UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Епізоди

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  Top of the Morning: FOMC reflections & US economy health-check 17.09.2026 11хв

  Following this week’s highly anticipated FOMC meeting, Andrew Dubinsky, US Economist from the UBS Chief Investment Office, drops by the studio to share takeaways and reflections on the meeting outcome, along with the implications of the rate hike to US economy activity. We also discuss the current inflationary environment, labor market and how the markets have digested the rate hike. Host: Daniel Cassidy
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  UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The lesser of two evils' 17.09.2026 5хв

  Yesterday’s unanimous vote in favor of a US interest rate increase could be interpreted as defiance against political interference. Having raised once, the Federal Reserve is likely to raise again—to prove this rate increase was intentional and not a mistake (even if it was a mistake). The rate increase has no near-term impact on inflation or economic growth.
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  Top of the Morning: Fixed Income Strategist - Supply shifts 16.09.2026 16хв

  A look into the interplay and market dynamics of large government debt issuance and AI-related debt fundraising, factors that have been contributing to rising long-end yields, along with positioning preferences within the asset class. Featured are Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, and John Murtagh, Fixed Income Analyst Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy
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  UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'A series of unfortunate events' 16.09.2026 6хв

  After the pandemic, the world’s central banks were subject to a series of unfortunate events: supply chain disruption, a war in Ukraine, profit-led inflation, tariffs, and a war in the Gulf. These one-off events raised inflation, but (bar profit-led inflation) were beyond central bank control. But, when such events become a series, should central banks create deflation elsewhere to offset “one-off” events elsewhere?
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  Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Just get on with it already 15.09.2026 17хв

  As financial markets are back in full swing post the summer holidays, investors are weighing fresh inflation data, health of the labor market, rising oil prices, and a notable upcoming Fed policy meeting. Plus, recent concern over AI safety and implications to the AI trade. Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas from the UBS Chief Investments Office, discusses these factors, what it all means for the investment outlook, and how to think about positioning. Host: Daniel Cassidy
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  UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Magic numbers' 15.09.2026 5хв

  China's latest economic data showed a lackluster domestic economy. Retail sales slowed, and were weaker than expected. Domestic investment plunged more than expected. Industrial production is being supported by external demand and China's success in helping US customers avoid tariffs.
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  Top of the Morning: The face of wealth is changing - Women investors 14.09.2026 12хв

  Marianna Mamou, Head of Advice Beyond Investing, sheds light on the evolving relationship between women investors and the wealth management industry. We discuss whether there is a need for a different approach when it comes to working with women investors, what to know about the next generation of women investors, and more. Host: Daniel Cassidy
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  Signal over Noise: How to position for the next wave of AI-led scientific breakthroughs 14.09.2026 7хв

  The recently reported AI-assisted solution to the Navier–Stokes problem points to AI’s broadening role in frontier scientific research, raising the question of where faster discovery could translate into investment value. This episode explores how that progress could open new opportunities across healthcare, energy, and advanced materials, and reinforce the long-term investment themes of AI, power and resources, and longevity.
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  Across the Pond: Europe’s political pendulum swings wider 11.09.2026 25хв

  Political polarization is testing Europe’s established parties and confronting markets with the prospect of larger policy shifts. Germany’s regional elections have brought the growing influence of parties outside the traditional mainstream into focus, while France’s presidential election could shape the pace of future European integration. Why might fiscal spending fail to ease voter discontent, and how should investors respond to a less predictable political landscape? In the latest episode of Across the Pond, hosts Christopher Swann and Belinda Ulander are joined by UBS Global Chief Economist Paul Donovan to discuss the implications for European integration, fiscal policy, global trade, and portfolio diversification.
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  Washington Weekly Podcast: Missouri redistricting, GOP convention, 9-11 remembrance 11.09.2026 12хв

  This week, Shane talks about recent developments surrounding Missouri’s redistricting efforts, recaps President Trump’s keynote address at GOP midterm convention, and reflects on the 25th anniversary of the 9-11 attacks. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy
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  UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Prices palooza' 11.09.2026 5хв

  It is a sad comment on the quality of communication by the US central bank that a single US consumer price inflation number can have so much sway over policy expectations. Single data points should not be relied on to this extent. If today’s data does not produce a US rate hike in September, disinflationary forces may keep rates on hold this year. If rates are raised, a second rate hike would probably follow.
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  UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Policy and promises' 10.09.2026 6хв

  The ECB is almost certain to repeat its earlier policy rate error and unnecessarily raise interest rates. There is unlikely to be any inflation or economic growth impact, but a further rate increase erodes borrowers’ ability to manage future economic crises. This should be the last error, unless oil prices get so high the ECB feels it needs to create a recession in the non-oil economy to create non-oil deflation.
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  Top of the Morning: State of the US Consumer & Back to School trends 10.09.2026 10хв

  Sunny Mehra, Consumer Strategist Americas with the UBS Chief Investment Office, drops by to provide a health check on the US consumer, including a look a recent spending trends and overall sentiment. Sunny reflects on the 2026 back to school shopping season, and previews how retailers are preparing for the upcoming holidays. Plus, a look at positioning preferences across the US Consumer Discretionary and Staples sectors. Host: Daniel Cassidy
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  Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 72) 09.09.2026 11хв

  On this week’s episode, we catch up with Burkhard following his recent visit to Hamburg, Germany as he shares takeaways from meetings held with families and their family officers where they discussed family wealth, family governance and generational transfers. Burkhard also recites the poem “IF” and explains how the messaging relates to the art of investing.
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  UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Market and non-market inflation forces' 09.09.2026 6хв

  China’s August consumer and producer price inflation was slightly higher. The suggestion is not that better demand is driving up prices, but that global inflation forces are being allowed to trickle into domestic pricing.
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  Top of the Morning: Election Watch 2026 - Something old, something new 08.09.2026 23хв

  Kurt and Shane drop by to discuss the two of the most consequential policy questions of the 2025 mid-term election cycle - something old (Social Security), and something new (Artificial Intelligence). These two issues differ greatly in age and character, but voters in both parties share concerns about each. Featured are Kurt Reiman, Head of Fixed Income Americas from the UBS Chief Investment Office, and Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisors from Governmental Affairs US. Host Daniel Cassidy
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  UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Trading carefully' 08.09.2026 5хв

  China’s July trade data showed ongoing growth in exports—some of this reflects re-exporting. The gap between what China says it is selling to the US and what the US admits to buying from China has reached extraordinary levels. China’s market share of US non-oil imports is 13.2% (China export data) or 8.4% (US import data). This suggests China’s US customers have become adept at avoiding tariffs, supporting China’s export sector.
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  UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Monetary policy and forever wars' 07.09.2026 5хв

  Markets’ responses to last Friday’s US employment report rebuke US monetary policy communication. The report showed strong payrolls growth, but unemployment rates drifted very slowly higher. The labor market is not creating accelerating wages. Market rate hike expectations increased, but the decision is still essentially a coin toss. With a clearly communicated framework for monetary policy, markets would not be plagued by such indecision.
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  Signal over Noise: To hike or not to hike 07.09.2026 6хв

  With inflation and labor data providing a mixed picture on the Fed’s dual-mandate goals, the Fed faces a closely balanced decision between a rate hike and a hold. This episode explores what either outcome could mean for the yield curve, equity valuations, and portfolio positioning in an environment of uncertain policy outlook.
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  Washington Weekly Podcast: Open-Source AI Leadership Act, Funding Bill, US-Iran War 04.09.2026 11хв

  Shane drops by ahead of the Labor Day holiday weekend to update on this week’s developments up on Capitol Hill, including Congressional efforts to keep the government funded, and progress on the Open-Source AI Leadership Act. Plus, an update on renewed military tensions between the US and Iran. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy