You Can — Free PDF from Bill BernsteinThe Bessembinder Study — "Do Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills?"Bainbridge Community FoundationBen Carlson's New Book on Risk and Reward
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Boot Camp #9 - 2 Funds for Life and Target-Date Funds 13.05.2026 1h 7minChris and Paul explain what target-date funds are and do, and how to augment them with some small-cap value to get the broad diversification benefits of the other Sound Investing portfolios.They describe several approaches and tools investors can use to determine what might be best for them.CHAPTERS00:00 Intro03:03 Target-Date Funds07:00 Glide Paths15:17 TDF Backtesting19:55 TDF Weaknesses26:20 "Easy" 2FFL34:46 "Moderate" 2FFL37:48 "Aggressive" 2FFL41:00 Customizer52:15 Calculator61:07 Books66:00 OutroLINKS: Wharton: Target Date Funds & Portfolio Choice in 401(k) Plans Morningstar: “2026 Target-Date Fund Landscape” Chris' Tables of 2 Funds for Life and Target Date Funds (PDF)
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Q&A With Chris Pedersen and Daryl Bahls: Thinking Through Your Portfolio Choices 06.05.2026 1hPaul sits down with Chris Pedersen and Daryl Bahls for the first Q&A session in months — and this one is built around the questions readers and listeners ask most often. Chris and Daryl share what they're working on next (Best-in-Class ETF updates, Target Date Fund work, telltale charts, risk-adjusted return analysis), Paul talks about a smarter way to use AI for the questions outside our wheelhouse, and the team works through six reader questions about portfolio design — from combining model portfolios to choosing between fund families.If you've ever wondered whether your portfolio is "right," this conversation will help you think about it the way Chris and Daryl do.8:30 — Should I combine the Worldwide Four Fund, U.S. Four Fund, and Worldwide All Value with a small cap value tilt?16:00 — How do I read the Sound Investing tables to compare portfolios?30:30 — Worldwide All Small Cap Value vs. the U.S. Two Fund — which is better?38:15 — My Vanguard Four Fund uses VOO, VTV, VB, and VBR — am I using the right ETFs?41:30 — How do Vanguard, Fidelity, Schwab, DFA, and Avantis compare on size and value exposure?46:30 — How do I get help with Merriman portfolios when I need it?Table B2 Table H2 Fine Tuning Tables Portfolio ConfiguratorYou'll get the full answers, the data behind them, and Chris and Daryl's reasoning by watching or listening.Watch the video here- https://youtu.be/BdTNOkALpuQ
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2026 Best in Class ETF Portfolios 29.04.2026 59minPaul and Chris introduce the new Avantis and DFA Best-in-Class fund family recommendations and talk about the shift away from evaluating and recommending à la carte choices from multiple fund providers. They emphasize that the quality and breadth of the offerings from Avantis and DFAhave reached a point where it's better and more sustainable to recommend these fund families than to continually change recommendations among funds that are increasingly close unexpected performance.Best in Class ETF recommendations https://www.paulmerriman.com/best-in-class-recommendationsPortfolio Configurator https://lookerstudio.google.com/u/0/reporting/a941a5d4-0929-45ea-b22e-3bb82dc334ff/page/99wxc?s=hqmha3-AK5k
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Christine Benz: Practical Retirement Planning from Morningstar's Top Expert 22.04.2026 1h 53minThis special two-part session opens with Paul Merriman solo — paying tribute to Tim Ranzetta of Next Generation Personal Finance, sharing the latest numbers on state-mandated financial literacy, and walking through Daryl Bahls' quilt charts to show annual earnings invested in the S&P 500, large-cap value, small-cap blend, and small-cap value since 1928.Then Paul sits down with Christine Benz — Morningstar's Director of Personal Finance and Retirement Planning, and author of How to Retire: 20 Lessons for a Happy, Successful, and Wealthy Retirement — for a wide-ranging conversation on how to actually make a retirement portfolio last.Christine lays out her five-step plan for anyone retiring in 2030 or 2035: turbocharge savings, rethink household spending, build seven to ten years of "safer assets" for portfolio withdrawals, diversify globally, and use TIPS to protect purchasing power. She and Paul dig into how to structure fixed income (short, intermediate, TIPS), why she's cooler on REITs than she used to be, when a simple income annuity makes sense, and why alternatives rarely earn their keep.They also cover performance-chasing the S&P 500, balanced funds vs. building your own portfolio (including Paul's Wellesley/Wellington pairing for hands-off investors), how AI is starting to change the financial advice landscape, and the honest answer to "have you planned out to the day you die?" — even from a Morningstar executive.The audience Q&A covers bonds vs. T-bills, down-payment savings, the four-fund portfolio, Vanguard asset allocation for retirees, tax-efficient withdrawal sequencing, TIAA annuities, managed futures, and gold.Part of the Spring Financial Education Series hosted by the Bainbridge Community Foundation in partnership with the Merriman Financial Education Foundation.Coming up in this series: Mike Piper (April 21) and Bill Bernstein (April 28).🔗 LINKS & RESOURCES:📖 How to Retire — Christine Benz🎙️ The Long View Podcast🌐 https://www.morningstar.com/people/christine-benz📘 https://www.ngpf.org🌐 https://paulmerriman.comTIMESTAMPS:📚 PART 1 — Paul Merriman Solo0:00–Welcome from Matt Longmire2:55–Paul Merriman intro3:50–Tim Ranzetta & NGPF7:00–Financial literacy stats9:30–Why NGPF is free10:30–Ben Carlson & oil shocks13:50–Risk and Reward preview14:40–Quilt charts explained17:00–$100 since 192820:00–Quintile rankings22:30–Four-fund consistency24:00–Volatility discussion25:30–Best/worst decades🎙️ PART 2 — Christine Benz Interview27:00–Christine joins29:00–Retirement mindset31:00–Planning for 2030/203532:30–Boosting savings33:30–Lifestyle adjustments35:00–7–10 years safer assets38:00–Bond strategy40:00–Risk tiers (cash → bonds)42:00–Equity allocation44:30–TIPS importance48:00–Buy-and-hold vs timing50:00–Handling macro fears52:30–Top risks54:00–Annuities overview56:00–SPIAs & DIAs58:30–Income psychology1:02:00–More resources1:04:00–Alternatives critique1:07:30–401(k) concerns1:10:00–Investor gap1:12:00–Christine’s planQ&A:1:15:00–Bonds vs T-bills1:20:00–$95k down payment1:22:00–Four-fund portfolios1:25:00–FXAIX vs VOO1:26:00–Model portfolios1:29:00–Balanced funds1:33:00–Tax-managed funds1:34:00–Active vs passive1:39:00–Bond ETFs1:41:00–TIAA annuities1:42:30–Withdrawal strategy1:44:00–AI investing1:46:00–Future of advice1:50:00–Gold & alternatives1:52:00–Closing thoughts1:53:00–Next episodeWatch video here
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Larry Swedroe: The Evidence-Based Rules Every Investor Needs to Know | Bainbridge Financial Literacy Series 2026 15.04.2026 1h 49minPaul Merriman sits down with Larry Swedroe — author of 22 books and one of the most respected voices in evidence-based investing — for a conversation that covers everything from the five factors that actually matter to why Bitcoin might go to zero.Larry explains why judging your investment decisions by their outcomes is one of the most dangerous mistakes you can make, lays out the academic criteria he uses to separate real factor premiums from data mining, and reveals that he's made only three tactical moves in 30 years of investing. He and Paul use three eye-opening slides to show why chasing recent winners almost guarantees you'll underperform.They also dig into why growth stocks don't deliver the returns most people expect (hint: the growth rate is already in the price), why traditional index funds are "dumb traders" bleeding money to hedge funds, and how AI will make markets harder to beat — not easier.The audience Q&A covers emerging markets, the updated "Larry Portfolio," crypto, private equity, and which fund families Larry actually trusts with his own money.Part of the Spring Financial Education Series hosted by the Bainbridge Community Foundation in partnership with the Merriman Financial Education Foundation.LINKS & RESOURCES: "Enrich Your Future" — Larry Swedroe "Your Complete Guide to Factor-Based Investing" — Larry Swedroe & Andrew Berkin "Your Complete Guide to a Successful and Secure Retirement" — Larry Swedroe Larry Swedroe on Substack: https://larryswedroe.substack.com The Hidden Flaw in Style Index FundsThe Hidden Costs of Index Replication: What Every Investor Needs to Know AboutAdverse Effects of Index ReplicationWatch the video here.Coming up in this series: Christine Benz (Morningstar), Mike Piper, and Bill Bernstein.A special thanks to Professor Bunnell who teaches a finance class at Bentley University. He recommended his students tune into the interview. I hope it motivated them to get a copy of Larry’s latest book. Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing 1st Edition. I would place a very large bet that it will make a huge difference in their financial future. By the way, to the best of my knowledge Bentley is the only university I know that requires a Personal Finance class to graduate.
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PlanVision: Low Cost Flat-Fee Financial Planning for Do-It-Yourself Investors 08.04.2026 1h 9minPaul Merriman sits down with Mark Zoril, founder of PlanVision, in the first episode of a new series spotlighting affordable financial planning options for do-it-yourself investors.Mark built PlanVision in 2012 around a simple premise: investing isn't as complicated as the financial services industry makes it seem, and technology makes it possible to deliver thoughtful, unbiased financial advice at a price almost anyone can afford.In this episode you'll learn:What you get for $489 in the first year — including access to the eMoney financial planning platform and one-on-one advisor sessionsHow the $8/month ongoing subscription works, and when it makes sense to stay on vs. cancelWhy PlanVision has no commissions, no affiliate links, no insurance sales, and no conflicts of interestHow the firm handles complex situations: Roth conversions, Social Security timing, 529s, pension vs. lump sum, and tax planning (with a CPA on staff)What PlanVision will and won't do — no estate planning, no market timing, no gold hedging strategiesHow they serve expats in over 180 countriesWhat happens when a client passes away and a surviving spouse needs guidanceMark's own investing philosophy — and why he puts his own money in a Vanguard target date fundHow PlanVision works with clients who follow Paul Merriman’s, Rick Ferri's, Larry Swedroe's, or any other multi-equity asset class indexing philosophyLinks mentioned:PlanVision websitePlanVision testimonialsRob Berger interview with Mark Zoril (expat investing, 60+ min)Stan the Annuity ManBogleheads PlanVision commentsWatch the full video on YouTube
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Paul Merriman on Managing $1.6 Billion But Never His Own Money 01.04.2026 53minAt 82 years old, I still work. Not because I have to, but because I want to.I joined Brian Herriot and Kirby Denison on “The Time Freedom Podcast” to talk about exactly that. But we ended up covering a lot more than I expected.Here's something that might surprise you: I managed money for thousands of people over 30 years and built a firm to $1.6 billion under management. And I have never once managed my own money.Why? Because I know myself too well. When the market drops, I would second-guess everything. I'd probably hesitate to put more money in, even though that's exactly what I teach people to do. So I let someone else handle it. I don't even check how I did last year.We also got into my disagreement with John Bogle. I had the privilege of sitting with him for about 90 minutes earlier in my career. Bogle preached Enough and it's even the title of one of his books.I respectfully disagree. I believe the goal should be more than enough. Because life gets in the way. Bad things happen. And they often happen during retirement, when you have the least ability to recover. If you stop working the moment you have just enough, you're one bad year away from trouble.📚🎧 Brian's book Time Freedom is available for pre-order! Pre-order and get the audiobook free... instant access today, paper copy in September. Normally that takes three copies, but for my listeners, just one.timefreedombook.com | code: PAUL
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Q & A Deep Dive 25.03.2026 36minQ&A HighlightsHow does a 4-fund portfolio compare to a 10-fund portfolio?What is the best way to invest for a child’s future?Is it too late to use a diversified strategy like the 10-fund portfolio at age 50?Can I create and test my own custom portfolio using your tools?How should I invest during periods of inflation or uncertainty?What are some recommended fund options available at Schwab?Is a portfolio combining large-cap value and small-cap blend a good approach?Are there good alternatives to intermediate-term bonds?Who are some trustworthy voices in personal finance and investing?What is your opinion on separately managed accounts (SMAs)?Key TakeawayLong-term investment success is driven by asset allocation, discipline, and consistency—not complexity. A simple, well-structured portfolio that you can maintain through market cycles is often the most effective approach.Listen to the individual questions here.
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DFA & Avantis ETFs: Building the Ultimate Lifetime Equity Strategy 25.03.2026 53minPaul Merriman is dedicated to helping do-it-yourself investors build portfolios they can stick with for life. In this episode, he shares what he believes is the closest thing to a perfect long-term equity strategy he's ever seen.Paul traces the evolution of index investing — from John Bogle's cap-weighted S&P 500 funds to the academic research of Fama and French, whose factor-based work showed that small cap value, large cap value, and other equity asset classes have historically outperformed the broad market over time.For years, the best factor-based funds from Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA) were only available through select advisors. That changed when Avantis launched its ETF lineup in 2019, followed by DFA's own ETFs — putting institutional-quality, factor-based investing within reach of every self-directed investor.Paul introduces a recommended ETF list spanning 10 equity asset classes across both fund families, explains the key differences between DFA and Avantis, and makes the case for owning both. He also covers where to buy them and why Fidelity's fractional shares make it easy to start with any dollar amount.Key topics: Factor-based vs. traditional index funds · Accessing DFA and Avantis ETFs · The case for owning both · Simplifying rebalancing with M1 FinanceThe Q&A Paul references was recorded separately.
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Flexible Retirement Withdrawals: Why Taking Less Can Give You More 18.03.2026 38minIn this episode, we explore how flexible (variable) withdrawal strategies can strengthen your retirement plan—and why fixed, inflation-adjusted withdrawals may increase risk over time.Using detailed distribution tables—including Table F1.3 (flexible withdrawals) and comparisons to Table D1.3 (fixed withdrawals)—Paul walks through real historical outcomes across decades to show how adjusting withdrawals based on market performance can improve long-term results.You’ll learn:Fixed vs. flexible withdrawal strategiesInsights from Tables F1.3, F1.4 vs. D1.3, D1.4How flexibility helps defend against bear marketsThe role of diversification and low-cost investingWhy oversaving creates powerful financial freedomIf you’re planning for retirement or already taking withdrawals, this episode may offer a smarter, more adaptable approach to generating income.Watch YoutubeBoot Camp 7 page
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Boot Camp #6 Fixed Distributions 11.03.2026 40minIn Boot Camp #6, Paul Merriman walks through real historical data starting in 1970 to test what happens when retirees withdraw 3%, 4%, or 5% from a $1 million portfolio — adjusted for inflation — across some of the toughest market conditions in history.This episode covers:The difference between retiring with “enough” and “more than enough”How inflation quietly turns $30,000 into $130,000+ over 30 yearsWhat happens if you retire into a bear marketWhy 1% more in withdrawals can cost millionsS&P 500 vs. a globally diversified four-fund strategyHow diversification impacts lifetime income and legacy outcomesThe real risk of sequence of returns in retirementWhy some portfolios ran out of money — and others didn’tYou’ll hear side-by-side comparisons of:100% S&P 500 portfolios40/60, 50/50, and 60/40 stock-bond mixesA worldwide four-fund equity strategyFixed inflation-adjusted withdrawals over 30 yearsThe results may surprise you — especially when comparing 3%, 4%, and 5% withdrawal rates.If you're approaching retirement, already retired, or helping someone make distribution decisions, this episode breaks down the numbers in plain English and shows how small choices can create million-dollar differences.Next week: the strategy Paul considers the very best distribution method — for investors who retire with more than enough.Watch Video HereCatch up on the previous Boot Camp 2026 here
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2026 Boot Camp #5 Fixed Contributions 04.03.2026 1h 5minIn Boot Camp #5 of 10, Paul delivers what he believes is the most important session in the series—especially for new and early investors (teens, 20s, 30s, and anyone just getting started).Instead of treating investing like speculation, Paul reframes it as building—or buying—a business over decades.Using clear, data-driven tables and “fine-tuning” comparisons, he walks through a simple, repeatable plan: start with $1,000 per year (about $83.33/month), increase contributions by 3% annually, and stay invested for 40+ years. You’ll see how long-term outcomes change based on asset allocation (100% stocks vs. 60/40 stocks and bonds), and why diversification can matter when markets go sideways.Paul also compares an S&P 500-only approach with a globally diversified “worldwide four-fund” strategy (mixing U.S. and international, large and small, value and growth). Along the way, he explains the real power source in early investing: your contributions, not short-term market performance—and why tax-advantaged accounts like a Roth IRA or Roth 401(k) can dramatically increase the impact of compounding over a lifetime.If you want a practical framework for long-term, low-cost, diversified investing, plus a clear-eyed discussion of volatility, sequence of returns, and retirement withdrawals (including the concept of a 5% annual withdrawal strategy), this episode lays the groundwork.Why Paul believes this is the most important boot camp sessionInvesting as building a business (the “portfolio mortgage” analogy)Starting with $83/month and increasing contributions by 3% annuallyUnderstanding the fine-tuning tables and historical market returnsS&P 500 vs. 60/40 portfolio: balancing growth and volatilityThe Worldwide Four-Fund Portfolio and the benefits of deeper diversificationHow sequence of returns impacts accumulation and withdrawalsWhy you rarely notice individual company failures inside diversified fundsThe long-term advantage of Roth IRA / Roth 401(k) compoundingStaying disciplined through crashes, recessions, and sideways marketsWatch Video
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Bootcamp #4 |Fine-Tuning Your Asset Allocation for Retirement & Long-Term Growth 25.02.2026 43minHow much should you really have in stocks vs. bonds — and what happens when the market turns south with a vengence?In Boot Camp #4, we break down the fine-tuning asset allocation tables that show exactly how different combinations of equities and bonds have performed from 1970 through 2025. This episode goes beyond average returns and dives into what investing actually feels like during the worst 3-month, 12-month, and 60-month market declines.You’ll learn:Why equities have historically dominated bonds for long-term retirement investingHow the S&P 500 compares to diversified strategies like the Four-Fund portfolioThe real impact of worst-case drawdowns (including 50%+ bear markets)What happens to a 100% stock portfolio during retirement withdrawalsHow 50/50, 60/40, and other stock-bond allocations reduce volatilityWhy median returns matter — and why averages can misleadHow to control risk through asset allocation, low costs, tax efficiency, and index investingWe explore real historical data — including the 1973-74 bear market, the 2000-2002 tech crash, and the 2008 financial crisis — to help you understand both accumulation and retirement distribution phases.Whether you're in your 20s building wealth, in your 50s preparing for retirement, or already retired and managing withdrawals, this episode helps you align your portfolio with your risk tolerance, return needs, and long-term financial goals.If you want to be a confident do-it-yourself investor — without paying a 1% management fee — this episode gives you the framework to make informed decisions about stocks, bonds, diversification, and risk control.Watch Boot Camp #4 video
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Bootcamp #3 | How to Choose the Right Portfolio (Returns, Risk & Diversification) 18.02.2026 46minWelcome to Bootcamp #3 of the Sound Investing Series with Paul Merriman — where real investing data meets practical long-term strategy. 📈 In this session, Paul breaks down the performance of diversified portfolios vs. the S&P 500 using decades of historical data going back to 1970. You’ll learn how different combinations of equity asset classes have performed in good markets, bad markets, and everything in between.📊 What You’ll Learn in This Video:• A deep dive into the Sound Investing Portfolios and how they work for DIY investors• Historical returns of 2-, 4- and multi-fund strategies compared to the S&P 500• Why diversification matters and how it can reduce risk and improve returns• How different portfolios performed in tough decades like the 1970s and 2000s• Practical takeaways for long-term investors, retirees, and those choosing equity allocationsWhether you’re a beginner or experienced investor, this Bootcamp episode gives you real numbers and evidence-based insights to help shape your portfolio strategy with confidence. 💡 Topics Covered:✔ Sound Investing Portfolios explained✔ Risk vs. return comparison✔ Historical performance of diversified portfolios✔ The role of small-cap & value stocks✔ Why a 2-fund strategy can compete with the S&P 500✔ How to think about risk in real market conditions🔗 Useful Resources & Tables - https://www.paulmerriman.com/sound-investing-portfolios-2026To follow along with the charts, tables, and data Paul references during the presentation, check the pinned links and video notes.📈 Perfect For:✔ DIY investors✔ Retirement planners✔ Anyone curious about portfolio diversification✔ Investors who want to avoid common mistakes📩 Questions? Paul encourages you to leave comments and reach out — he often uses viewer questions in future episodes!➡️ Don’t forget to subscribe for more deep-dive investing education and future Bootcamp episodes from the Merriman Financial Education Foundation: Paul Merriman’s mission is to help you make more money with less risk and more peace of mind.
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Boot Camp #2: The Ultimate Buy & Hold Portfolio 11.02.2026 34minIn this second session of our 10-part Boot Camp series, we dive into the piece that’s helped shape decades of investing decisions: The Ultimate Buy & Hold Portfolio.For nearly 30 years, this research—co-created with the late Rich Buck—has explored a simple but powerful question: What happens when you go beyond the S&P 500 and build a lifetime portfolio across 10 equity asset classes?Starting with data back to 1970, we walk through the math of compounding, diversification, and disciplined rebalancing. You’ll see how adding small amounts of large value, small cap, REITs, international equities, and emerging markets historically increased returns—without meaningfully increasing risk. The result? A dramatic difference over time, powered by patience and structure.Whether you’re new to these concepts or have followed this work for years, this episode breaks down the numbers, the lessons, and the real-world implications for long-term investors.This recording is also a tribute to Rich Buck—an extraordinary collaborator whose work on this topic has reached millions of investors.Download the tables and watch the video, follow along, and join us as we revisit one of the most impactful investing frameworks we’ve ever created—and set the stage for next week’s deep dive into the Sound Investing portfolios.
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Bootcamp #1 | The $10 Million Decision | Stocks and Bonds 04.02.2026 38minWhat if small decisions — just a half-percent here or an extra year there — could change your financial future by millions?In this episode, we continue our annual Boot Camp series by tackling one of the biggest forks in the road investors face: stocks and bonds. Drawing on nearly a century of academic research and data, we break down what the math actually tells us about compounding, risk, diversification, and long-term returns.You’ll hear why:Tiny differences in returns can mean millions over a lifetimeBonds are designed for safety — not wealth creationEquity asset classes behave very differently from year to yearDiversification across asset classes smooths volatility and improves outcomesTrying to “pick winners” is a losing game — and why owning the whole market worksThis episode is educational, not personal advice — think of it as a roadmap that helps you ask better questions and make more informed decisions. Important: The tables and charts referenced in this episode are available in the PDF. Watching the companion video will make these concepts even clearer.If you care about making smarter long-term decisions for yourself and your family — this is one to share.
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A Surprise, a Big Thank You, and What’s Coming Next 28.01.2026 25minSometimes the best moments are the unexpected ones. This week brought one of those moments when Daryl Bahls delivered an extraordinary surprise: access to every table used across our entire investing Boot Camp Series — months of work, ready ahead of schedule.That gift makes it possible to move forward faster, including setting up pages for the upcoming Series and potentially releasing the tables before all the podcasts and articles are complete.The White Coat Investor: 150+ Portfolios That WorkWe revisit the White Coat Investor article “150 Portfolios Better Than Yours” (now over 200 portfolios), originally published in 2014.The key lesson:There is no single “best” portfolio — most of the portfolios are legitimate and effective. What matters most is:Choosing a sound portfolioUnderstanding why it worksStaying the course over decadesEarly success can be misleading, but the portfolio you choose in the beginning can mean millions of dollars more in the long-term.Why Portfolio Design Matters So MuchUsing historical data going back to 1970, we explore how different strategies produce dramatically different outcomes over time:S&P 500 only vs. globally diversified portfoliosMulti–asset-class investingValue-focused portfolios (U.S. and international)Even small starting amounts can lead to large differences over a lifetime.What We Do — and What We Don’t Do To Help Investors We are:Focused on educationDedicated to do-it-yourself investorsGrounded in academic research and evidence-based investingWe are not:Financial plannersEstate plannersTax advisorsOur goal is to help investors build portfolios they can trust through good markets and bad — with the potential to land in the top 5–10% of long-term outcomes.Preview: The 10-Part Boot Camp SeriesOver the coming weeks, we’ll release a comprehensive boot camp covering:Stocks vs. Bonds — why this decision alone can be a $10 million differenceEquity Asset Class Selection — based on academic research, not trendsSimple Sound Investing Portfolios — small, powerful, manageableAdding Bonds Intelligently — controlling risk without killing returnsLong-Term Contributions — what steady investing really looks likeFixed Withdrawal Strategies — taking distributions when you retire with only "enough"Flexible Withdrawal Strategies — especially for those who’ve oversavedTarget-Date Funds & Glide Paths — with added diversification insightsETF Selection — why DFA and Avantis may help investors stay the courseInvesting for Children & Newborns — including new retirement account considerationsEach topic will eventually include:A podcast episodeA written articleSupporting data tablesDaryl has now produced 247 educational tables, all designed to support smarter portfolio decisions. You will see all of them during the 10 week series.
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