RiskReversal Pod

Episod

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  Jim Chanos & Gary Marcus: Circular AI Financing, The Agentic Economy & Doomsday Scenarios 25.09.2026 1j 37min

  Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE HERE Checkout Gary's Substack: https://garymarcus.substack.com/ Jim Chanos returns, this time with AI researcher/professor emeritus Gary Marcus. The two join Dan to discuss AI's build-out technology, economics, and risks. Marcus argues modern LLMs lack durable technical moats, remain unreliable and hallucination-prone, and are becoming commoditized, driving token price wars and challenging profitability for OpenAI/Anthropic; he favors neurosymbolic approaches and warns that “agent” systems are causing serious security incidents, saying OpenAI should be temporarily shut down or put into receivership until fixed. Chanos explains his bearish focus on data centers as capital-intensive, low-return “equipment leasing” businesses being marketed like REITs, with hyperscaler incremental returns declining and credit tightening. They compare the AI cycle to late-1990s TMT, discuss NVIDIA’s unique position versus its customers, highlight IPO/financing as a potential breaking point, and debate regulation, surveillance “dystopia,” and political risks. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  The AI Trying to Replace Your Financial Advisor with Fahad Hassan and David Cusatis 23.09.2026 39min

  Dan Nathan sits down with Fahad Hassan and David Cusatis, co-founders of Range, an AI-native wealth management platform that just crossed $1 billion in assets under management. Fahad and David built Range without any traditional finance background, starting from a simple frustration: the old 1% AUM model is expensive, opaque, and hasn't changed in 100 years. We get into Range's AI agent, Rai, which can execute backdoor Roth conversions over text message, and why the founders believe AI is already outperforming human financial advisors. Plus: a live demo of Meta's Muse booking a flight and ordering an Uber mid-dinner, why they think Salesforce and other legacy SaaS tools are becoming obsolete, how Range is regulated by the SEC, and why they think they can become "the JPMorgan of the next 100 years." Topics discussed: the founding story of Range, AI agents replacing financial advisors, Rai and backdoor Roth conversions, Meta's Muse in action, why legacy software (Salesforce, Notion) is under threat, SEC compliance and trust in AI, and Range's path to disrupting Schwab, Vanguard, and the wealth management industry. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Dan Niles: This Isn't the Top, It's a Speed Bump 18.09.2026 54min

  Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Dan Nathan hosts Dan Niles of Niles Investment Management on the Risk Reversal podcast to discuss a rallying market amid a 5% 10-year yield, rising global rates, and negative September seasonality ahead of the midterms. Niles argues AI-driven data-center spending has powered 2024 returns, but warns of risks from Texas’s data-center moratorium, potential political pushback, comments by Altman, Anthropic’s Dario, and Musk about slowing AI, falling model pricing and profitability concerns, and possible compute-reducing architectural shifts; he cites early signs of spend shifting toward cheaper open-source models. They discuss how hiking cycles, deficits, and weak equity risk premium could pressure valuations and unwind carry trades, and compare today’s AI buildout to the dot-com era, where backlogs and circular financing can reverse quickly. Niles sees AI ultimately consolidating to a few winners, favors Anthropic in enterprise, expects Google to reassert leadership due to data and cloud acceleration, views Meta as a dark-horse beneficiary via consumer distribution, explains Microsoft’s advantage through its OpenAI stake and security-focused Copilot, and outlines a bullish 2025 view on Apple driven by a foldable-phone upgrade cycle despite near-term execution risks. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  David Rosenberg: "The Fed Just Made a Policy Mistake" 17.09.2026 37min

  TRY NOW: Rosenberg Research Free Trial Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome David Rosenberg of Rosenberg Research to discuss his new global macro multi-asset ETF, ROSY, built from his conviction-based model portfolio and launched with Corton Capital, with plans to list in the U.S. in Q1, and preview his upcoming October book, “Bear In The Bull Ring.” The conversation then turns to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s 25 bp rate hike and hawkish messaging, which Rosenberg argues misreads economic trends and overstates labor-market strength amid slowing wage growth and weak year-over-year momentum in jobs, incomes, and industrial production. He contends inflation is primarily an oil-driven supply shock and that the Fed’s focus on “relative prices” implies tightening that could force deflation elsewhere and trigger recession, prompting him to raise cash and de-risk. Rosenberg also warns of extreme valuations, concentration and correlation risk tied to AI/tech, and credit-market stress including rising private-credit defaults. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Danny Moses: Debt, Gold & the Fed... What's Really Driving Markets? 14.09.2026 34min

  Checkout the WAWD Substack: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ Watch Danny's Interview with Cameron Dawson: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zh-wizTNeC0 Guy hosts Danny Moses on the RiskReversal Podcast, recorded on September 11, and they discuss Japan as an epicenter for global markets as the Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates, highlighting Japan’s ability to sell over $1.2 trillion in US Treasuries and the implications for US yields amid $40 trillion in debt, a $2 trillion deficit, and heavy near-term refinancing needs. They argue oil is inflationary but not the sole driver, citing AI CapEx, tariffs, and rising business costs, with wage growth lagging inflation and consumer stress showing up in delinquencies and weak performance in stocks like homebuilders and American Express. Moses critiques Treasury Secretary Bessent’s “I am the house” stance and discusses gold’s strength, European gold repatriation, and the idea of marking US gold to market. They also cover bullish energy themes, including refiners and LNG name Golar, and end with updates on Danny's Substack and some NFL bets. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Gene Munster: iPhone Duo Will Be A Category Killer & Meta Muse Will End The Algo 11.09.2026 32min

  Dan Nathan is joined by Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, for a deep dive into Apple's foldable iPhone Duo launch and what it means for AAPL — plus a broader tour through the week's biggest tech and AI stories: Meta's new agentic AI product Muse, Google's Gemini momentum, Tesla's Cyber Cab and what it means for Uber, and the AI safety debate sparked by a departing Anthropic researcher's warning. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Scott Bessent Is The House Now (Or So He Thinks) | MRKT Call 09.09.2026 21min

  Watch MRKT Call on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/riskreversalmedia SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: ⁠http://riskreversal.substack.com/⁠ Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Wednesday, September 9th. Articles Mentioned Checkout ⁠Rosenberg Research⁠ Checkout ⁠The Boock Report⁠ Bessent Dares Traders to Bet Against Yen: ‘I Am the House Now’ ⁠(Bloomberg)⁠ States That Gave Data Centers Billions in Tax Breaks Are Now Ripping Up the Deals ⁠(WSJ)⁠ Google, Blackstone Venture Faces Delays at Data-Center Sites ⁠(Bloomberg)⁠ Anthropic Researcher Quits Over ‘Out-of-Control’ AI Fears ⁠(WSJ)⁠ Chewy Stock Tumbles as Sales Guidance Not Enough to Outweigh Mundane Earnings ⁠(Barrons)⁠ Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure ⁠(NYT)⁠ —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  The Fed, Oil, and a Trade War With Canada Investors Aren't Pricing In 07.09.2026 36min

  Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down a wild week of macro data and single-stock news heading into the Fed's September meeting. They dig into the surprisingly strong August jobs report and what it means for a Fed already boxed in by political pressure on Kevin Warsh, why the VIX sitting near 14 might be dangerous complacency, and why the bond market's reaction to a potential rate hike could be totally counterintuitive. They also cover the yen intervention, the structural case for energy stocks amid the Iran conflict, and Dan's argument for why the U.S. isn't as "energy independent" as the trade-war rhetoric suggests. Plus: Tesla's Cybercab event falls flat, Apple heads into its biggest product week in years, and Meta's $17 billion settlement gets called out as an embarrassment next to Big Tobacco's 1998 payout. They close with a reminder to check out Dan's conversation with Paul Kedrosky. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Paul Kedrosky: Nvidia Is Now the AI Bubble's Single Point of Failure 04.09.2026 1j 40min

  Go checkout The Dick & Paul Show on YouTube Dan Nathan interviews Paul Kedrosky about the AI-driven surge in non-residential fixed investment and why today’s data-center buildout resembles prior overbuild cycles like railroads and fiber. Kedrosky argues the current moment is unusually risky because it combines technology hype, loose credit, government-policy urgency, and real-estate speculation (including “powered land/shells”), with more hyperscaler data-center spend now externally financed. He discusses Nvidia’s growing role as a potential single point of failure via ecosystem financing, and warns that large language models are rapidly commoditizing as performance converges and token prices deflate, pressuring heavily levered players. Kedrosky expects neoclouds to be squeezed as marginal suppliers, while hyperscalers like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google benefit by hosting many models and providing enterprise distribution. He also rejects “SaaSpocalypse” extinction claims, predicting compression in SaaS pricing rather than collapse. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Fixing Wall Street's AI Problem with Phill Rosen, CEO of Astraeus 02.09.2026 48min

  Dan Nathan interviews Phill Rosen, CEO/CTO and co-founder of Astraeus, an AI infrastructure company for wealth management. Rosen recounts his path from college dropout to fintech builder, including Orchard Platform and Even Financial (later MoneyLion Engine), explaining how API-embedded distribution and machine-learning signals improved lending decisioning while navigating regulatory explainability. He argues many “AI companies” mainly deploy or fine-tune others’ models and that value often lies in data pipelines, governance, and deterministic software around AI. Rosen describes Astreus targeting independent RIAs and private-equity roll-ups (from ~$2B to ~$200B AUM) by unifying siloed legacy data, codifying compliance rules, and deploying “digital workers” with 90-day pilots to show operational ROI and enable scalable, auditable agentic workflows. They prefer model portability (often Gemini; testing Kimi 3) to manage cost and data sovereignty, and Rosen weighs whether LLMs commoditize into cloud-like infrastructure as tooling matures. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Wall Street Isn't Buying Kevin Warsh's Tough Talk 31.08.2026 37min

  Guy Adami and Dan Nathan open by recounting a fan’s Guy-themed T-shirt sighting on CNBC’s Fast Money, then discuss Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks as largely status quo, with the S&P 500 near all-time highs and the VIX around 14 despite potential catalysts like the August jobs report. They argue markets appear complacent ahead of midterms and cite historical midterm drawdowns, while noting election-related tensions, Canada trade friction, and Russia/NATO risks as possible volatility drivers. The hosts highlight a widening disconnect between strong equities and weakening consumer signals seen in recent retail earnings, alongside rising delinquency rates and persistent inflation pressures. They review key earnings and themes: Nvidia’s extraordinary growth but complex circular AI financing relationships and competitive chip efforts, Salesforce’s sharp rally and software rebound, and previews of Dell and Broadcom amid hardware and TPU demand dynamics, before plugging an interview with Imran Khan. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal MediaThe financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Imran Khan Isn't Worried About Nvidia's "Circular" Deals 28.08.2026 1j

  This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: https://www.fidelity.com/investing/trading-platforms Fidelity Investments and Risk Reversal are not affiliated. Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity products or services discussed are offered by Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC. The trademarks and service marks appearing herein are the property of their respective owners. Dan Nathan sits down with Imran Khan, CIO and founder of Proem Asset Management, to break down one of the wildest weeks in tech earnings. They dig into Nvidia's latest quarter and why the stock keeps trading well below the market multiple despite the growth — and make the bull case for why that's about to change. From there: the increasingly circular web of financing between Nvidia, OpenAI, Microsoft, and CoreWeave, why OpenAI is building a chip to compete with its own biggest investor, and what Imran learned on a recent trip to South Korea about the memory market (Micron, SK Hynix, and the trade that's already up huge). They also unpack Salesforce's surprise post-earnings pop after Marc Benioff and Anthropic's Dario Amodei sat down with Jim Cramer, and close out with the question everyone's asking: are we in an AI bubble, and if so, who's left holding the bag? Articles Referenced Would There Be an AI Revolution If There Were No Nvidia? (WSJ) Nvidia’s $279 Billion Supply-Chain Gamble (WSJ) Nvidia Has Become a Banker to the AI Boom, Putting It on Dangerous Ground (WSJ) OpenAI Claims Its New Chips Can Outperform Nvidia Processors in Tests (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Deus Ex Machine, AI & Data with FirstMark's Matt Turck 26.08.2026 1j 17min

  Dan Nathan sits down with Matt Turck, Managing Director at First Mark Capital and creator of the annual MAD (Machine Learning, AI & Data) Landscape, for a wide-ranging look at where AI investing stands right now. They cover the power-law dynamics driving venture dollars to a handful of companies, why Nvidia is starting to look like "the bank" of the AI industry, Anthropic's surge past $65 billion in revenue and its first profitable quarter, and how OpenAI, Microsoft, Google, and Meta are each positioning for what comes next. The conversation turns philosophical with a discussion of AGI, superintelligence, and the idea that Altman, Musk, and Amodei are all, in their own ways, trying to build God — before closing with a deep dive into China's AI progress, open source, and the robotics race. Matt also talks about his own podcast, The MAD Podcast, and his Data Driven NYC event series. Links Referenced The MAD Podcast (Apple Podcasts) The MAD Landscape (Matt's Website) Nvidia Has Become a Banker to the AI Boom, Putting It on Dangerous Ground (WSJ) Read "AI 2027" and "AI 2040" —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Danny Moses: How Scott Bessent Just Tied the Fed's Hands 24.08.2026 1j 8min

  Danny Nathan and Danny Moses discuss recent Treasury Secretary Bessent comments and plans to increase long-dated Treasury buybacks, arguing the amounts are largely signaling, yields quickly reverted, and the move effectively constrains Fed Chair Warsh ahead of Jackson Hole and a potential September hike. They connect rising yields, debt/deficits, inflation pressures, dollar/yen dynamics, and Bank of Japan policy to higher market volatility, tighter funding conditions, and renewed interest in gold, while noting capital may favor high-grade corporates over Treasuries. They review Walmart’s earnings beat but same-store-sales miss and valuation-driven selloff as a consumer and defensives litmus test. Looking ahead, they frame Nvidia, Salesforce, and CrowdStrike earnings as key narrative tests for AI demand, software AI strategy, and cybersecurity, and they flag scrutiny around Carvana’s loan sales and potential related-party buyers. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Ex-Twitter CEO gave Musk the Bird, 01A AI investments & IPO Landscape 21.08.2026 1j 40min

  WATCH 'The Dick & Paul Show' on YouTube: https://youtu.be/LtLBhBp5T40 This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: https://Fidelity.com/TraderPlus Fidelity Investments and MRKT Call are not affiliated. Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC. Dan Nathan sits down with Paul Costolo, former CEO of Twitter and current VC. They start with Dick's early comedy days (Second City alongside Steve Carell, two SNL auditions that didn't pan out) and his stint writing for HBO's Silicon Valley, before diving into his path from founding FeedBurner to running Twitter through its IPO — including candid stories about the culture shift from private to public company life, and a surreal late-night run-in with Jack Dorsey in Paris in the middle of Elon Musk's takeover drama. From there they get into Dick's venture firm, 01 Advisors, and his thesis on investing in the AI "enablement layer" (the infrastructure sitting above the models) rather than chasing the flashiest apps. Dick shares his read on today's eye-popping valuations — including Stripe's $7 billion acquisition of OpenRouter and a leaked investor letter claiming "the singularity happened on New Year's Day" — and gives his predictions for the coming wave of AI IPOs, arguing Anthropic and SpaceX are well positioned while OpenAI could face a tougher road given its executive turnover and messaging challenges. They close by talking about prediction markets (and the striking gap between how well people think they're doing on platforms like Kalshi versus reality), before wrapping up with a plug for Dick's own podcast, the Dick and Paul Show. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  The AI Price War Nobody Saw Coming with FirstMark's David Waltcher 19.08.2026 45min

  Dan Nathan hosts FirstMark Capital partner David Waltcher at the firm’s HQ to discuss Waltcher ’s path from an Accel internship to investing in enterprise software, security, and AI. They compare the consumer-to-SaaS shift, the post-2021 “SaaSpocalypse,” and how public markets can overreact to AI narratives, using Salesforce as a system-of-record case study. Waltcher argues many incumbents will prove durable due to switching costs, ecosystems, and trust, while M&A is accelerating amid volatile publics, strong buyers, and fast-growing AI businesses, citing deals like Stripe–OpenRouter and interest in Workday. The conversation turns to Chinese and open models driving token cost deflation and model routing, and to rising security threats, including agent-related incidents, fueling demand. Waltcher highlights FirstMark investments Onyx (agent security), Nebulock (agentic threat hunting), and Tracebit (assume-breach deception), and says innovation risk is highest if recession or a market crash hits, not from AGI timing debates. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Peter Boockvar: Inflation Is The Core Disease 17.08.2026 33min

  Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us Checkout The Boock Report: https://boockreport.com/about/ Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Peter Boockvar, CIO at OnePoint BFG Wealth Partners, to unpack recent inflation data and why yields remain resilient, with the curve steepening as the two-year dips while the 10-year holds around 4.65%. Boockvar argues the Fed must weigh PPI alongside CPI, noting persistent producer pressures and limited pass-through that squeezes margins and hiring, contributing to weak consumer confidence and “running to stand still” wages. They discuss why the S&P 500 continues to levitate, attributing much of earnings and market leadership to massive AI CapEx spending and its spillovers into financials. The conversation previews key retail earnings (Home Depot, Lowe’s, Target, TJ Maxx, Walmart) and highlights strong energy stocks amid high gasoline prices and inventory drawdown risks. They also debate U.S.-China AI competition, pressure on OpenAI/Anthropic business models, and Japan’s yen intervention, rising odds of a BOJ rate hike, and potential repatriation flows. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Vincent Daniel: AI Buildout Credit Risks Are a Feature, Not a Bug 14.08.2026 54min

  Checkout the WAWD Substack: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ Dan Nathan welcomes Vincent Daniel, partner at Seawolf Capital and one of the investors who called the 2008 housing crash, for a deep dive into where markets stand heading into year-end. They break down new Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh's "immaculate economy" problem, why passive fund flows are quietly the most powerful force in the market, and the hedge-fund blowup that briefly rattled the S&P. From there, Dan and Vincent get into the real meat of the episode: the new wave of GPU-backed financing deals from Nvidia, Apollo, and Blackstone, why Vincent thinks the AI trade is less a Ponzi scheme and more a "debt-infield CapEx initiative," and where the credit risk is really hiding. They also debate capital availability, return on invested capital, which software names survive the AI shakeout, and whether this all ends up looking more like the dot-com bust or the GFC. Plus: an unprompted case for why Vincent should be the next GM of the Mets. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Sonali Basak: Building “The Bridge” Investors Can Walk Across 13.08.2026 37min

  Click the link http://kalshi.com/r/MOSES or download the Kalshi App and use code MOSES to sign up and trade today! Checkout WAWD on Substack: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/OTT Sonali joins the podcast on the one-year anniversary of moving from Bloomberg to iCapital, discussing her media series “The Bridge” and iCapital’s reach across wealth and asset managers. The conversation centers on AI economics, especially how declining token costs shift value along the “AI food chain,” with hyperscalers capturing a large share while software and enterprises benefit as costs fall, and with demand (Jevons paradox) potentially sustaining aggregate spend and CapEx. They address rising APAC innovation, why frontier labs pursue IPOs amid heavy cash burn and broad access to debt and equity, and the new NVIDIA-led $500B compute financing platform as Wall Street crowds into AI while investors struggle to diversify as infrastructure, power, and data centers converge. They discuss abundant 2026 liquidity that may tighten, oil’s impact on consumers and second-half caution, hedge fund crowding and the situational awareness leverage unwind, valuation dispersion (semis vs financials/utilities), and rate risks including Treasury basis-trade leverage, a 10-year yield range of 4–4.8%, Japan’s carry trade, and selective interest in Japan and parts of APAC for international exposure. -- ABOUT THE SHOW For decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners. Follow Danny on X: @dmoses3 The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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  Nvidia's Backstop Deal Just Made Every Bank a Bag Holder 12.08.2026 37min

  Dan Nathan and Guy Adami dig into the biggest story in markets: Nvidia's roundtable with Wall Street's top financiers — Jensen Huang, David Solomon, Jon Gray, and Stephen Schwarzman — and the multi-hundred-billion-dollar backstop deal getting compared to a modern-day CDO. Dan lays out why he thinks this AI CapEx build could make the dot-com bust and the GFC look tame, walks through Nvidia's doubling credit default swaps, and answers a listener question on exactly what would signal the bubble has popped. Plus: the cautionary tale of The Trade Desk's collapse from $140 to $14, why valuations are only richer once before in history (the dot-com peak), and a preview of what to watch in Cisco's earnings after the close today. Show Notes A short history of valuing stocks (FT) Wall Street just endorsed Jensen Huang’s ‘big concept’ for AI. What now? (CNBC) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.